feima, if u look at the news, the meaning is liihen is lucky in Malaysia because no rubber wood supply issue compared with Vietnam or other countries. the comment on rubber wood supply is by another manufacturer outside Malaysia. On the labour, the problem is the demand is too strong, not enough labour to cope, u can visit the plant, you will see the plant is so busy day and night, the roads connecting their surrounding companies are so busy ...
Muar-based Lii Hen Furniture Sdn Bhd group marketing manager Joey Tok told The Edge Financial Daily business has been robust since the end of last year. “The US market is doing well, [and] orders have been coming in. Our lead time is 120 days. Previously it was 60 days to 90 days. If you place an order now, we can only deliver in July or later,” she said when met at the furniture fair. “Orders have picked up since December last year. But the labour issue is dragging us. One of our production lines had to cease operations because we do not have enough workers,” Tok said.
Tok said 90% of Lii Hen’s furniture is exported to the US. With four factories employing 2,000 workers, the public listed furniture maker is shipping out about 1,200 containers of products a month. She noted that Malaysian furniture makers have an advantage over those in China as the Chinese are subjected to anti-dumping measures imposed by the US. Meanwhile, Malaysia’s competitive advantage over Vietnam is that the latter does not have a domestic supply of rubberwood. “Regulations are more stringent on them. For us, our volume is still small and therefore we are not targeted,” Tok shared.
From the article: Neo, who is also president of the Muar Furniture Association, urges the government to reduce, if not to stop, rubberwood exports to cater to the local rising demand in view of the raw material shortage.“Due to higher prices, rubberwood is exported to China and Vietnam,” said Neo. This is mainly due to weak MYR. Somehow it has some effect to the industry. Coulpe with liihen shut down one of the plant due to labour shortage. I will stay at the sideline till nx qtr report announce.
My dear friends, what will become of Liihen once Trump passes the border tax? Don't say he couldn't pass healthcare, tax also fail. They are two totally different things. Taxes are more serious and have a wider support among Republicans.
Hope you have thought that perhaps due to Liihen's 90% export to US the share valuation is adjusting accordingly downwards. Of course, if the border tax is not passed good for all of you.
Not just that, but Ringgit has strong fundamentals. The worst is over. By year end it should go to RM4.10-4.30. Maybe this is another factor contributing to a selloff in many furniture counters?
Always look at the macros as well and see if it is worth taking a bet.
To me, I personally find Lii Hen to have best valuations in the furniture stocks, but betting on LiiHen is betting against the Ringgit, and I'm not prepared to do that.
Aiyo, read la the annual report. The company already enter into hedge of the currency la at RM4.18 to 1 USD. So even if MYR continue strengthening, it doesnt affect la. No one asking you to invest in LiiHen to go against MYR. You invest in Liihen because it is one of the best furniture counter
Agreed with u zhangliang, LH had already hedged USD against MYR at RM 4.18, so it is quite safe, for now.
KYY has 100mil shares of LH, today he sold 1.2mil shares, which means,that he will be sellling LH shares for another 100 days. Example, look at GKent when he started to sell after CNY in 1st til 3rd week of Feb 2017 when the share price fell from RM 3.10 to 2.83; after that it rebounded strongly after he left the company.
As much as macro factors affect , if the company fundamentally strong, slowly growing, good cash generation. I don't see any excuse not to invest. It has growing for the past many years , what's make you think it won't grow more?
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
zhangliang
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Posted by zhangliang > 2017-03-26 10:48 | Report Abuse
agree, ignore KYY. As long as we know this counter is solid and steady, he can do whatever we want. We will do what we think is right la!