SINGAPORE: Oil prices dropped on Thursday, extending falls from the previous session amid surging U.S. crude inventories and weak demand from refineries.
Brent crude futures, the international benchmark for oil prices, were at $70.62 per barrel at 0109 GMT, down 37 cents, or 0.5 percent, from their last close.
"Large but opposing forces have kept Brent in a $70-$75 per barrel range in recent weeks," Morgan Stanley said in a note on oil markets published this week.
"On balance, however, we still see tightness in 2H19," Morgan Stanley said, adding it expected Brent to trade in the $75-$80 per barrel range in the second half of 2019.
Another area which is important is Barakah Cash Flow.
We are looking at the following timeline based on this April report from the CEO:
Abdul Rahim expects the company to finalise its restructuring scheme by next month (May) and resolved its issues with creditors in the next two to three months.(July)
“We need to get at least 75% of creditors to support and approve the scheme for us to move forward. We are fairly confident that we can get that 75%,“ he added.
Abdul Rahim said with the completion of the restructuring scheme, Barakah would be cash flow positive at the project level and also its bottom line.
Upstream and downstream segments react differently to oil prices. For upstream, oil prices represent revenue, money coming in. The more you can get for each barrel of oil pulled out of the ground the better.
Conversely, oil is an expense for downstream refining and petrochemical operations. These downstream operators buy oil on the open market as feedstock for their processing operations, then hope to sell products to consumers with sufficient margin to cover expenses. When oil prices rise these downstream operators have to either raise prices or allow their profit margins to be squeezed.
Barakah Offshore Petroleum Bhd is a Malaysia-based investment holding company. It is involved in the oil and gas industry in Malaysia. The company, through its subsidiary, is engaged in providing and carrying out onshore and offshore contracting works, such as pipeline pre-commissioning, commissioning and de-commissioning, pipeline installation, fabrication, hook-up, topside maintenance and other related activities. It offers various services, including pipeline services, offshore transportation and installation works, hook-up and commissioning, onshore construction, underwater services and chartering of marine vessels and equipment.
So which one do you think is Barakah? Upstream or downstream?
I think it is still affected by the price because they depend on upstream's business, so if upstream have higher revenue they have more money to spend on servicing or/upgrading, ultimately it will benefit barakah
Just wait and see..sentiment market not good wheras further downside share price will accur before stabilized..then can jump into with confidence..good luck
@ InvestsucessTrader I will be accumulating this stock at this cheap price,seems to be a very good bet,
Indeed bro...
No need to think so hard. All the facts has been laid down by the team.
I like to share this quote "Take some calculated risk. Just buy and sit on it. Sooner or later the price will go up because the operator need the money more than us. Unity is strength"
Velesto, Sapura, KNM (just to quote a few) were in the same boat, look at them today. Even Armada was not so good during March..now she's hoevering circa 0.18 - 0.28 in this very weak month.
Beside, as we just find out today, Barakah is not too dependent on Brent.
With the kind of order bookings and partnership they had I don't think we will get this kind of opportunity again, ever...
I'm very optimistic the White Knight that everyone is waiting will appears soon. Barakah Management has been very consistent on this. They have indicated they need 6 months. I'm willing to give them this 6 months. Anything less is a bonus to all of us :)
A potential PN17 firm rescued by a experienced, responible tycoon and successfully turned around with an effective and credible turnaround strategy would give much vaster ROI much than a solidly performing company ...
Hence we should all looks for these indicators and what measures has been taken to uplift this company from the risk of being delisted.
Sumatec has been a PN 17 for more than 5 years. Why are they still around?
Utusan Malaysia is another example..
I believe if you decide to hold you should be prepared to hold at least between 6 to 12 months to give the chance for this company to recover.
Otherwise, cut your losses and move on.. It's as simple as that.
For those that decide to hold, watch out for those potential indicators, good news, management pledge or actions..
But no billionaire tycoon in this Barakah....the supposedly responsible so called tycoon Tan Sri Yaw of the Samling stable is himself mired in debts in Singapore and has since dumped and sold out all Barakah shares...
Mabel @Chun Loke Low @Mabel may I ask what's your current average price and TP?
Barakah after the big sell off on 24th May Friday experienced 55% drop in price due the panic sells off. As Chan Cy point out last night, everyone knew about this. Hence, I figure someone out there want to collect Barakah shares and purposely repeat the same message about EXIM. This would answer Daswack alert that someone is buying this shares in millions..
Hence, we need to restore back the price before this panic sells off. Once this is stabilised, WE the Jedi shareholders together with the Management need to be proactive and build the case for Barakah so that she can move on to 0.22, the Price of June 2018.
Finally, to answer your question, my TP is the price that thomas_dennis bought which is 0.36. If this can be achieved, we are talking about hugh handsome and beautiful returns for anyone here :)
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Mabel
24,096 posts
Posted by Mabel > 2019-05-25 08:28 | Report Abuse
Hopefully we can get more visibility when the Q1 Report is out..