JFASecurities in its the edge article mentioned despite the huge rally, this stock has still got legs to move up given the strong earnings potential which have not been fully priced in. Will hold ....
what the JF APEX forecast on 28.01.14 was 2014 NET PROFIT 34M BUT 3 QTR2014 NOW NET PROFIT EXIT RM 34.6M...
26.4.14 LATEST REPORT REFORECAST WHOLE YR 2014 NP RM 49.9 M EPS 0.23 with revenue rm 603 m (while 28.1 they put revenue 618.6 m). net profit 49.9/216 m share=0.23 sen eps .
if so far till end fy may 2014 total share still around 197-200m share (less people convert wa)49.9m/200m share EPS 2014 SHOULD BE 0.24
that means NP margin increase frm they forecast 28.1 33.4m/618.6m=5.3% now 49.9m/603m=8%.
Joel, the trading sell recommendation was given by kenanga b4 quarter report announcement without factoring in the full pricing. JF apex buy call with new tp assessment was made after beyond expectation result.Definitely moving north..
GENTING start famous on 70's the only one in the asia pacific got the licence entertainment "gamble'. powerful force make sucesses of Gadang JOIN VENTURE .besides property others recurring income like make you sihat dan kuat activities examples...even legoland makes alot of visiter children n adult under the hot sun sweating and running( no time to smoke alot ).this is really truthly good entertainment .
without clean n SIHAT WATER OUR LIVE LIKE LIVING IN HELL..so water concession are brightness ernergy businesses to our human kind .
Next year Gadang will have additional profit contribution from Rapid 1, 1M housing development n Capital 21 n potential profit from 80mil mini hidro acquisition. Year 2015 n 2016 I'm looking at Eps around 13-18c per quarter n 52-72c which translate to PE 1.88/52 =3.6 or 1.88/72 = 2.6. Now the price still Cheap if you are looking forward to future profit. The game is buy n hold. Rm 3.45 is not a problem by year end.
Gadang resting on Friday, but dont worry as the TP given lately is 2.67 and 2.00 - the average is 2.34. Last traded at 1.88. So buy on Mon and exit at around 2.15 for a handsome profit !!
MONEY TALK GADANG HOLDINGS (GADG MK) 3QFY14: Profit Surge Gadang recently reported 3QFY14 net profit of RM19.7m, bringing 9MFY14 net profit to RM35.6m. Earnings were mainly boosted by a surprisingly strong property division. The company’s construction orderbook remained healthy at about RM1b with an additional orderbook that is expected to come in from new earthworks packages that we believe Gadang could win. However, we downgrade the stock to HOLD with a higher target price of RM2.00 after the recent stellar performance (+98% since our initiation in Oct 13). Entry price: RM1.80. 3QFY14 RESULTS Year to 31 May (RMm) 3QFY14 2QFY14 qoq % yoy % 9MFY14 yoy % chg chg chg Revenue 147.5 141.0 5% 212% 402.0 183% Construction 110.3 117.2 -6% 203% 317.3 191% Property 34.2 19.8 73% 431% 73.3 279%
Construction pretax margin 11.2% 5.6% 7.7% Property pretax margin 49.9% 22.3% 35.2% Source: Bursa, UOB Kay Hian RESULTS Gadang reported 3QFY14 revenue of RM147.5m (+5.0% qoq, >+100% yoy) and core net profit of RM19.7m (+>132% qoq, +202% yoy). 9MFY14 net profit of RM35.6m was about 95% of our full-year forecast, which most likely includes exceptionals that could be driven by the property division that we have yet to confirm. Construction division grew 87% qoq. This quarter, the construction division grew impressively by 87%, which was mainly due to the recognition of ongoing construction projects of the MRT Line 1 and the earthworks package in Pengerang. Construction pretax margins stood healthy at 11.2%, which we believe was due to greater quantum of recognition of the earthwork projects, which typically carry higher margins. Earnings were also further boosted by higher contribution from its property development segment. The property development segment’s performance was mainly driven by the improvement of profit margin for both the commercial and residential developments of Phase 1 of the Tampoi development. Construction orderbook remains healthy at RM1b. Currently, Gadang’s construction orderbook is mainly led by the MRT construction works, followed by the construction of the Shah Alam hospital and the Pengerang Earthworks with a combined orderbook value of about RM1b. Currently, we estimate these construction jobs would contribute about 6% PBT margin for FY14. KEY FINANCIALS Year to 31 May (RMm) 2012 2013 2014F 2015F 2016F Net turnover 246 354 458 509 657 Operating profit 21 33 46 54 72 Net profit (adj.) 14 20 36 53 68 EPS (sen) 7 10 19 27 34 PE~ (x) 13.0 9.4 5.1 3.5 2.8 P/B (x) 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.7 2.0 Dividend yield (%) 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.5 Net margin (%) 2.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 Net debt/(cash) to equity (%) 2.1 3.1 Net cash Net cash Net cash ROE (%) 17.0 17.8 12.7 9.6 9.7
STOCK IMPACT Next key driver would be its Tampoi Land. In Dec 13, Gadang entered into a JV agreement with Capital City Property Sdn Bhd (CCPSB) to co-develop a site in Tampoi, Johor Bahru. Gadang would act merely as a landowner in this deal. In exchange, it would receive RM57.5m (or RM110psf) for the proposed land that is to be redeveloped and also a GDV share towards the development. Gadang would receive additional gross GDV proceeds of up to RM324m, or 16.7% of the final GDV of RM1.8b, which translates to a net gain of about RM219.7m, or 73 sen/share. In terms of financial impact, assuming the Jalan Tampoi development is progressively launched over the next five years, Gadang could recognise RM40m yearly. However, we have conservatively included these incremental earnings that will come in from FY15 onwards. Unbilled property sales of RM170m. In 2014, the group targets to launch RM425m worth of properties. These include Jentayu Residensi in Johor, The Vyne in Salak South and the PR1MA housing scheme.
EARNINGS REVISION/RISK We are maintaining our earnings forecasts for FY14 pending a meeting with management, but increase our FY15 and FY16 forecasts by 26% and 32% respectively to include the incremental earnings from the Tampoi land deal.
RECOMMENDATION We downgrade the stock to HOLD with a higher target price of RM2.00 after the recent stellar performance in share price (up by 98% since our initiation in Oct 13). In our new SOTP valuation, we have taken into account the NPV of future earnings coming from the recently approved JV agreement with CCPSB with regard to the Jalan Tampoi land. Our target price implies a 8x fully diluted FY15F PE, on a par with its FY12-13 average forward PE. Entry Price: RM1.80
GADANG SOTP SOTP RMm RM/share Remarks Construction 136.0 0.63 Pegged at 8x FY15F construction profit. Property RNAV 169.8 0.78 50% discount to RNAV. Concession Assets 45.0 0.21 NPV of water assets and IPP assets. Jalan Tampoi Land Deal 139.0 0.64 60% discount to NPV. Warrants Conversion Proceeds 19.669 0.09 Total SOP 509.4 Sharebase 196.7 Warrants 19.7 Enlarged sharebase 216.4 EV/share 2.30 Discount 10% Target Price (RM) 2.00 Implied PE 8.1
COMPANY DESCRIPTION Gadang provides earthwork, civil engineering services and is involved in construction projects. The company also has exposure in the property development and utilities divisions.
Sometimes i have this thought, when someone never posted about a stock before, and suddenly come out and post a lot of news in favour of him, either he want ppl to sell more so he can accumulate more at lower price or buy more so he can sell higher.....This is not healthy for all of us.
Due to this, we must be wise to justify for our own portfolios. Many people not willing to do the homework to calculate how much this counter really worth based on the last EPS. Most just based on the comments here and don't understand how the TP now is RM2.81.
This is not healthy, because there is no confidence, and tend to panic sell when market price is being manipulated by syndicate.
Certainly those big players still have the say, but let's ponder about this, if they push down the price to accumulate more, why in the first place they want to do that? Is it because they know something we don't know?
If you are not confident to hold on this counter, please spend time on researching and understanding how EPS, PE and other fundamentals work. Really important for us, the smaller players to have the knowledge to stay united against the big players.
You should check in on some of those fields below.
Title
Category
Comment
Confirmation
Click Confirm to delete this Forum Thread and all the associated comments.
Report Abuse
Please Sign In to report this post as abuse.
Market Buzz
No result.
Featured Posts
MQ Trader
Introducing MY's First IPO Fund for Sophisticated Investors!
MQ Chat
New Update. Discover investment communities that resonate with your ideas
MQ Trader
M & A Value Partners IPO Equity Fund has been launched - Targeted 13% Return p.a
Latest Videos
0:17
New IPO: ES Sunlogy Berhad, a provider of mechanical and electrical (M&E) engineering services and renewable energy solutions, aims to list on the ACE Market!
MQ Trader 382 views | 2 d ago
0:17
New IPO: Techstore Berhad, an IT security and automation solutions provider, aims to list on the ACE Market!
MQ Trader 568 views | 4 d ago
0:17
New IPO: Richtech Digital Berhad, a distributor of electronic reloads and digital payment solutions, aims to list on the ACE Market!
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
nicky
3,364 posts
Posted by nicky > 2014-04-26 12:00 | Report Abuse
worth to hold.... need to withdraw all $$$ pick up