RCECAP distributes dividend of 30 cents in FY 2023, this translates to dividend payout ratio of 63% (from The Edge)
As RCECAP announced a new dividend payout ratio of 60-80% for FY 2024 onwards, are we expecting that the dividend payout amount will be at around 30 cents or more for FY 2024 onwards, assuming the net profits remain the same and increasing yoy? If this is the case, the dividend yield for this Gem at the current price level is : 0.3/ 2.32 = 12.92%, which sounds awesome at the moment.
So glad i'm never believe in so called sifu observatory analysis and i been enjoying the capital gain plus increase dividends every year and the share split in 2022! Keep up the good work Rcecap Management and run the company well ! Thank you rcecap😄
What's wrong with you? Did observatory say he is a sifu? Did he give a sell call????? Below was his comment.
Posted by observatory > 2023-02-15 19:52 | Report Abuse
The top line is helped by non-interest income of almost RM19m, which is a record high. NII now constitutes 28.5% of total income. As mentioned in the management review, it's primarily driven by "higher early settlement income arising from increased refinancing activities". The question is, could refinancing activities be near its peak now?
More reassuringly, financing receivables have been growing above 6% YoY in the last and current quarters, reversing the slow down that started in 2020. As long as management remains prudent with its lending, this will be a more reliable and growing source of income in the future.
Haha ooihk899 seem like you are the big fan of observatory. Ok lo u don't like i call him sifu than i just call him observatory ok? Don't angry ok? Haha
Oh btw did i got say he give sell call? No right? Haha
Lastly i'm refering to his analysis all the way back to 2021, not the recently one.
Are you happy with my explanation? If still not happy i also bobian. Haha
I'm not a big fan of anyone. I just don't like TKLSS ppl. Anyway, my money, my decision. Why wan to listen to others. Only (So-hai) ppl do that. Opps, no wonder your name is (So-hai)
Thanks for the correction, my bad, with that special dividend, the total dividend payout of 30 cents in FY 23 represents a dividend payout ratio of 158% (as per RCECAP latest QR Note 8: Total dividend declared in respect of the financial year ended 31 March 2023 is 30.00 sen. This translates to a dividend payout ratio of 158.4%.)
With the anticipated dividend payout of 14 cents in FY 24 (Maybank report), the current dividend yield at current price is at 0.14 / 2.32 = 6.034%, still a decent yield but yeah, the price movement of this stocks are quite elevated at the moment...
Another good quarter. For the last 3 years, net interest income fluctuated at around RM43m - RM52m per quarter. It is RM46m in the latest quarter. The good result in recent quarter is contributed by rising non-interest income.
Impairment on financings has been coming down to RM4.7m (versus RM8.2m last quarter, and RM8.2m a year ago). Credit cost is 93 basis points. This is good. Hopefully this is a new trend after recording on average about 150 basis points per quarter throughout FY23.
Gross financing continues to grow modestly to RM2,045m (+1.2% QoQ, +7.4% YoY). This is in line with management's guidance to analysts earlier that the company financing growth will track the banking industry. It's better to grow conservatively through quality financing.
One bright spot with RCE is the Board is willing to return excess capital to shareholders. Not only through increased dividends, where payout ratio has increased from 30% a few years ago to current 60%, but also the 18 sen special dividends in late 2022.
As a result, the company has reversed the ROE decline seen earlier. Despite its growing business size, ROE has actually risen back to 17% - 18% range. This is rare and impressive act. Such attitude of taking care of shareholders is probably one reason that the market has re-rated its share.
From FY18 (Apr 2017) to 2QFY24, RCE eps on adjusted basis has grown at a compound annual growth rate of 9.4%. During the same period, dividend has grown at CAGR of 32%! This is achieved as payout ratio increases from 27% in FY2018 to 76% in the last 4 quarters. Last year there was also a special dividend.
In short, the impressive dividend has increased on the back of strong earning growth, compounded by trippling in payout ratio. Moving forward, however, payout ratio is likely to plateau as it's already at 76%.
As for earning growth, there are two sources: 1) Percentage of Non-interest income (NII) as total operating income has increased from a low point of 16% to 33% now, helped by higher interest earned and customer refinancing. In other words, NII has increased a very fast pace in the last few years. It has to slow at some point. But I haven't seen it slowing. 2) The last four quarters have seen financing receivables growing at 6% to 8%, much higher than the 2% to 3% growth in FY21 to FY22. This is the fundamental source of growth. The growth rate is higher than banking sector, exceeding the management promise.
On asset quality. Over the last 3 quarters, GIL ratio stays below 4%. Credit cost on last 4Q basis remains at acceptable 133 basis points. So far so good.
I will continue to hold and keep an eye on performance. But I won't buy.
I will hold until 2025 since the government will revise the salary scale of government servant end 2024. More ppl will be eligible to become RCE customer.
8 cents dividend equivalent to 3% returns while revenue & net profit broke new high to 87.7m & 38.2m, respectively!!! Profit margin consistently staying high at 43%, I see great opportunity for RCECAP share price to continuously growing!!!
Ive sold all my stake cum-dividend and have registered a handsome gain although on hindsight I shouldn't. I'm fairly convinced that it's overvalued compared to other financial institutions.
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Sohai Trader
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Posted by Sohai Trader > 2023-07-08 23:19 | Report Abuse
RCECAP distributes dividend of 30 cents in FY 2023, this translates to dividend payout ratio of 63% (from The Edge)
As RCECAP announced a new dividend payout ratio of 60-80% for FY 2024 onwards, are we expecting that the dividend payout amount will be at around 30 cents or more for FY 2024 onwards, assuming the net profits remain the same and increasing yoy? If this is the case, the dividend yield for this Gem at the current price level is : 0.3/ 2.32 = 12.92%, which sounds awesome at the moment.