i started at 4.10 level, sold all before 5, bought at 5+ level..sold all 5.7 level...in again at 6.1 sold ..in again at 6.4 to 6.7 hope can ride the wave to 8
AT current price , it is still yielding abnormally HIGH cash from operation rightfully at range of 10% already super good.
Cash from operation now ard 78mil. with current share price it is yielding 26.8% if to reach RM8, yield is still 22.9% RM10, 18.3% Only when it reach RM16, only make sense 11.4%
when KESM at 4.80, yielding around 38% cash, I thought it was one of craxiest thing I found. But I just recently discover another more crazy one potentially yielding 54% now!!! OMG
If you buy out KESM now 100%, you need less than RM300mil! don't be surprise. AND you get 100mil sitting in cash, meaning, your cost is RM200mil, and it is giving you every yr RM78mil.
forget 7, we should look at RM10, don't be afraid to dream big and invest big if company is good. monitor things closely. if result bad may be reconsider, but if continue yielding good, why afraid. net cash, 100mil cash. yield 30% over in cashflows
In the automotive sweet spot KESM recorded a strong 2012-15 EPS CAGR of 32%. We believe the solid growth is sustainable, underpinned by focused growth in the automotive business and margin expansion from improved product mix and growth in the high-margin testing business. Hence, despite the 34% stock price outperformance ytd, we think valuations remain attractive and expect a continued PE re-rating. Initiate coverage with a BUY and target price of RM11 based on 12x our calendarised 2017E EPS, for upside potential of 58%. Set to benefit from automotive structural growth story KESM provides a good proxy to the stable and growing automotive semiconductor segment, in our view. With strong growing demand for electronics for vehicles, from safety to infotainment and autonomous vehicles, we believe KESM is in the right segment to benefit from an automotive structural growth story. 2015-17E EPS CAGR of 35% We forecast KESM to achieve a 3-year EPS CAGR of 35% on the expansion of its testing business in the automotive segment. Its recent investments, in our view, should gradually bear fruit in the coming years and drive revenue growth. We look for EBITDA margins to rise from 31.9% in 2015. Further re-rating expected We see several re-rating catalysts for the stock, including a strong earnings upcycle and PE expansion, as awareness on the stock remains low and institutional holdings are limited. Initiate coverage with BUY and RM11 target price We initiate coverage on KESM with a BUY rating, on: 1) solid growth prospects in the automotive space, a strong working relationship with customers and expansion into the testing business, which we expect to drive a 3-year-forward EPS CAGR of 35%; 2) a hands-on and forwardlooking management team; and 3) although valuation comparables are limited as competitors are mainly integrated device manufacturers (IDM), closest peer Trio-Tech (TRT US) trades at a 14x 2016E EPS. KESM also trades on average at a 56% discount to automotive-related IDMs’ 2016E PE of 20.7x. Thus, at a 2017E PER of 8x, valuation looks attractive. Our target price of RM11 (12x calendarised 2017E EPS) offers 58% upside
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
ongmari
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Posted by ongmari > 2016-08-10 17:03 | Report Abuse
i started at 4.10 level, sold all before 5, bought at 5+ level..sold all 5.7 level...in again at 6.1 sold ..in again at 6.4 to 6.7 hope can ride the wave to 8