oil has big impact on armada profit. i think 2nd highest impact in the list after pchem if i am not mistaken. least impact will be yinson, dialog, dayang and etc.
question is, oil went up so high, why their profit so low, and if oil price drop, then their profit drops and will have problem with their debt.
there got to be a reason it only went down since IPO
"The US and EU – and the UK, too, once it gets its act together – will move to effectively cut off Russia from global financial markets. This will have wide-ranging economic impacts, as Biden himself has already acknowledged. Russia will respond by taking action to weaponise its own debt stock in the event of a freeze, but also likely intentionally seek havoc on hydrocarbon markets. Medvedev has promised Europe should prepare for sky-high gas prices for the foreseeable future. The effects will be felt far beyond Europe. Russia and Ukraine remain the key global breadbaskets in terms of grain production, and Russia has slowly been consolidating political control over its grain trading and fertiliser industries. The aforementioned Deripaska sanctions sent aluminium markets into a tail-spin and many metals could be similarly affected again in the current crisis. Russia will also further invest in efforts to undermine the US-led financial order, though it cannot have any hope of success here without full coordination with China at a minimum."
•Sale of 3 ice-class OSVs for USD44.5m. DONE •Armada Claire to be monetised. •Complete construction of A98/2 FPSO. •Refinancing of USD corporate term loan. •New FPSO bidding opportunities with an O&G supermajor and/or existing charterer. •Announcement of BAB’s integrated ESG strategy.
We caution that the new US$50mil Lukoil contract to be completed in the Caspian Sea this year by the group’s 2 construction vessels – Installer and Constructor – may be discontinued by fresh sanctions on Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
How far how many % of this contract has been completed before Putin spanked Ukraine?
@damnyarcher oil price shouldn’t have direct impact to armada’s profitability, similar to yinson and dialog, most of the revenue are secured by charter contract, which is a fixed rate, that’s why during 2020 when oil crash to 20USD but armada is still making good profit with strong cash flow. Hibiscus in the other hand is directly impacted by oil price. Only if low oil price persist for long term and causes lower investment in o&g sector then it would impact armada’s future prospect.
Outlook. Post the ice-class vessel disposal, we have been guided that the OMS unit now has three OSVs, two sub-sea construction vessels, and one JV sub-sea construction vessel. While BAB has secured new jobs worth USD50m for the construction vessels from Lukoil, we do not discount the possibility of works being interrupted due to relevant sanctions being imposed, as a result of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Meanwhile, following the repayment in January, its remaining balance of Tranche 1 Term Loan Facilities is USD27m, with scheduled amortisation and final maturity in Nov 2022. Overall, operating cash flow in FY21 improved 50%, with better working capital management. Net gearing also dipped to 1.55x in 4Q21 (3Q21: 1.71x). BAB is looking to monetise Armada Claire this year, and is bidding for new FPSO jobs. It was reported by Upstream that it has submitted a tender to compete for TotalEnergies’ Cameia FPSO project in Angola. India’s Oil and Natural Gas (ONGC) KG-DWN 98/2 FPSO construction is 80% completed, and BAB aims to complete it by 2H22.
Keep BUY. We maintain our earnings estimates but raise our TP to MYR0.65 from MYR0.62 post net debt update for FY21. Our TP also incorporates a 2% ESG discount, based on a scoring of 2.9. Our TP implies FY22F P/E and P/BV of 6.4x (below its 5-year mean of 7.2x) and 0.84x (slightly below +2SD from its 5-year mean at 0.9x). Downside risks: Contract cancellations, weaker OSV utilisation rates, and a deterioration in Armada Kraken’s operations.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
ID007
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Posted by ID007 > 2022-02-25 19:10 | Report Abuse
market doesnt like this counter