Currently, all six of the Group's available jack-up drilling rigs are utilised. NAGA 4 recently completed its 5-year Special Periodical Survey (“SPS”). Both NAGA 4 and NAGA 3 has commenced work for PETRONAS Carigali Sdn Bhd ("PCSB") in September and October respectively. The Group is actively bidding for new tenders for local and international contracts scheduled to be performed in 2024 and beyond.
Money just donT disappeared from Revenue. Velesto Management paid back RM70mil Short Borrowing. 2Q short term Loan was 219mil and 3Qr short term Loan is RM149mil ( 31/12/22 Short term Loan RM254mil) Good or Bad Qr ----you say!!! I think Management will made RM70mil profit +++ 4Q23
Petronas hired total 3 rigs from Velesto. Naga 6 not mentioned in the report. Are Naga 6 going for periodical survey or already start commencing drilling work for PCSB 3qtr onward still not clear..
Total drilling profit is RM74.8mil ( If declared as net profit, management has to pay 32% taxes so better paid off short term Loan ) 3Q23 Date-Rate is $92 / day----HESS offer is $135 / Day in 2024 ( maybe starting Oct 2023 )----So I expect Velesto profit to be about RM150--210mil per Quarter in 2024 ( have to include Revenue from 2 hydraulic Units which will be operating Full Time in 2024 )
If we study 2qtr & 3qtr reports they purposely to reduce the profit and flush as much burden costs away to make a boom in yearly report as i guess laaa Even TA giving 30cts++ maybe they not interest kot ... Maybe their aim 50cts++ by 2023 financial year ... Let wait @ cc
Management has made it very clear where they used revenue ( atleast what i can see ) Operating cost include Short term borrowing for Salary Management, buying Raw Materials and others Daily needs--- Due to missed alignment of when Revenue is received, Short term loan is necessary as a "lubricant"---if NO salary paid on Time ( mogok )----When management paid Back short term Loan is listed underOperational Cost -----So it is clear Velesto makes 74mil profit from drilling this Qr but paid off Short term loan( 70M)
So vel did manage to make a profit after all. This site is full of negative talkers they always say something negative... just read the thread a few days back. Even if Tesla was listed in bursa they will feed negative sentiment and confuse people and fulfill their fetish when price go down. certain segment in malaysia is very good at this. But in between the useless comment's there are still some constructive ones.
If Velesto generates 150(2Qr)---210M (2Qr)next year, Management can Wipe-Out Total accumulated Loss RM585M in Dec 2024-------Dividend in 2025 ( This is what PNB wants---Cut Debt and Give Dividend ) Once dividend is Confirmed, Velesto price is far, far easier to compute----I think PNB will push price above RM1 ( as a matter of fact PNB is supporting price just recently )
Pattern similar to Perdana. First 2 days price pick up after the qtr released and then drop sudden. Maybe 2morrow might drop further. Those waiting for 0.20c maybe got chances laa.
Ok lets review back rigs deployment, contracts and value:- 1) Naga 2 - assigned to work for Jadestone company (2023 3rd Q onward) and Vestigo oil company (2023 4th Q onward). Both contract valued USD 6.1mil and USD 10.9mil respectively. Both short terms contract. I believed Naga 2 might go for periodical survey once Jadestone contract completed before commencing work for with Vestigo.
2) Naga 3, 4 and 6 - drilling campaign for Petronas from September 3rd Q onwards. Contract amount that offered valued USD 128 mil.
3) Naga 5 - Hired by Hess Exploration with contract amount of USD 135mil (location: North Malay Basin). Contract commencing date from 4th Q 2022 to 1st Q 2024 and an extension for another 18 months, valued USD 74mil commencing date 2nd Q 2024 (location: Block A-18, 150km northeast kota bahru). I suspect Naga 5 most probably undergo for MRO once Naga 8 start digging oil. But according to latest qtr report, all rigs are currently in working now.
Seems most of the velesto rigs working full after 3Q onward. Just do rough calculation and feel free to give any suggestions...
That means in Y24 - Naga 3, 4, 6 and 8 hooked with solid long term contract meanwhile Naga 2 and 5 available for bidding new contracts with higher DC rate.
CGS-CIMB Research said other rig contractors had negotiated contracts in the past six months at US$150,000 per day to US$168,000 per day. “While we do not expect Velesto to secure such high rates for its new umbrella contract with Petronas Carigali, the robust DCRs show just how tight the market is as drilling activities remain robust in the Middle East, India and China,” the research house said.
Velesto had said earlier it was gunning for US$130,000 per day for a new umbrella contract, but it recently announced that it had renegotiated the rate for the Naga 8 drilling contract to US$135,000 per day.
Meanwhile, Maybank Investment Bank Research said Velesto’s third quarter results had outperformed its expectations, given that it expected the group to report a loss.
As such, the research house raised its financial year 2023 net profit forecast for the company by 7% to account for higher overall blended jack-up-rig utilisation rate assumption of 82% for the year from 81% previously.
The Malaysian oil and gas services companies have had a challenging time over the past few years. They have not benefitted from the high crude prices. The last time Velesto had a positive ROE was in 2014, about 10 years ago
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
EAGLE
388 posts
Posted by EAGLE > 2023-11-29 16:28 | Report Abuse
like that aaa....haiyaa then bleeding from buttock