Now the ipo almost same as icon, high price while opening coz everybody want to buy. After that everybody going to sell coz can not contra earn. Those got ipo price will going to smile.
sasbadi is education sector la, just the size is abit small, if you look at their earnings, pretty stable, but alto of shares are marketed to private investors/miti investors, thats why keep dropping, not like tanah makmur, solid backup from pahang royal
I didn't see any wrong on pelangi, actually pelangi it is doing well, sooner will boom up again to reflect its value. Sasbadi also doing well, first day IPO already has 30 % gain.
oh well. we know for every IPO, a lot of investors unload their holdings on day 1. that's why we see so many rich bumis nowadays. buy ipo, unload at day 1. no brainer right? government still say bumis are poor so as to keep MITI going.
Anyway, my thoughts are as follows
Business - easy to understand business aka publisher. it has a good brand and track record. it possess economy of scale. and education is considered a safe sector as during economic downturns, ppl will still need the educational books
Management - they have proven track record. their management consists of the founders and they hold a large amount of shares (founders usually wouldn't want to sell away their company on day 1 of IPO especially after decades of building it)
Numbers - CAGR of 20%. Low gearing. Positive FCF. Net cash of 2m if all borrowings paid off with current cash (before today's ipo). Good net profit margin - 16-17%
Valuation - based on the previous CAGR, i used a more conservative value of 15-18%, the intrinsic should be about 1.9 - 1.95.
anyway, what's important is what the company wants the ipo money for. company such as icon (conmaster) which used ipo proceeds to pay off borrowings is just plain conman.
sasbadi intends to use the ipo money to expand. although expansion does not guarantee profit, but it makes sense that sasbadi wants to use the money to buy other competitors to increase market share and to venture into new markets (online sector)
hence, if this stock goes down tmr, i'll definitely load another 20k without any problem.
Not so understand with those people, gossip high earning in this counter before launch even no promising on the first dividend that given. Gossip almost same as icon, announce what 1x% earning. You think they give u the 1x% dividend while u buy on first day? That only for them who buy at ipo price.
The profit or special news- cheat for high price on the first day. Ipo player want to earn, agent ipo what to help this company collect $. "Contra happy hour for this counter too little"
Ipo1.19 hit open 1.75? Tell me How many %? Tipu benar sektor pendidikan ini! You saw people buy even downtrend, they gamble for suddenly price up or for long term.
regardless whether the company good or not or long term or short term investment.......if u can buy low why want to pay premium price for it...become sohai meh...
cipapo, u never heard good company hard to get with cheap? Only bad company u can easily to get with cheapest price. skylte, I really pity on u, cause u even don't know how to calculate.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
ChinKeng Lee
233 posts
Posted by ChinKeng Lee > 2014-07-23 15:00 | Report Abuse
no dare to play .