5.20-5.30 very good buy on current weak klci. Good FA stock now at low price. Never get if klci above 1770. Only worry klci cntinue drop 3rd wk in a row due to us-nk and economic related.
Read this article b4 watching the chelsea-MC game, My 2 cents worth on the chronology of events: 20th sept fire incident. 25th sept singapore engulfed with so call offensive odor. Question: 5 days time lapse b4 reaching Singapore? On the 25th, LCT issued the damage assessment statement. The NEW plant between 20th and 25th cannot be operating. Story published 4 hours ago in the ST of Singapore. DOE Malaysia issued Stop work order on a weekend? If the order was issued anytime between working days 25th and 29th, the market would have already responded, and therefore history. Also if the stop work order was for the DAMAGED plant, that plant is a new project, no effect on their ongoing operations. Thats OK. My take is that, Pasir Gudang is huge, a host to many chemical companies, and also there is no mention of the company's identity except for the clue from the fire incident. Chemical companies catching fire there is just another day in a fireman's routine. If it was LCT then another PC shall be forthcoming to explain and defuse the situation. But I think Johoreans would have known about this, becos the market normally reacts to extraordinary occurrance info B4 the press issues the story.
Well i guess you could say that LCT is very close to nature. let alone the volcanic eruptions, the tsunamis, and the likes of it. The most NATURE susceptible co in the world or perhaps the greenest on this planet, figuratively speaking!
if down cheaper will buy more. i live close to PG, no water disruption frm jul-sep, so #1 problem solve. #2 prob fire is minor on new plant. #3 stop order only on new plant.
compare with good news, #1 sell price up due to us shutdown, #2 raw mat cost still low (oil price <60usd, #3 price low and mayb lower if mrket cntinue down
everythg 5.20-5.30 good price, below 5.20 is bargain, below 5.00 is cheap sale.
aiya new plant is for safety measures that would have been done so even if the DOE didnt ask to halt. its not even producing anything. 1Q18 start production is still likely.
ivankvs.. its cheap if you look future prospect. im holding for another 6 mths (4th qtr).
By CIMB Research
Add (maintained)
Target Price: RM8.50
LOTTE Chemical Titan Holdings Bhd’s fire accident at its PP3 expansion plant in Pasir Gudang, Johor was reported to be minor, according to CIMB Research.
Plants are operating as usual with no interruptions.
Meanwhile, after the disappointing second quarter 2Q17 results due to the unplanned shutdown because of water shortage and multiple non-recurring items, CIMB Research expects Lotte’s net profit to recover in the third quarter of 2017.
“We project average utilisation rate of 80% in the third quarter of 2017 for Lotte.
“This is higher than the 70% in second quarter due to water shortage and 60% in the first quarter due to the 53-day planned shutdown of naphtha cracker #2 (longer than the planned shutdown of 33 days in 3Q17 for naphtha cracker #1).
In the meantime, CIMB Research has projected Lotte to continue to improve its overall utilisation rate from 80% in the third quarter of 2017 to 90% in the fourth quarter of 2017, bringing the average utilisation rate for FY17 to 75%.
“This is in line with our projection. We believe the third quarter and fourth quarter 2017 earnings will be strong at RM0.2bil-RM0.5bil per quarter, thanks to high margins for HDPE-naphtha, benzene-naphtha and PP-naphtha, which would more than offset the weak BD-naphtha margin,” the house said.
The research firm does not think that the water damage caused by the unplanned water shortage during the second quarter would recur because Lotte plans to expand its water storage capacity from one day currently to two days by the end of fiscal 2018 forecast.
The company has decided to only start plant operations when it is confident that there will be sufficient and consistent water supply.
The stock is trading at only 3.2 times FY17 forecast earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation, significantly below its regional peers’ average of 8.3 times.
CIMB thinks Lotte remained attractive given the anticipated strong earnings growth recovery post second quarter 2017.
This is driven by utilisation rate improvement that is expected to go on in the third to fourth quarter of 2017.
Let say u hve 27K capital, can get abt 5K shares. in 6 mths can earn rm1.75 each share, profit rm8.75K @ 32%. Very good already. But this is forecast only. Water and fire still can struck anytime. LoL.
because it is immaterial news. how do you shut down a plant that is not producing ? hahahaha. it is just to implement further safety measures which LCTitan would have done anyway.
Why are you here in Titan Chemical? This one might sink down like the Titanic. Sporeans are affected by the explosions in Titan factory just across Johor Straits. So Titan told to stop work.
hightech petrochemicals manufacturing company used to experience many problems,technological, enviromental ,etc. need careful researches and studies to overcome problems,once problems are being overcome, share price will rocket sky high.
The National Environment Agency (NEA) said in a Facebook post on Friday (Sept 29) that it contacted its counterpart in Malaysia, the Department of Environment (DOE), to seek its assistance after the smell was detected on Monday.
It said: "The DOE has deployed resources in identifying the source of the smell. It has traced the source to an industrial facility in Pasir Gudang, and is taking action against the operator."
We wish to announce that the Department of Environment has on 1 October 2017 issued a stop-work order on our KBR Catalytic Olefins Technology catalytic cracking reactor (“K-COT”) within our TE3 Project (“Stop-Work Order”) for us to mitigate and reduce odour emission and eliminate surface oil sheen / film discharge. We are attending to the remedial actions and will provide an update in due course.
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Liau San
11 posts
Posted by Liau San > 2017-09-29 22:58 | Report Abuse
can buy in at 5.26 ?