Greatech Technology Bhd, on track for an ACE Market listing, can see earnings grow from both its battery and solar businesses.
Inter-Pacific Research Sdn Bhd forecasts the industrial automation solutions provider will record year-on-year (YoY) earnings growth of 19.6% and revenue growth of 13.9% for the financial year 2020, driven by replenishment orders from its major client, First Solar Malaysia Sdn Bhd, and new revenue streams from its production line system for the assembly of battery modules and packs.
Inter-Pacific Research advised investors to subscribe to the initial public offering (IPO) as the stock price has an upside of 19.2% and has placed a target price of 73 sen a share, above its offer price of 61 sen.
Date Open to apply: 13/05/2019 Close to apply: 24/05/2019 Listing date: 13/06/2019
Share Capital Market Cap: RM381 mil Shares Issue to sell: 119.750 mil shares (IPO 18.780 mil, Company Insider & placement 100.97 mil)
Business Manufacture of Automated equipment & provision of parts and services for Solar, semiconductor, & consumer electronic sectors.
Geo Local: 10.01% Foreign: 89.99% (Vietnam 62.68% & USA 25.37%)
Fundamental Market: Ace Market IPO Price: RM0.61 (eps: RM0.0627) P/E & ROE: PE9.73, Ave ROE over 4yrs 11.74% Cash & fixed deposit after IPO: RM0.11 per shares NA after IPO: RM0.22 Total debt to current asset after IPO: 0.43 (Debt: 77.358 mil, Non-Current Asset: 39.243 mil, Current asset: 178.639 mil) Dividend policy: Does not fixed any dividend policy.
Financial Ratio Trade receivable: 65days (Ave over 4yrs) Trade Payable: 62days (Ave over 4 yrs)
Past Financial Proformance (Revenue, EPS) 2018: RM219.582 mil (eps: 0.0627) 2017: RM93.914 mil (eps: 0.0376) 2016: RM22.703 mil (eps: 0.0115) 2015: RM21.393 mil (eps: 0.0111)
Director Remuneration for FYE2019 (from gross profit 2018) Ooi Hooi Kiang: 66k Tan Eng Kee: 698k Khor Lean Heng: 510k Mariamah Binti Daud: 66k Ooi Ching Hock: 66k Total director remuneration from gross profit: 3.1%
Use of IPO fund Business Expansion: 24.64% Capital Expenditure: 6.85% R&D expenditure: 6.85% Working Capital: 50.03% Repayment Debt: 6.16% Lisitng Expenses: 5.47%
Industry Analysis (Asean 2012-2018) Global Solar Cell & Solar Module Production CAGR:27.4% & 27.4% Global Sales Semiconductor CAGR: 8.7% Consumer Electronic CAGR: 6.1%
Conclusion Good thing is: 1. PE9.73 still below PE10 2. Revenue is growing past 4 year. 3. Director fees around 3% 4. They are in the sunrise industry. 5. Business having 89.99% is export. The strong USD will benefit the company.
The bad things: 1. Average ROE11.74% (Below ROE15% level), their competitor ROE is higher. 2. IPO fund 6.16% use to pay debt. 3. IPO in the ACE market. 4. Effected by current trade war (might be opportunities & also might not).
Conclusions Overall is a above average IPO. The most of the funds is use for expand the business. Demand of their product is increasing every years.
The CAGR of Greatech in the last 4 yrs are definitely eye catching. However, with their main customer First Solar accounted to >87% of the revenue, what is the prospect of it maintaining the current CAGR? First Solar sales are shrinking year by year, and their solar panel isn't the most efficient in the market either compared the its peers. Greatech's 2nd major customer is Panasonic, and their sales to Panasonic has been stagnant for yr 2017 & 2018. And Greatech does not have any long term contract with either customer. Maybe someone can enlighten me any future prospects of Greatech that is on their pipeline that could provide additional growth?
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EatCoconutCanWin
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Posted by EatCoconutCanWin > 2019-06-13 08:43 | Report Abuse
buy in tp 1.50