Real Estate - Beyond Borders- Unleashing Potential Via JS-SEZ

Date: 
2024-01-12
Firm: 
RHB-OSK
Stock: 
Price Target: 
1.18
Price Call: 
BUY
Last Price: 
0.965
Upside/Downside: 
+0.215 (22.28%)
Firm: 
RHB-OSK
Stock: 
Price Target: 
3.00
Price Call: 
BUY
Last Price: 
1.80
Upside/Downside: 
+1.20 (66.67%)
Firm: 
RHB-OSK
Stock: 
Price Target: 
2.10
Price Call: 
BUY
Last Price: 
2.18
Upside/Downside: 
-0.08 (3.67%)
  • Maintain sector OVERWEIGHT. We are upbeat on the initiatives outlined in the MoU signed between the Malaysia and Singapore governments on the Johor-Singapore Special Economic Zone (JS-SEZ). Although its specific location was not mentioned as expected, the MoU highlighted how both governments will cooperate and jointly develop the JS-SEZ, and efforts include expediting approvals and the clearance of people and cargo at land checkpoints. UEM Sunrise (an Iskandar play), Sunway, IOI Properties and AME Elite Consortium should benefit from the strong growth in Johor.
  • Good initiatives to spur growth in the southern region. A few initiatives were mentioned including: i) A one-stop centre to facilitate business applications and approvals for licenses; ii) implementation of a passport- free QR code clearance system at both sides for clearance of people at land checkpoints; and iii) the adoption of digitised processes for cargo clearance at land checkpoints. In our view, these are the important steps to attract local and multi-national corporations in Singapore to expand to Johor. We also understand that new investments that will have their operations at other industrial parks (outside the JS-SEZ) may also qualify for perks under the new system, as long as they fit certain criteria.
  • Still favour areas closer to the borders. The market has been speculating on the potential location of the JS-SEZ. In our view, given the emphasis of the smooth movement of people and cargo by both governments, we believe areas closer to the borders would make sense. UEM Sunrise and Sunway, which own 2,334 acres and 1,770 acres of land near the Tuas link, could be the biggest beneficiaries – since Johor’s economic growth is expected to be robust in the coming years. Other than these players, AME Elite Consortium (a leading industrial developer in Iskandar Malaysia), IOI Properties and Eco World (ECW MK) – which have their respective industrial/business parks in Johor – should also benefit from the influx of investments from Singapore.
  • Construction progress of the Rapid Transit System (RTS) is on track. Yesterday, the prime ministers of Malaysia and Singapore also witnessed the physical construction works of the RTS link connecting Johor Bahru and Singapore. The progress of construction on this project is well on track – it was 65%-completed at the Singapore side and 55% completed at the Malaysia side, as at end-2023.
  • More details in 4Q24. According to an earlier media report, Johor State Investment, Trade and Consumer Affairs Committee chairman Lee Ting Han said that the definitive agreement – which includes details of the JS- SEZ, including its physical location – is expected to be signed in 4Q24. We believe some tax incentives related to this may be introduced. Overall, we remain upbeat on Iskandar Malaysia, as news flow on foreign investments and the Kuala Lumpur-Singapore high-speed rail project should continue to keep sentiment afloat.

Source: RHB Research - 12 Jan 2024

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