AmInvest Research Reports

Hektar Real Estate Investment Trust - Slower-than-expected Recovery in Rental Reversion

AmInvest
Publish date: Fri, 23 Feb 2024, 10:38 AM
AmInvest
0 8,766
An official blog in I3investor to publish research reports provided by AmInvest research team.

All materials published here are prepared by AmInvest. For latest offers on AmInvest trading products and news, please refer to: https://www.aminvest.com/eng/Pages/home.aspx

Tel: +603 2036 1800 / +603 2032 2888
Fax: +603 2031 5210
Email: enquiries@aminvest.com

Office Hours
Monday to Thursday: 8:45am – 5:45pm
Friday: 8:45am – 5:00pm
(GMT +08:00 Malaysia)

Investment Highlights

  • We downgrade Hektar to HOLD from BUY with a lower fair value (FV) of RM0.67/unit (from RM0.71/unit previously) based on our revised dividend discount model (DDM), which incorporates a 3% premium from an unchanged 4-star ESG rating (Exhibits 6 & 7)
  • The FV implies a FY24F distribution yield of 7%, 1 standard deviation below its 5-year median of 8%.
  • The lower FV stems from the lowering of FY24F/FY25F distributable income by 2%/8% to account for slower-than- expected recovery of rental reversions and occupancy rates in Subang Parade as well as increased finance cost.
  • Hektar’s FY23 distributable income of RM29mil came in below our expectation, 9% below our forecast.
  • The variance to our forecast was mainly due to lower-than- expected revenue as a result of negative rental reversion for most of its malls in FY22.
  • In FY23, Hektar’s net property income (NPI) rose 2% YoY despite a 5% YoY drop in gross revenue. The reduced revenue was mitigated by lower property operating cost as a result of the implementation of group-wide cost optimisation program. However, its adjusted distributable income decreased 21% YoY, exacerbated by increased finance cost.
  • QoQ, Hektar’s 4QFY23 revenue slid 1% while NPI declined 9%, mainly attributable to higher utilities expenses.
  • Hektar declared its gross distribution per unit (DPU) of 2.3 sen in 4QFY23, which represents a 12-month trailing distribution yield of 7.9%.
  • YoY, FY23 average occupancy rate increased 5%-points to 87% , with an improvement in all its retail malls.
  • Hektar has registered a positive reversion of 0.2% in FY23, mainly due to positive reversions at Kulim Central, Segamat Central and Mahkota Parade .
  • For FY24F, we expect a flattish rental reversion as Hektar needs to offer more competitive rental rates in its underperforming malls, particularly Subang Parade, to retain existing tenants and attract new retail businesses.
  • Hektar’s FY25F distribution yield stands at 7.4%, which appears unattractive when compared to its 2-year pre- pandemic (FY18-19) average of 8%. Hence, we see limited upside potential in this stock.

Source: AmInvest Research - 23 Feb 2024

Related Stocks
Market Buzz
Discussions
Be the first to like this. Showing 0 of 0 comments

Post a Comment