My telegram reshares

WHAT I BOUGHT IN 2021.

Philip ( buy what you understand)
Publish date: Fri, 25 Dec 2020, 08:34 AM
Philip ( buy what you understand)
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Reposting my telegram musings here.

https://t.me/joinchat/TR4av30CaHKc9Rhe

For my telegram link
Following Message
https://klse.i3investor.com/servlets/pfs/120720.jsp
 
>>>>>>>>>
Brian Chan:
How do we know if this number given by management is trustable? I read the prospectus which PLTR roughly described how $119b TAM is derived. But how do we know this is not a "manufactured" or "exaggerated" number to drive up interest?
>>>>>>>>>>>
Philip Farms:
That is the part where you never fully trust anybody and read up directly yourself.
 
What are the big ideas of a data analysis company? Data points.
 
Palantir  requirements to sign up are any company with 500m usd of yearly revenues not in China and Russia. So they have big customers like airasia, airbus with thousands of datapoints. Manufacturing companies like BP, Ferrari, Airbus.
 
It is a two edged sword. They currently only have 125 customers which is a very small number, but they also have average spend of 5.3 million per client and growing which is incredibly huge for SaaS platforms in comparison to the rest of the market.
 
Moving forward I have no idea who is their biggest competitor, and the mystique surrounding palantir makes them the top choice for customers in the space similar to Tesla. I mean, if you were a manufacturer in need of improving your business to get more profits, wouldn't you want to get the company that boasts CIA, NSA, the NHS, and WHO as their client lists?
 
In the end for this market sphere, you are not looking for the cheapest solution. You are looking for the most effective one. No point spending millions if you can't get any concrete results that help you improve you business.
 
PLTR works. Unlike all those companies that use SaaS cheap for you to deploy but in the end you don't see any concrete results...
 
https://omdia.tech.informa.com/products/artificial-intelligence-business-toolkit-intelligence-service
 
I also subscribed to this market reports to look at AI business deployment market size of 126b worldwide currently third party report which matches their claim
 
Merry Christmas all, I hope you guys have a fruitful year, learn from my silly mistakes in investing, and learn to love watching paint dry.
 
Long term investing can be downright boring sometimes.
 
https://www.forbes.com/sites/gilpress/2019/10/17/ai-stats-news-65-of-companies-have-not-seen-business-gains-from-their-ai-investments/?sh=48d1391f19f4
 
Similar to iPhone, before it came into the scene a lot of similar competitors were in the market... Blackberry, Nokia etc
 
Problem was they were clunky, not user friendly and not customer centric
 
For Apple, they had a great product... And very good marketing
 
That propelled them all the way to the moon.
 
The problem with Palantir is that they have an excellent product (17 years in market... Government bodies are falling over themselves to get it)
 
However... They had zero marketing
 
Now that is changing and accelerating
 
Another easy to identify figure, let's look at the world government. There are 193 governments in the world. Assuming that moving forward they will need quick analytics and AI systems to process the huge requirements of their growing population, crisis management (covid tracking), terrorism, safety, expenditure to impact analysis etc, if we put a figure of 500 million per government per year, these SaaS for fire, water management, healthcare, transport, agriculture, defence,construction planning etc
 
So that puts the figure at around 100 billion a year for these analytical models.
 
The advantage that PLTR had is that it already has the models and queries in place based on their experience in tracking illegal immigrants (ICE), catching financial crimes like Bernie Madoff (IRB), stopping terrorism (CIA), defence in Iraq, catching osama (ARMY), manufacturing ( AIRBUS, Ferrari), transport ( AirAsia)
 
So with these existing models, they can deploy with greater speed to other companies with their foundry(commercial) Apollo (multi platform deployment) and Gotham (government)
 
I don't mean to keep rehashing, apologies as it is my strongest conviction stock this year, next to stoneco.
 
And as everyone knows... I have a very small number of stock competencies
 
So I buy very few stocks
 
Ql
Yinson
Serba/kpower/scib (Karim team)
Gkent
Uoadev
Pchem
Skpres(Dyson proxy)
Uniqlo
Stoneco
Palantir
 
My ten (13) stocks that I am holding
 
I would say these are all among the top companies in their market sphere
 
Ql is for palm oil, boiler construction,family mart, eggs, chicken, frozen food and surumi.
 
Yinson is for FPSO oil upstream
 
Serba is for epcc energy maintenance and construction
 
Gkent is for water and railway
 
Uoadev is for property development
 
Pchem is for o&g downstream
 
Skpres is for consumer product high end dyson
 
Uniqlo is for clothing
 
Stoneco for financial lending management
 
Palantir is for data analysis
 
All business I can illustrate with a crayon, I can estimate the TAM, I know which part of the growth cycle they are in, which is the more experimental, which the the rock solid slow business, which is the safest and which has the highest risk reward ratio
 
I believe one should know what they are buying
 
If you don't know what you are buying, it is much safer to just sit back and stay away.
 
How to understand your business.
1. Start by understanding the industry. It helps if you work in it.
2. Then you start analyzing the company you like in it fundamentally, and also the technical aspect of the market expectations of the company.
3. Then you start analyzing that company direct competitors, and find out the competitive positioning of everybody in the sphere.
4. Then you start analyzing the possibility of your favourite company adding new capabilities and invading a new sphere (new business model, new country, new products etc). 
5. Then you do comparative analysis of the company that has already done this transition to find out what was already done, and what challenges they encountered and pushed through.
6. Once you have found this, you can compare with the company to see the possibility of this happening, or if the company is just twiddling their thumbs.
 
Once you have done this.... You are on the way to actually understanding the company you are interested in.
 
So here is the thing, if you spend this much time trying to understand 1 business, you have no time to own 30-40 stocks, it is crazy to manage.
 
If you own a lot of companies your strategy and hope is that out of these 40 companies you hold, 21 earns money... A scary strategy in my opinion if you have no idea why a company would make money long term, or even where the money will be coming from.
 
I prefer having full perfect knowledge of one company on a safe trading route than buying 30-40 companies.
 
My recent small trade on choobee is backed by knowing the manager for amsteel, the manager of choobee, the fact that prices have rise on a daily to weekly basis ( yesterday price for rebar went up by another 50 per metric ton. Which is incredible but still cheap at 2500 per ton compared to KL prices more than 2800 per ton. ) It will be a field day of profit for steel suppliers.
 
Scuttlebutt is still the best option.
 
Never listen to rumors or whisper stocks or comments from other sifus.
 
Make up your own mind, buy things you understand.
 
If someone stop you in the middle of the street selling you a chanel bag original for 500, you would stop look at the bag and check to see the quality right?
 
How come in the stock market you can throw 5000 without blinking once?
 
Points to ponder.
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Discussions
3 people like this. Showing 4 of 4 comments

Sslee

Dear Philip,
Thank you for the information:
My recent small trade on choobee is backed by knowing the manager for amsteel, the manager of choobee, the fact that prices have rise on a daily to weekly basis ( yesterday price for rebar went up by another 50 per metric ton. Which is incredible but still cheap at 2500 per ton compared to KL prices more than 2800 per ton. ) It will be a field day of profit for steel suppliers.

I will keep my balance Masteel a bit longer

5098 MASTEEL
100,000 0.4225 0.5350 42,250.00 53,500.00 11,250.00 26.63

2020-12-25 12:36

Sslee

Haha deMusangking,
You can see my hlebroking balance 100,000 unit at cost of RM 42,250 already give me book gain of RM 11,250 (26.63%)

It is still not too late for you to buy some Masteel or choobee since Philip has the proven record everytime he sold his shares that shares will go higher.

2020-12-27 10:50

stockraider

THIS IS THE SECRET OF INVESTMENT LOH...!!

EVERY YEAR THERE IS ONE OR TWO THEMATIC BULL THEME AND MANY AS HIGH AS 50% SPECIFIC UNIQUE SPECIFIC STOCK RALLY OF ABOVE 50% MINIMUM GAIN loh..!!

IF WE CAN CATCH IT EARLY & RIDE THE BULL TO ITS PEAK WE WILL DO EXCEEDINGLY WELL WE WILL BE ABLE TO OUTPERFORM IN A FEW SHORT BULL RUNS AND PERHAPS RETIRE EARLY LIKE PETER LYNCH LOH!


OF COURSE LIKE WARREN BUFFET MAKING MONEY FROM STOCK MARKET AS A MOTIVE IS LONG OVER IT IS THE JOY, THE ADVENTURE & THE CONSTANT INTELLECTUAL CHALLENGE IN THE ART OF INVESTMENTS THAT CAUSED HIM TO SAY
"TAP DANCING TO WORK"


NOW MY HUMBLE OPINION FOR INDIVIDUAL STOCK PICK THIS
YEAR 2021 WILL BE INSAS "THE COMING SUPER INDIVIDUAL STOCK BULL RUN"
WHY INSAS WILL GO INTO A BULL RUN FOR YEAR 2021?

ANSWER:
BECAUSE INSAS SHARE PRICES NOW REACHING SUPER EXPLOSIVE INFLEXION POINT WITH THE POTENTIAL EXPLOSIVE OUTBURST TO ITS ALL TIME HIGH DUE TO POTENTIAL AMPLIFY PROFITS TREND INSAS GOING TO ACHIEVED DUE TO ROBUST STOCK MARKET , INVESTMENT GAIN & THE STRONG SHOWING OF technology INARI LOH!
AND IF PROFITS KEEP INCREASING IT IS ONLY A MATTER OF TIME OF INCREASE WILL INCREASE DIVIDENDS OR REWARD WITH BONUS ISSUES.
SO INSAS SHARES MUST GO UP HIGH AS THIS IS THE LAW!

TECHNOLOGY STOCKS, GLOVES STOCKS, FINANCE STOCKS ARE GETTING MORE VALUABLE IN WHICH INSAS HAVE EXPOSURE TO ALL OF THEM LIKE TECHNOLOGY THRU INARI & OMESTI, GLOVES THRU DGSB AND FINANCE THRU INSAS CREDIT & LEASING, M&A STOCKBROKING & ADVISORY AND SHARE INVESTMENT THRU INSAS HOLDING & SUBSIDIARIES ALL THESE EXPOSURES WILL REAPED IN SUPER PROFIT FOR 2021 MAH!
FOR YOUR INFORMATION INSAS ALREADY RECORD SUPER PROFIT FOR THE 1ST QTR 30 SEPT 2020 RECORD PROFITS OF RM 65M, EVEN THE WHOLE MSIA ECONOMY REGISTERED NEGATIVE GDP GROWTH LOH INSAS amazingly gain loh!!
LOOKING AT THE TREND OF INCREASING PROFIT FOR INSAS, ITS SHARE PRICE WILL EVENTUALLY SHOOT UP IN TANDEM LOH!

AGAIN WHEN ALL THE WORLD MARKETS ARE STARTING TO RECOVER FROM YR 2020 COVID19 SETBACK, U WILL SEE MAJOR RALLYS DUE TO RERATING OF STOCKS AND SUPER LOW INTEREST RATES enviroment THAT wii SPURS EQUITY PURCHASE MAH!

INSAS BEING SUPER UNDERVALUE WITH NAV OF RM 4.80 AND PE 8X WILL BE THE MAJOR PRIME BENEFICIARY here mah!

U r actually seeing emerging sign of INSAS share at 88 sen starting to run up like the early SUPERMAX & TOPGLOVES Gloves run in March to April Rally, the sign of coming bull which are very subtle with explosive upside b4 it explosively burst out with gains of few hundred % at the later stage mah...!!

U need to join the Insas stock early, as this is a safest fruit pickings when there are still abundance in supply now loh...!!

ALWAYS REMEMBER TO BUY INSAS 88 sen EARLY BEFORE TOO LATE MAH...!!

2020-12-27 13:25

DickyMe

"..since Philip has the proven record everytime he sold his shares that shares will go higher."

@Sslee So, he is the jinx?

2020-12-27 20:12

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