阿弟说投资
【阿弟】銀行股未來３－５年難成長
Adi_Investor
Publish date: Fri, 28 Apr 2017, 11:13 AM
Adi_Investor
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我业余时，替《阿弟说投资》telegram GROUP的会员，做经济周期分析，以及投资趋势的建议、谘询、教育、理財等等。
投资以长期趋势为主，根据趋势的判断哪类资产该买，哪类该卖？再配合适当的交易策略。
这些资产如：股票、债券、房产、黄金等。
目前出版教人如何step by step投資股票的書－－《股票真智慧》
Wechat ID: pigboy1
Email: kongfaw.choo358@gmail.com
投资以长期趋势为主，根据趋势的判断哪类资产该买，哪类该卖？再配合适当的交易策略。
这些资产如：股票、债券、房产、黄金等。
目前出版教人如何step by step投資股票的書－－《股票真智慧》
Wechat ID: pigboy1
Email: kongfaw.choo358@gmail.com
銀行股票一向都是很多人喜歡的股票。但是未來利息會不斷上升，作為百業之母的銀行業，一樣難逃一劫。
雖然利息上升，銀行的利差轉幅也會增加。
但是，這只是對一般市場利率沒有去到極端低，通脹溫和的前提下，這樣說法才正確。
在利率超低的現在，未來利息上漲，首先會讓銀行持有的債券遭受嚴重的資本損失。
另外，利息上漲，會使得信貸需求減少，所以銀行想賺利差，也沒有多少生意可做。
利息上漲，會使得房產，股票泡沫下跌，借貸需求大減，銀行那裡還有利差可賺？
特別是通脹過快的話，作為專門經營通貨（貨幣）的銀行，手中貨幣資產貶值會很快。
這種情況下，銀行股根本是不能買的。
至少這麼說－－－－銀行股目前只能短炒，交易。
但是作為長期投資，未來３－５年，難有買點。
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maybe this guy is out of job now, so he writes a lot of stupid articles, just to pass time.
2017-04-30 10:32
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Banks have been there growing in businesses. I think the truth is 阿弟 cannot grow already.
2017-04-28 15:31