My Trading Adventure

KLCI to rebound?

CP TEH
Publish date: Wed, 23 Jan 2013, 08:00 AM
CP TEH
0 2,918
All the writings in this weblog are mainly for PLEASURE reading purposes. I am in NO position to recommend a call(BUY/SELL). Please check with those know-hows before you make a decision. Yes, I am just a learner, with only five years experiences in KLSE. So, please BEAR with me.
DOW standing at 13,700 levels ... up another 60points. Only KLCI in sharp correction mode, due to the rumoured election dates. If we are not preparing for such volatility, we should stay side-way ... do what we need to do ... while check for opportunities. Wait for election ... wait for the results, the dust to be cleared before re-entering markets. Some of investors that I knew have exited KLSE months back ... ignoring the noises, the up-down emotion driven rally. So, are we in mood for rebound?

We could not predict when exactly election could be ... but base on the fear-factor(and will be created again and again), it should be diving further below 1500. While KLCI trading at PER14, higher than regional markets plus many blue chips at high PER valuations, we certainly should not be buying anything now to hold. Not even Axiata that I grabbed when it dived 7%. Some followed by buying into Axiata 2 days ago ... and that is RISKY. We need to understand that it is no longer cheap. REad all we want ... regarding their ventures into Indo-china or Burma ... perhaps, speculating that they might have a piece of Thai/Viet pie ... we do know the stock is over-valued.

Trading is relating to technical charts ... yet, indicators are not even showing 70% accuracy. KLSE stocks lack of liquidity ... and we have to trade those blue-chips or hot-stocks. We need to check on few more factors ... such as news/media, to make some 'guesses' how the stocks will re-act.

If one is too busy to read, and lacking of technical-analysis knowledge, it is becoming difficult for us to identify the stocks that could be in play. Is O&G in play?

Example : Dayang and PEnergy ... with the Shell's news in front page of the Edge recently. Both are in strong uptrend and ... the peers in O&G are also in the move. Checking Perdana's chart ... emmm ... interesting strong rebound and uptrend now. What is the news related or in play for PetraPerdana? Stocks do not move by itself ... if a stock is of not good fundamentals, it is moved by news, played by some 'operators'. Check Perisai, Alam, Pantech ... and even TAS .. Coastal and such. They are said to be in O&G play ... but how about PChem? It was diving further yesterday(luckily one of them in my stock watch group asked me on Friday and sold for profits). Dialog has been abandoned ... sideway till recent dive, giving another opportunity to trade on technical rebound? How about SKPetrol which rebounded yesterday ... from the low of 2.78?

Getting into sector-in-play is very important ... but which sector should we be focusing in? Plantation counters seem to fizzle-out after short rebound. It is not easy ... we need to isolate ourselves from the noises of media ... trying to read as much, to 'feel' the directions and which news will be used to push .. what sectors. Then, we check on those charts .,.. some leading ... and looking into those laggards. I am talking about some good stocks, not too speculative such as KNM or Scomi. Ramunia(Tabung Haji yang berat) is not in my list either.

Time to go ... another 7 hours of classes for today.

Have a nice rebound ahead.

TEH

More articles on My Trading Adventure
Updates on ABMB and AirAsia

Created by CP TEH | Oct 15, 2019

Waterfall : LKL

Created by CP TEH | Oct 06, 2019

Oct 2nd : DOW minus 343

Created by CP TEH | Oct 02, 2019

23rd Sept : One week to go

Created by CP TEH | Sep 23, 2019

Formula for success

Created by CP TEH | Sep 18, 2019

Steps to be 'successful'

Created by CP TEH | Sep 17, 2019

Discussions
Be the first to like this. Showing 7 of 7 comments

lotsofmoney

The fund managers are coming and their program buying are set.

2013-01-23 12:46

JASON80

yup but for how long ? when the sell again ? will u be able to run as fast as possible like them ?

2013-01-23 12:48

lotsofmoney

You can never beat them because they are full timer and most of us are just part timers.

2013-01-23 13:20

JASON80

haha ... so that why i said i would like to see today n tml who going to be slaughted by penny share , now all main intra day ... big fish that control the penny share .. big cap control by fund manager .. let see next week before cny who get slaughted ...

2013-01-23 13:25

buybackma

maybe 1st wk of Feb. people not dare to enter market coz of coming CNY celebration..left only 2 wks to play shares.. gd luck guys and if u earned money don't be GREEDY EVIL but MONEY GOD as mentioned by one of our fren here..hehe.. smiles...

2013-01-23 13:33

JASON80

hahaha ... dont need today itronic kena by bursa... going to see declining stage ... wahahaha

2013-01-23 13:35

lmf_hau

Who wanto learn how big boy distribution of share in live ?
Pls see Itronic now !!
Massive transaction at 59.5c n 60c,
Let see who is the unlucky last man eat Banana ....

2013-01-23 16:13

Post a Comment