Please Explain !

PLEASE EXPLAIN THE DISCREPANCY !

Gotyou
Publish date: Sat, 12 Jun 2021, 10:45 PM

This article is about Jaks Resources' outstanding order book.

I attended the webinar hosted by Rakuten Securities with the CEO and CFO of Jaks Resources on 10th June 2021. I came out of the webinar with one question and a skeptical answer.

QUESTION : The sum of Vietnam EPC contract revenue recognised was RM1.7 billion as stated in the 2020 Annual Report, hence balance of order book should be RM186 million (RM1,886m - RM1,700m). Why is the oustanding order book from EPC contract 2 for Vietnam IPP only RM81.7 million as per the presentation slide?

ANSWER : Could be due to the fact that the revenue recognised was at different forex rates at the point of recognition. 

I decided to look into it .....

 

Source : Jaks' presentation slide during webinar with Rakuten Securities at 8:00pm on 10th June 2021

 

 

Checking on Contract value of EPC Contract 2

Source : Circular to shareholders dated 28th August 2015

https://disclosure.bursamalaysia.com/FileAccess/apbursaweb/download?id=171520&name=EA_DS_ATTACHMENTS

 

USD454.5 million x 4.15 =  RM1,886 million (Tally with management presentation)


 

Compiling Revenue recognised under EPC contract 2 

For Year 2016

Source : https://disclosure.bursamalaysia.com/FileAccess/apbursaweb/download?id=195054&name=EA_FR_ATTACHMENTS

 

For Year 2017

https://disclosure.bursamalaysia.com/FileAccess/apbursaweb/download?id=199932&name=EA_FR_ATTACHMENTS

 

For Year 2018

https://disclosure.bursamalaysia.com/FileAccess/apbursaweb/download?id=204417&name=EA_FR_ATTACHMENTS

 

 

For Year 2019

https://disclosure.bursamalaysia.com/FileAccess/apbursaweb/download?id=208826&name=EA_FR_ATTACHMENTS

 

For Year 2020

Source : 2020 Annual Report page 16 

https://disclosure.bursamalaysia.com/FileAccess/apbursaweb/download?id=208933&name=EA_DS_ATTACHMENTS

https://disclosure.bursamalaysia.com/FileAccess/apbursaweb/download?id=213646&name=EA_FR_ATTACHMENTS

 

 

As the EPC contract 2 was awarded in USD, the revenues recognised in MYR are translated to original USD amounts to compute the oustanding order book in USD.

Method 1

The revenues recognised are translated to USD using the year end forex rates adopted by Jaks in the respective years to derive the oustanding order book in USD.

Year

Revenue (RM’m)

Exchange Rate

Revenue (USD’m)

2016

150.1

4.486

33.46

2017

251.2

4.062

61.84

2018

324.7

4.1385

78.46

2019

817.6

4.0925

199.78

2020

159.1

4.013

39.65

Total

1,702.7

 

413.19

Total contract value = USD454.5m

Less : Total revenue recognized = USD413.19m

Total Outstanding order book= USD41.31m (RM170.61m)

 

Method 2

Another way is to translate the revenues to USD using the average forex rates of the respective years to derive the oustanding order book in USD.

 

 

Average exchange rate of Malaysian ringgit (RM) to U.S. dollar (US$) from 2014 to 2020

Source : https://www.statista.com/statistics/863826/malaysia-exchange-rate-between-ringgit-and-us-dollar/

 

Year

Revenue (RM’m)

Exchange Rate

Revenue (USD’m)

2016

150.1

4.15

36.16

2017

251.2

4.3

58.42

2018

324.7

4.04

80.37

2019

817.6

4.14

197.48

2020

159.1

4.25

37.43

Total

1,702.7

 

409.86

Total contract value = USD454.5m

Less : Total revenue recognized = USD409.86m

Total Outstanding order book= USD44.64m (RM184.36m)

 

 

Note that the total revenue recognised in MYR term of RM1,702.7 million concurs with the figure stated in the 2020 annual report.

To conclude, it seems unjustifiable to explain the large discrepancy in the context of forex differences. Jaks' management should provide more clarity on the apparent "missing" order book of around RM100 millions especially in the light of recent developments in the corporate malaysia.

 

Thank you.

A concerned shareholder

 

This is not a buy or sell recommendation ! You should consult your dealers or remisiers before making any decision.

 

Year

Revenue (RM’m)

Exchange Rate

Revenue (USD’m)

2016

150.1

4.486

33.46

2017

251.2

4.062

61.84

2018

324.7

4.1385

78.46

2019

817.6

4.0925

199.78

2020

159.1

4.013

39.65

Total

1,702.7

 

413.19

 

 

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2 people like this. Showing 5 of 5 comments

Just88

Due to contract variation ?

2021-06-13 09:25

Just88

It is quite a common thing

2021-06-13 09:25

Gotyou

The total contract value of the EPC, as per the presentation, still remain at RM1886m indicating that there is no contract variation.

2021-06-13 09:28

gohkimhock

only invest in a company's business that you can understand. Stay away from those complicated matters and euphoria bandwagon like the steel companies(except tin mining) currently.

2021-06-13 10:04

Gerard Lam

stop it lah sslee.. you are becoming like Herbert Chua...

2021-06-15 09:50

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