- It was announced on Bursa Malaysia last Friday that resolutions relating to the proposed capital reduction exercise via a special dividend payout of RM0.41/share (equivalent to USD0.13 or HKD1.01) has been approved.
- The special dividend will be paid to the respective shareholders on 28 November 2012. To recap, this exercise will be funded by a combination of internal funds of RM200mil (equivalent to US$63mil) and new bank borrowings of RM500mil (equivalent to US$157mil).
- The company now has a more optimised capital structure with a forecasted gearing level of 28%. The new bank borrowings of RM500mil will turn MCIL into a net debt position of RM439mil as at end-FY13F, with an interest cover of 11x. We project earnings to fall by 9% to account for the new interest expense arising from the new bank borrowings of RM500mil. As at 1QFY13, net cash stood at a healthy RM421mil.
- The share price has rallied by a whopping 21% since July, whereby the RM0.41/share special dividend has already been priced in by the market. This does not imply a re-rating on the stock given the recent run-up in share price.
- Inclusive of the special dividend, ROE is estimated to be at 15%. The stock now trades at a PE of 15x on FY13F earnings, where dividend yield stands at 30%. Stripping off the special dividend, we assume a DPS of 6.8 sen, translating into an implied dividend yield of 4.2%, based on a 63% dividend payout.
- No change to our earnings assumption at this juncture. We maintain our BUY recommendation on Media Chinese International (MCIL), with an unchanged fair value of RM1.70/share (under-review), based on a 10% discount to our DCF value, pending the release of the 2QFY12 results, which is expected to be released on 29 November 2012.
- On a side note, the proposed listing of the group's travel and travel-related business on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange ' targeted to be completed by end-FY12 ' is likely to have an insignificant impact on its operations as the travel business only accounts for circa 3% of EBIT as at FY12.