若以前考試時背過考古題,或是死背過答案,一定很容易就理解這兩
curve fitting 曲線套入;
over fitting 過度最佳化;
在進行交易系統設計與參數設定時,這兩個名詞常常被混淆使用。
「曲線套入curve fitting」
是指過度使用歷史資料 當使用的參數過多,或策略方程式過於繁雜,很容易使策略在過去變
舉例來說,在考試前,有個學生只準備所有考古題,認為將它們全部
「過度最佳化over fitting」
則是在參數中尋找所謂的脈衝點,單純就績效或某個參考值選定最佳
有一位考生,念書完全沒有理解,但將所有考古題、課本習題的題目
或許這兩位學生偶然可以取得好成績,
但市場並不是一次考試,而是一天又一天,永無止盡的考驗。
「歷史會重演;但不會100%重演。」
來源:
Mr. Market 市場先生
Created by Tan KW | Nov 26, 2024
Mr.OOi, Just to ask your opinion and your view on ASTRO....Is it the right time to collect?....Public Bank TP 3.29....
2013-09-08 12:17
forget about pb investment , our market is around 1700 , they r still in 800 pts , every counter got cap price .. and they cap it damn low ,, their research hse is sleeping all the time .. just wait till month ends & get buta gaji ....
2013-09-08 12:31
Ooi Teik Bee
Mr Tan,
"History will repeat itself; but it does not 100% repeat."
I agree and also disagree. I use the same indicators all the times. These indicators help me to confirm my Technical Analysis skill. I want to be as simple as possible. I used same 4 indicators all the times, so far so good. Thank you.
2013-09-08 11:37