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[转贴] 斤经济较:2017财政预算案对股市的影响 - 夜月

Tan KW
Publish date: Sun, 23 Oct 2016, 10:48 PM
Tan KW
0 504,584
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Sunday, 23 October 2016 

 
 
 
 
这次的财政预算案,
感觉重点都在排糖,
有给公务员的、德士时机的、低收入家庭的,
这些我们都不谈,
因为详细或者是summary的,
整个网络都有,
我们将重点放在对股市的影响。
 
第一 公司税务减低
原文如下:
This scheme will provide a reduction by stages based on a percentage increase in income compared to the previous year of assessment. The reduction in income tax are as follow:
 
• One percentage point for increase in chargeable income between 5% to below 10%;
• Two percentage point for increase in chargeable income between 10% to below 15%;
• Three percentage point for increase in chargeable income between 15% to below 20%; and
• Four percentage point for increase in chargeable income of 20%.
 
For example, if a company’s chargeable income for year of assessment 2016 is RM10 million and increase to RM12 million in year of assessment 2017, the income tax imposed for the first RM10 million is 24% or RM2.4 million. Whereas the difference of RM2 million increased in year of assessment 2017 will be taxed at 20% equal to RM400,000.
 
简单来说,
营业额不断增加的公司,
给的税收会比原本少,
有利于不断成长的好公司,
尤其是业绩刚刚转好的公司,
盈利会增加。
不排除有些公司会有意拉低2016年的营业额,
将营业额留给2017年,
以减少税收,
但是整体来说影响不大。
 
第二 房地产
相信从财政预算案最受益的行业,
非房地产莫属。
大马房地产目前遇到的最大困境,
就是有需求但是借不到钱。
政府决定做出一些调整,
使到同样薪水的人,
可以借到高出一倍的贷款,
原文如下:
I would like to take this opportunity to announce a new special “step-up” end-financing scheme for the PR1MA programme.Through this special scheme, financing will be easier and more accessible to the buyers with total loan up to 90% to 100% with loan rejection rate to be reduced drastically.
 
 Application process for this scheme will be implemented effective 1 January 2017. This scheme is collaboration among the Government, Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM), Employees Provident Fund (EPF) as well as four local banks, namely, Maybank, CIMB, RHB and AmBank.
 
 For example, an applicant with a monthly income of RM3,000 will only be eligible for loan more than RM187,000. However, through this special financing scheme, an applicant will be able to borrow more than RM295,000.
 
虽然不知道如何算出来,
但是如果搞得成功,
确实可以解决房地产面对的困境,
预计销量会提升,
但是同时也增加了房地产的泡沫,
毕竟这个方法是治标不治本。
 
当然再加上首房族首30100%免印花税,
相信会些许刺激首房族2017-2018年买房子,
然而100万以上的印花税自2018年从3%起到4%
目前大马的印花税机制是首10万令吉以内征收1%,接下来1050万征2%50万以上征3%
政府之前已退出首50万印花税减半,
相信影响不大。
 
第三 房地产相关行业
很多人只注意到房地产,
但是忽略一个重点,
那就是就算房地产开始转好,
也不是一朝一夕的事,
先转好的行业是一些和房地产有关的行业,
比如:打桩的 Econbhd
钢铁业的Cscstel
瓷砖业的KimhinWthorse
基本上房地产一旦转好,
很多行业会受益。
如果你想选房地产股,
通常大型的公司会先受益,
比如:UOADEVIOIPG等等。
 
长期来看,
我不看好整体经济走势,
派糖虽然短暂可以刺激经济,
但是长期问题没有解决,
一旦派糖派习惯,
就很难戒掉了,
如此就会大大降低发展的拨款。
增加了国民的消费能力,
却没增加国民的赚钱能力。
大量削减大学的资金,
减少深造的奖学金,
会使到研究速度减慢,
科技无法达到成长,
长期经济就无法增长。
以此来看,
马币长期看贬,
或许很快又轮到了出口股的天下。
 
以上纯属本人的看法,希望大家多交流^^ 
 
 
 
 
 

 
 

http://moonitez89.blogspot.my/2016/10/2017.html

Discussions
Be the first to like this. Showing 2 of 2 comments

Albukhary

Erm, something wrong in the article above.
Property industry will benefit Long Steel, not Flat Steel.
Flat Steel are use for industrial purpose, like car manunfacturing, electrical product..etc, while long steel is for construction and property.

Flat Steel = MYCRON, CSCSTEEL
Long Steel = ANNJOO, MASTEEL, SSTEEL

2016-10-24 00:40

leoting

扁钢在房产方面的用处很少。建筑多是使用长钢。

2016-10-24 07:11

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