Except for Alam Maritim, most of the companies under our coverage reported earnings that were within estimates, while a few were lower than expected. While Petronas may slow down on rolling out new contracts, we believe that the impact would be greater on onshore players as we anticipate offshore activities to remain robust. We retain our OVERWEIGHT call on the oil & gas sector.
- No major surprises. Except for Alam Maritim, most of the companies under our coverage reported earnings that were within expectations, while a few posted lower-than-expected numbers. That said, companies such as Wah Seong, Petra Energy and KNM – whose results were below our and consensus forecasts – may see better results if they are able to secure more contracts or improve on their operations.
- Be selective. Industry sources have it that Petronas may slow down on the award of new contracts. We believe that onshore projects such as RAPID would have a higher risk of being delayed but we remain bullish on offshore activities as Petronas would still need to step up oil production before Malaysia becomes a net oil importer. Hence, investors need to be selective when investing in O&G stocks and look out for companies with solid orderbook to buffer earnings and which may benefit from upcoming tenders. We prefer the fabricators, offshore asset owners with drilling assets and companies which are marginal oilfields.
- Maintain OVERWEIGHT. We maintain our OVERWEIGHT call on the sector, premised on: i) Petronas’ MYR300bn capex from 2011 to 2015, ii) positive FY13-14F earnings growth overall, iii) anticipation of more contracts being awarded in 2H13, including transportation and installation jobs from the Pan Malaysia cluster, as well as contracts relating to marginal oil fields, and iv) higher oil prices due to the political turmoil in the Middle East, which may spur O&G activities.
- Our Top picks are SapuraKencana Petroleum for large cap stocks, Dayang Enterprise for mid caps and Alam Maritim in the small cap segment.
Source: RHB
Created by kiasutrader | Jun 14, 2016
Created by kiasutrader | May 05, 2016