HEKT’s full-year results met expectations. Although overall rental reversion remained healthy at about 7%, management is guiding for a flattish net profit growth for FY14, as revenue growth will likely be offset by anticipated higher property expenses. Nonetheless, HEKT expects to maintain a DPU of at least 10.5 sen for FY14. Maintain NEUTRAL with a revised DDM-based FV of MYR1.43 (from MYR1.46).
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Results in line. HEKT’s FY13 net profit of MYR46.1m (+16.0% y-o-y) met expectations. It continued to record double-digit y-o-y earningsgrowth, driven by incremental contributions from its two Kedah malls. Overall portfolio occupancy remained stable at 95.0%. FY13 rental reversion was healthy at 7% for the 13% of net lettable area (NLA) renewed. HEKT announced a DPU of 2.7 sen for the quarter, bringing total FY13 DPU to 10.5 sen, which is in line with forecasts.
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Cautious 2014 outlook. HEKT anticipates a somewhat challenging year ahead, due to higher expenses. This is in line with the view of some of its peers. Over the short term, HEKT will likely have to absorb all incremental costs, as it will be unable to pass on the full costs to its tenants. However, with about 40% of its NLA up for renewal in FY14, HEKT is seeking to pass on some of the costs to its tenants through higher rental rates. Nonetheless, barring further subsidy rationalisation measures by the Government, HEKT believes that it will still be able to maintain a DPU of at least 10.5 sen for FY14. On a positive note, the major refurbishment of Central Square in Kedah is making good progress, with about 45% of the refurbishment works completed so far. The exercise, which covers the expansion of the mall’s cinema and the conversion of empty spaces into new retail areas, is slated for completion by 2Q14.
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Earnings forecast. We trim our FY14 earnings estimate by 2.2% after fine-tuning some assumptions. We also introduce our FY15 numbers.
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Maintain NEUTRAL. We nudge down our DDM-based FV to MYR1.43 (from MYR1.46) after our earnings revision. Given HEKT’s past track record, we believe that it will still be able to deliver on its promise to maintain its DPU of at least 10.5 sen going forward.
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Company Profile
Hektar REIT is a mid-cap retail REIT specialising in suburban malls. Its major assets include Subang Parade and Mahkota Parade.
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Source: RHB