Esthetics’ 1HFY15 (Mar) core earnings of MYR9.3m were above our expectations due to a favourable tax rate. Core PBT of MYR11.5m was largely in line at 53.8% of our full-year estimate. Following the recent share price weakness, we upgrade our call to BUY and nudge up our SOP-based TP to MYR1.40 (from MYR1.35). This implies a 27.3% upside. Management declared its first interim DPS of 1.5 sen.
Results review. Esthetics International Group’s (Esthetics) 1HFY15 revenue reached MYR73.0m (+2.0% YoY), driven by both its product distribution arm (+2.3% YoY) and professional services (+1.8% YoY). EBITDA margin improved to 19.8% (+340bps YoY), lifted by the standardisation of its regional pricing policy (implemented in 1QFY15), while its in-house Clinelle brand continued to show positive improvements vis-à-vis loss-making previously. All in, core PBT of MYR11.5m (+20.1% YoY) came in at 53.8% of our full-year estimate. Core earnings, however, surged 28.0% YoY to MYR9.3m (at 57.4% of our previous full-year forecast), owing to a lower-than-expected 2QFY15 tax rate of 16.3% due to overprovision in the previous quarters. 2QFY15 numbers were generally higher both YoY and QoQ.
Interim DPS. Management declared its first interim DPS of 1.5 sen, on par with 1HFY14 levels. This translates into a payout ratio of 30.2% vis-à-vis 32.5% in 1HFY14. Net cash pile now stands at MYR56.9m or MYR0.31 per share. Moving forward, management reaffirmed its cautiously optimistic stance as rising inflationary pressure upon implementation of the goods and services tax (GST) in Apr 2015 could potentially translate into slower retail sales given that the group derives 59% of its sales from Malaysia.
Forecasts and risks. We upgrade our FY14F EPS by 5.6% to reflect a lower-than-expected tax rate and retain our FY15-16F numbers. Key risks include increased competition from other skincare brands and potential tightening in consumer spending due to higher cost of living.
Upgrade to BUY. We revise our SOP-based TP to MYR1.40 (from MYR1.35) after factoring in its latest net cash balance and our earnings revision. Following the recent retracement in share price, which leaves a 27.3% upside, we upgrade our call to BUY (from Neutral). The stock could potentially make its return to the Shariah list in the upcoming November review (last inclusion in May 2013), as we gather that the group has now conformed to Shariah requirements by redeploying its cash into Islamic accounts.
Financial Exhibits
Financial Exhibits
SWOT Analysis
Company Profile
Esthetics International Group is the exclusive distributor for Dermalogica skincare products in Malaysia, Indonesia, Thailand, Hong Kong, Singapore, Brunei, Cambodia and Vietnam. The group also owns and operates skincare salons and retail kiosks in Malaysia, Singapore, Hong Kong and Thailand.
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Created by kiasutrader | May 05, 2016