Time’s 9M14 results were broadly in line as 9M revenue grew strongly on the back of higher global bandwidth sales and better contribution from its data and data centre business. Maintain NEUTRAL and a DCFbased TP of MYR5.20 (1% downside). Time announced its land acquisition for a new data centre last week, in line with its future expansion plans. We keep our earnings forecasts unchanged for now.
Results in line. Time dotCom’s (Time) 9M14 core PBT of MYR101.5m (+15.5% YoY), excluding dividend income from DiGi (DIGI MK, BUY, TP: MYR6.60) and a one-off reversal of a MYR11.0m provision made pursuant to the settlement of a dispute with a supplier, came in line at 75% of our/consensus full-year estimates respectively. 9M revenue rose 9.8% YoY on the back of higher global bandwidth sales as well as higher revenue from data (+12.7% YoY) and data centre business (+12.8% YoY). Nonetheless, we note that revenue declined 3% sequentially dueto the lumpy recognition of global bandwidth sales (2Q14: MYR21m vs3Q14: MYR13.6m). 3Q14 EBITDA margin improved to 42.3% (2Q14: 37.4%) due to the higher revenue and reversal . Excluding the reversal, 3Q14 normalised EBITDA would be 35.1%, slightly lower QoQ.
Expanding its presence. On 18 Nov, Time announced that it is proposing to purchase a 3.1-acre land parcel in Dengkil, Sepang. Total consideration for the land is MYR15.0m, which will be funded internally.The land will provide Time with the ability to build a new data centre. Given its proximity to Cyberjaya, we are positive on the prospects of the new data centre. However, we believe that it will be some time before the new data centre is operational, and as such it is unlikely to have an impact on our present earnings forecasts.
Forecasts. We make no changes to our FY14-15 earnings forecasts, pending a briefing later. However, we take this opportunity to introduce our FY16 figures.
Maintain NEUTRAL. We maintain our DCF-derived TP of MYR5.20. We still like Time as a direct play to strong demand for international bandwidth. We see M&As as a potential re-rating catalyst that management is still exploring, but there is a lack of clarity on when this may materialise. This report marks transfer of coverage to Alia Arwina.
Source: RHB
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Created by kiasutrader | May 05, 2016