Stock Pick Challenge 2013 2H

Hexza and Graham net-net and high dividend yield investing strategy - kcchongnz

Tan KW
Publish date: Fri, 08 Nov 2013, 02:53 PM
Tan KW
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Stock pick challenge based on the discussion @ http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/kianweiaritcles/33790.jsp

 

Hexza announced a dividend of 10% on 24th October 2013. At the close of 77.5 sen this morning, the dividend yield amounts to 6.5%. This is twice the interest rate one can get from putting the money in fixed deposit in bank. Isn’t that good? 

Hexza Corporation Berhad operates in three business segments: investment holding, which is engaged in investment holding activities; manufacturing, which is engaged in the manufacture and sales of formaldehyde based adhesives and resins for timber related industries, ethyl alcohol, natural vinegar, cooler, liquefied carbon dioxide and kaoliang wine. 

Hexza has been in the business for a long time. Although there is not a single year of losses, there has been no growth in earnings for the last 12 years. However, the management has been generous to its shareholders with increasing dividend payment from 0.6 sen to the most recent 5 sen per share. Is this high dividend yield of 6.5% sustainable? 

Referring to Hexza’s latest financial statements as at 30 June 2013, there is plenty of hard cash available. Free Cash Flow amounts to 20m, or 9.5 sen per share. It has an excess cash of 130m, or 65 sen per share in its balance sheet. Hence there is no problem at all for Hexza to continue paying good dividend in the future. 

The liquidation value of Hexza is computed using the Graham net net is shown in Table 1 below: 

Table 1: Graham net-net valuation of Hexza 
Cash and cash equivalents 73,404 100% 73,404 0.37 
Other investments 55,886 100% 55,886 0.28 
Trade & other receivables 23,885 75% 17,914 0.09 
Inventories 17,367 50% 8,684 0.04 
Property, plant and equipment 66,959 50% 33,480 0.17 
Other assets 3,295 0% xxxx xxxx 
Total assets 240,796 xxxx 189,367 0.95 
Non-Controlling Interests (6,876) 100% (6,876) (0.03) 
TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES (20,421) 100% (20,421) (0.10) 
Net assets 213,499 xxxx 162,070 xxxx 
Number of shares 200,380 xxxx 200,380 xxxx 
NAB 1.07 xxxx 0.809 0.809 

The table above shows that the net asset backing (NAB) of Hexza is RM1.07. At this morning’s closing price of 77.5 sen, it is traded at a huge discount of 27% to its NAB. The net-net valuation of Hexza is shown to be 81 sen, which is still higher than its price. 

Isn’t Hexza an undervalued stock as shown above? Wait until we perform some basic checks. 

3 Basic Checks to Perform for a Net Net 
For a net net to be investable, it should have 
• a solid balance sheet, preferably more cash than inventories and receivables. 
• is not bleeding cash. At least breaking even or positive in net profit. 
• positive EBITDA 

The first check shows that Hexza has most of its net-net assets in high quality assets in cash and cash equivalent amount to 65 sen per share. Hence we can safely confirm that the quality of the assets is excellent. Next to check is “Is it bleeding cash” and if it has positive Ebitda? 

The latest annual financial results ended 30 June 2013 shows Hexza’s made a net profit of 8m and 4m, or EPS of 4.2sen and 3 sen respectively in 2013 and 2012. Cash flow from operations amounts to 20m with free cash flow of 18.7m last financial year. This FCF is a high of 15% (>10%) of revenue. Hence Hexza passes these checks with flying colours. 

Conclusions 
Hexza qualifies as Graham net net investment strategy with a wide margin of safety. It can also stand on its own as a value investment stock as a going concern with the high dividend yield investing strategy.

 

Posted by kcchongnz at Nov 8, 2013 02:42 PM

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1 person likes this. Showing 6 of 6 comments

kcchongnz

The Graham net net valuation gives a minimum value of Hexza per share of 81 sen. This assumes that the owners say we don't want to do any business now and let us sell us all the assets we have; the equity investment we have at market price, collect all the receivables and assumes that 75% of them are collected; sell off all the inventories, properties, plant and equipment and assuming get back only 50% of the book value of them, and then pay off all liabilities and share of uncontrolled interest. So one can see this is quite a conservative way to value Hexza, and yet it should worth at least 81 sen.

But Hexza is an established manufacturing company engaged in the manufacture and sales of formaldehyde based adhesives and resins for timber related industries, ethyl alcohol, natural vinegar, cooler, liquefied carbon dioxide and kaoliang wine for a long time. They have been consistently making profit and cash flows, paying dividends to shareholders for years consistently. It is still a viable going concern, albeit with little growth. So if the company wants to sell off its business, it can still base on an earnings valuation.

Hexza has an earnings before interest and tax (Ebit) of 9.33m last year. It has an excess cash of 129m, and no debts. If Hexza's business can be sold off at just a reasonable low price of enterprise value 8 times its Ebit, Hexza's market capitalization should worth about 200m, or a share price of RM1.00 per share.

2013-11-11 11:55

miketyu

If a share is trading below its net asset per share, does it means that the share is undervalued? or we have to take into account of their cash balance as well?

2013-11-13 10:15

kcchongnz

Posted by miketyu > Nov 13, 2013 10:15 AM | Report Abuse
If a share is trading below its net asset per share, does it means that the share is undervalued? or we have to take into account of their cash balance as well?

Not all assets are equal. Would you prefer the assets of a company to be more valuable assets such as land bank at good locations which has not been valued for ages, commercial properties giving high yields, investment in liquid investment such as bank deposit, listed shares; or do you prefer assets in plant and equipment which is obsolete, inventories which is out of fashion and use, receivables which you don't even know they are collectible?

Read the article posted by Tan KW long ago below:

http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/kianweiaritcles/38350.jsp

2013-11-13 11:05

bugle

Excellent analysis, Master Tan KW. Believe it will have more upside potential. Thanks for sharing!

2013-11-13 18:56

AyamTua

read this .. Hexza, zero debt with cash .. aka bank vault with extra safety protection - a future $1.00 company

2013-11-22 16:05

steelman

No issue on liquidity with almost zero gearing. Business performance indicate sustainability but management team apparently conservative. At this price it can be target of takeover, if major shareholders willing to sell.Very good upside. Ayam Tua is right!!

2014-06-27 21:29

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