THE INVESTMENT APPROACH OF CALVIN TAN

A New Lesson For Investors - Koon Yew Yin (A new Ponzi Game by Uncle Koon (Calvin comments)

calvintaneng
Publish date: Sat, 27 May 2017, 02:52 PM
calvintaneng
0 1,799
Hi Guys,

I have An Investment Approach I which I would like to all.

A New Lesson For Investors - Koon Yew Yin

Author:   |    Publish date: 

 

 


 

Just basing on FA and TA to buy shares will not make you rich. You need some business sense to be rich. 
 
Both JAKS and Eversendai have reported losses in 2016, last year. All the expert accountants basing on audited accounts, would not buy them because they could not see the future of the companies. They have no business sense and they do not care what the companies are doing. 
 
They will only buy when the companies show profit and when the price charts show that the prices have gone up higher than the 70 day moving average. 
 
As show on the price charts, JAKS has gone up from Rm 1.00 to Rm 1.58, a rise of 58%, in the last 5 months and Eversendai has gone up from 58 sens in January to close at 98 sen yesterday, a rise of 70% in 5 months. They are still waiting for their prices to go higher than the 70day moving average to start buying. By then many shareholders will be selling and laughing to the bank.  
 
Why are these accountants missing this golden opportunity to make money?  
 

JAKS 

You can see from the price charts that JAKS has gone up from Rm 1.00 in January to close at Rm 1.58 yesterday. In fact, in early April it shot up to Rm 1.72, a rise of 72% in about 4 months with an average daily of more than 3 million shares. In fact, the average daily turnover in the last 4 weeks is 3.3 million shares. 
 
As announced by the company I own 96.5 million shares which I have bought in the last 4 months. Since the daily turnover is more than 3 million shares, there must a lot of people also buying and selling the shares. I alone could not have bought so much shares to push up the share price so rapidly.  
 
My sole reason to buy JAKS is because the company secured a contract to construct 2 X 600 MW coal power plant to sell electricity to the Vietnamese Government. 
 
To ensure that the whole project can be completed satisfactorily, the company managed to subcontract the whole project to the Chinese JV partner who has been involved in 90 percent of the coal generated electricity in China. They must have studied the power purchase agreement (PPA) and are prepared to undertake such a large investment of about Rm 7.5 billion. 
 
In return, JAKS will receives about RM 400 million during the construction of the power plant and 40% of the profit every year from the electric sales for 25 years. 
 
From the recent announcement, you can see that the company has received an initial of about Rm 60 million out of the Rm 400 million. Unfortunately, a large part of this profit was used to pay for the interest charges for the loan taken for its property development business. 
 
I bought so much JAKS because it is sure of making huge profit. It has a very good profit growth prospect which is the most powerful catalyst to move share price. 
 
  
 

Eversendai

You can see from the price chart that Eversendai has gone up from 58 sen in January to close at 98.5 sen, a rise of 70% in 5 months. Record shows that it average daily turnover in the last 4 week has been 6.24 million shares.  
 
As announced by the company, I own 52.7 million shares which I bought in the last 5 months. I became the 2nd largest shareholder of the company. I could not be the one pushing up the price so rapidly basing on the daily turnover of 6.24 million shares. 
 
I bought so much Eversendai shares because I am very impressed by its fantastic track record. If you look at its website you will know what I mean. From my long experience in the construction industry, I know that the company is specialised in huge steel structures which has less competitors. As a result, the company can secure large volume of business.
 
Recently the company issued the following press release: 
 
EVERSENDAI SECURES CONTRACTS WORTH RM 1.3 BILLION IN 2017 Eversendai with presence in 15 different countries, today announced that it has secured projects worth RM557.6 million to-date, bringing a total of RM1.3 billion projects secured for the year 2017. The company has secured the historical largest volume of contracts and it has written off all its losses in the oil and gas investment. I believe it will continue to show increasing profit.  
 
 
 
 

Disclaimer

I am obliged to inform you that I am a substantial shareholder of each of the 2 companies and I am not asking you to buy or sell. If you decide to buy or sell, you are doing it at your own risk.
 

Calvin comments:

Calvin thinks Uncle Koon has started his own Ponzi games in Jaks & Sendai

 

Stay tuned for more

 

Regards,

 

Calvin Tan Research

 

Hi guys, 

What is a ponzi scheme? 

A ponzi game is when monies pour in more and more drawing in vast amount of greedy people thinking of a fast kill. 

Like this 

JJPTR was started to give all early birds a 20% dividend monthly. And those "generals" who went in early recruited all their comrades to join in later. 

The generals could be 

1)The Father. He tells his wife & children to invest in JJPTR because he got proof that he received 20% profit every month. So all of them being greedy poured in their pooled life savings 

2) The Company Boss 
He tells his workers to follow in same pattern 

3) The Headmaster 
He told his teachers to join him 

4) The Stock Broker 
He tells his customers to make a quick buck 

5) An outspoken Peer Alpha Leader 
He told all his other followers to join the party 

6) And so the Game Grew Bigger & Bigger 

7) Now Monies got sucked in far and wide. Finally over Rm1.5 Billions were collected. 

8) It even sucked in people (suckers) from oversea. 25% of JJPTR victims were from foreign countries. 

Aha! Who were the winners? 

Answer: 

The ones who got in early. 

So The Father received 20% monthly while his wife and children suffered losses later. 

The headmaster made a killings at the expense of his teachers 

The Stock Broker laughing all the way to the Banks while the customers got bled dry. 

The Alpha Leader dance with windfall while his followers are left in limbo 

The Ones that GOT IN EARLY MADE A KILLING WHILE THOSE WHO ENTERED LATER GOT KILLED!! 

Foreigners lost their monies to Malaysians who escaped with the booty early? 

So you SEE 

The Rm1.7 Billions are not lost. Monies only shifted position from  Johnny came lately victims to early birds. 

So there is no real productive investment 

IT IS ONLY A MONEY GAME. 

A GAME OF PASSING MONIES FROM MOST FOOLISH HANDS INTO LESS FOOLISH HANDS!


So - early fools also made monies if they escaped early!!  And all who greedily overstayed until the very end got slaughtered one by one later.

See 

http://www.affordablecebu.com/load/finance_wealth/jpptr_all_you_need_to_know_is_it_a_scam_and_how_to_join/34-1-0-30467

 

How Uncle Koon Pumped Up Jaks could be seen clearly below

 

 

 

 

 

 

Extra facts and figures how Sendai was pushed up

 

Jaks is a CYCLICAL STOCK! 

See 

prices of Jaks in years past 

JAKS RESOURCES 

Year...........Px Range Year low...............Year high.... 

2004......................1.06....................1.91 
2005......................0.40....................2.14 
2006......................0.40....................0.72 
2007......................0.41....................1.51 
2008......................0.26....................1.46 
2009......................0.31....................0.49 

Above figures extracted from STOCK PERFORMANCE GUIDE by Dynaquest (2009 March Edition)

So the best time to buy Jaks was near its bottom of 40 sen 

See 
 

 Posted by calvintaneng > Dec 16, 2014 03:00 PM Report Abuse X

Whoa! 

Top boss bought at 44 cents and above, millions of them. Anything below 40 cents is a bargain! 

So don't wait or else Jaks jump Jump JUMP Up And Away!


And Jaks now near historical peak is at its most dangerous! 

All the sorchai plus Uncle KYY & his stockmonkey are playing with fire! 

Better sell Jaks and switch to laggard cyclical counters that haven't move yet 

Discussions
1 person likes this. Showing 50 of 223 comments

Apollo Ang

opcom tak boleh lah,pakatan win only I buy senergy and opcom......hehehe

2017-05-28 12:29

cheoky

哈哈哈。。。both calvin and stockmonkey are打不死的小强。。but i prefer calvin.lolx

2017-05-28 12:32

moneykj

Pity for those who sell Sendai at 0.51 and buy Dutaland at 0.45 on Calvin the terbalik king recommendation. Pity...pity...

Dutaland is a value play? U buta or what?

2017-05-28 12:37

John Lu

Calvintaneng sochai rank 224 after 5 month...can u imagine this talk kok king so thick skin? Haha

2017-05-28 12:39

John Lu

If I rank 224, I will keep queit and diam diam go hide myself already. This calvintaneng tak tau malu...typical singapore car salesman

2017-05-28 12:40

Patron

Calvin even quoted Jesus here. Alamak knnbccb. Tin kosong always make the loudest noise.

2017-05-28 12:46

John Lu

Dont blame calvintaneng so much, if u know he is car salesman then u should know his low life standard. No wonder all his pick go holland chun hun potong kuku...haha haha

2017-05-28 12:48

Patron

I don't blame him bro John Lu. We are all here to make fun of him only. It is ok to be a Sohai but it is not ok to go around and pretend you are a smartass.

2017-05-28 12:49

Patron

Chun chun holang call. Best in Singapore and Jb. Some say Batam

2017-05-28 12:50

John Lu

Hahahaha...ya...this sochai calvintaneng tak tau malu...he naked infront of us and let us laugh at him but he still dont know wanna act smart. LOL

2017-05-28 12:50

John Lu

CPO >6K aldready?
Bjcorp rm10 already?
Mulpha back to its NTA 90c already?

LOL...there are many other classic example from holland king calvintaneng...maybe he can cheat among other car salesman but all i3 investor here all smater than u lo, mr sochai calvintaneng!

Nah!! Pui!!

2017-05-28 12:53

moneykj

Kiasu with his twisted facts, TA skill zero, market sense zero, results 5%. The most I can rank him is slightly higher than CP Teh.

2017-05-28 13:01

Patron

I think Cp teh wins.. Calvin only has chance to win when it comes to articles words length. 1000 words but zero contents.. hip hip hooray !

2017-05-28 13:07

moneykj

CP Teh entertain us with his short selling. Clueless Kiasu with his Hip hip hooray.

2017-05-28 13:08

CharlesT

Oldman with his noble intention...lol

2017-05-28 13:09

tksw

calvintaneng sifu, U dare tok super-investor, you want die arr? super-investor now more advance already, no tok past performance Qtr higher Qtr already, ppl tok future already. Golden rule became silver rule. now golden rule now is business sense.

2017-05-28 13:12

Patron

Now we have another joker in forum .. ah di. Another sinkalang

2017-05-28 13:13

tksw

Jilakak, there is one stock dunno why KYY have no business sense at all...

2017-05-28 13:15

calvintaneng

Want some jokes

Here you go

Watch

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9vSVvQwwkgk

2017-05-28 13:18

Patron

Want some jokes? Read Calvin's articles. Hip hip hooray !!

2017-05-28 13:19

anbz2

Posted by calvintaneng >
May 28, 2017 12:25 PM |
Report Abuse

Calvin has no enemy. To Calvin you all are misguided souls.


-----------

huh?you are no enemy.calvin is a joke for public to laugh at.hahahahaha!

2017-05-28 13:37

Tai KT

let us have different thoughts, I3 might be too boring and we need. some fun from some people. Depends on how you look at it, I sincerely thank for all the author to post any articles. It fill up the imperfections.

2017-05-28 16:39

cloudtrip

Seems KYY having problem with TA+FA sifu whose lost from I3 long time ago.

2017-05-28 16:48

kcchongnz

Let us consult the most active accountant in this forum, the one and only Stockmanny.

Is the following statement extracted from the article correct?

"From the recent announcement, you can see that the company has received an initial of about Rm 60 million out of the Rm 400 million. Unfortunately, a large part of this profit was used to pay for the interest charges for the loan taken for its property development business."

2017-05-28 17:37

probability

wah..if cost of Debt is an 'unfortunate' thing...what about cost of Equity...also unfortunate? Having a feeling all going to end up...unfortunate.

2017-05-28 17:45

mneo

I think kcchongnz refers the 6.1 million LAD charges paid by JAKS to Pacific Star for "....interest charges for the loan taken for its property development business."

2017-05-28 19:52

kelvin61

KC, he doesn't seem to know what the heck he's talking about most of the time. Believe you me, you should leave him alone, cheers.

2017-05-28 19:59

stockraider

Post removed.Why?

2017-05-28 20:08

kelvin61

Sorry stockraider, I meant the guy called Manny and not KC, cheers.

2017-05-28 20:13

mneo

31 Mar 2017
RM'OOO
Expense
Interest Expense 6,176
Depreciation and Amortisation 3,549
Liquidated and ascertained damages 6,119
Loss on disposal of property, plant & equipment 256
Share of Loss in Joint Venture 50

The interest costs 6.1 million and LAD costs 6.1 million. I think the property development business costs interest and LAD, total to 12+million.

2017-05-28 20:52

calvintaneng

Hi guys,

These are the warning signs for Jaks

I just looked up on Jaks's prospect in Hải Dương Province. See
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/H%E1%BA%A3i_D%C6%B0%C6%A1ng_Province


1) Jaks will face low demand & overcapacity in Hanoi.

It has a population of only 1.7 million people. 800,000 are employed and about 500,000 are in agriculture.

So only a mere 300,000 people are in industry.

So will Jaks power plant when ready - will there be enough demand for its power supply?

2) Jaks' power plant might face delay due to Hải Dương Province being a bombed out zone during Vietnam war. See https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fqP2qRfmoQA

In 1972 US B52 Carpet Bomb Hanoi - so the whole place must be cleared of leftover bombs. Jaks' power plant was delayed from starting for 3 years from 2014 to 2017.

So will its completion be also delayed for another 5 years.


3) Earnings from power plants at best reach 6%. See YTL Power example - it has a 6% profit rate. With such low profits even at full capacity by YTL Power will Jaks get a superior return?

4) Cost of Gas & Petrol are expensive in Vietnam compared to Malaysia.
Will Jaks' cost of operation be prohibitive.

5) China Company JV with Jaks is overhyped. Look at BPuri. BPuri already has a JV with China Company in Kuantan for a portion of the Rm15 Billions project award.
By this logic BPuri should be a better option than Jaks?

6) Jaks at 40 sen was cheap because of its NTA over Rm1.00. Jaks over Rm1.58 is trading far above NTA - so there is no margin of safety.

7) Jaks is a Cyclical Counter

prices of Jaks in years past

JAKS RESOURCES

Year...........Px Range Year low...............Year high....

2004......................1.06....................1.91
2005......................0.40....................2.14
2006......................0.40....................0.72
2007......................0.41....................1.51
2008......................0.26....................1.46
2009......................0.31....................0.49

Above figures extracted from STOCK PERFORMANCE GUIDE by Dynaquest (2009 March Edition)

So the best time to buy Jaks was near its bottom of 40 sen. Now is too dangerous to chase Jaks.

The risk and reward does not favour chasing Jaks for now.

2017-05-28 21:16

kelvin61

Calvin, no need to do the hard work for these guys. Let them learn the hard way. Your efforts will not be appreciated by those obsessed with this stock and their idol. I supposed they worship him. Wait till they get burnt often enough like in the past will they get sober up. Please leave them alone. It's not productive to go on like this. This silly stock has never made the news and probably won't going forward, cheers.

2017-05-28 21:24

3iii

KYY argues his valuation of Jaks and Sendai based on his understanding of the businesses of these companies.

Calvin argues based on his emotional understanding of the prices of these companies.

Your decision has to be based on whether these companies' businesses and valuations are within your circle of competence.

If they are, do your own valuations.

If they are not, just enjoy the show from the side lines. :-)

2017-05-28 21:50

calvintaneng

Posted by 3iii > May 28, 2017 09:50 PM | Report Abuse

KYY argues his valuation of Jaks and Sendai based on his understanding of the businesses of these companies.

Calvin argues based on his emotional understanding of the prices of these companies.

Your decision has to be based on whether these companies' businesses and valuations are within your circle of competence.

If they are, do your own valuations.

If they are not, just enjoy the show from the side lines. :-)


WHOA!

Looks like after stockmonkey doing PLP

this 3iii also want to learn PLP?

What a joke.

2017-05-28 21:55

Patron

Calvin, want to see the biggest clown in town? Go find a mirror.

2017-05-28 21:58

davidkkw79

He should only able to see a Monkey from mirror.

2017-05-28 22:01

Patron

Again and again this idiot refuses to answer when we need an explanation from his zun zun holang picks. So good in telling lies and pusing . You are actually an Indian ah ?? Knnbccb.

2017-05-28 22:04

3iii

http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/koonyewyinblog/123964.jsp

Latest article by KYY explaining the importance of understanding the business of the company you are going to invest into.

2017-05-28 22:07

probability

Calvin, suggest you re-post a comment able version of Mr.Koon's sandiwara post below...

http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/koonyewyinblog/123964.jsp

2017-05-28 22:08

3iii

My Basic Value Investing Framework -

1. Understand the business
2. Competitive Advantages
3. Ability and Trustworthiness of management.
4. Buy at a good price (a) Find intrinsic value of the company (b) Incorporate a Margin of Safety and buy at a bargain price.

Think like a winner.


The first basic point is actually UNDERSTAND THE BUSINESS.

Do you understand the business you are investing in?

What advantage do you have when you are selling (or buying) over the buyer (or seller)?

If the company is not within (or outside) your circle of competence, look for another company.

2017-05-28 22:12

calvintaneng

Posted by probability > May 28, 2017 10:08 PM | Report Abuse

Calvin, suggest you re-post a comment able version of Mr.Koon's sandiwara post below...

http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/koonyewyinblog/123964.jsp

Ok Mr Probability

I will post it soon

But I am quite busy.

So please take charge Ok,

Thank you and others in advance

2017-05-28 22:14

kelvin61

Isn't it ironic that the person who owns the most number of shares in the company is not even represented in the board. This must be a first in corporate Malaysia. So, how to ensure the interest is protected? Also strange is if the share is selling for a a song, why is the MD having a paltry quantum of less than10% of the PUC? Think about it and don't get taken for a ride, cheers.

2017-05-28 22:14

probability

ok, i also lazy to comment on this sandiwara....long live Mr.Koon the business entrepreneur, stockman the PLP king, sifu OTB the TA master, sifu KC the Financial X-ray and all...getting fed up with all these rubbish..

I just need a logical business analysis like a few who can provide in i3 occasionally...i think that's all there is.

2017-05-28 22:21

calvintaneng

Posted by davidkkw79 > May 28, 2017 10:01 PM | Report Abuse

He should only able to see a Monkey from mirror.

OHOH

YOU GONE UP A MONKEY COMPANY IN TUNEPRO?

SEE


davidkkw79
I think this counter has infected by I wanna cry virus.
25/05/2017 22:50


davidkkw79
If based on Tony's speech, everything is big and better! But as what you see the result is terrible. Tony's word is fake, opt in ruling impact is true. Pls don't lie yourself. The fact always is cruel.
26/05/2017 20:04

2017-05-28 22:21

stockraider

Post removed.Why?

2017-05-28 22:27

gladiator

Indirectly KYY is asking everyone to stay away from Calvin Holland stock GSB & Dutaland

2017-05-28 23:16

kelvin61

Raider, good observation from you. Hope, visitors to this blog will exercise caution on self proclaimed super investor stocks as he will be the first to exit when dark clouds appear on his stocks. When that happens, it will dtop like ten pins just like if JTiasa, Xingquan, etc. causing many families to suffer huge losses for buying these inflated shares.

2017-05-29 09:30

kcchongnz

Posted by kcchongnz > May 28, 2017 05:37 PM | Report Abuse X
Let us consult the most active accountant in this forum, the one and only Stockmanny.
Is the following statement extracted from the article correct?
"From the recent announcement, you can see that the company has received an initial of about Rm 60 million out of the Rm 400 million. Unfortunately, a large part of this profit was used to pay for the interest charges for the loan taken for its property development business."

Stockmanny, why haven't you clarify my question above since you promoted this stock so much?

2017-05-29 13:12

pussycats

good discussion here

2017-06-07 02:05

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