THE INVESTMENT APPROACH OF CALVIN TAN

1997/8 ASIAN Stock Crashed. 2007/8 Subprime Crash. 2018 Crash Or Hyper Inflation? Calvin Tan

calvintaneng
Publish date: Fri, 09 Feb 2018, 01:00 AM
calvintaneng
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Hi Guys,

I have An Investment Approach I which I would like to all.

Hi Guys / Gals

 

WILL THE NEXT CRISIS BE DEPRESSION OR HYPER INFLATION?

NO ONE KNOWS AS YET. BUT WITH FED MONEY PRINTING EITHER ONE IS POSSIBLE. BUT PRAY THAT EVERYTHING IS STATUS QUO

 

SEE THE POSSIBILITY OF HYPERINFLATION

 

Worthless currency becomes 

art, of sorts, in struggling 

Venezuela

 

Wilmer Rojas, 25, shows the purses he sewn up, using Bolivar bills, in Caracas January 30, 2018. — AFPWilmer Rojas, 25, shows the purses he sewn up, using Bolivar bills, in Caracas January 30, 2018. — AFPCARACAS, Feb 8 — Venezuela’s currency has lost so much value that people simply throw away their small bills — they are virtually worthless anyway.

Enter Wilmer Rojas, 25, who scoops them up off the street, uses an origami-like folding technique, a needle and thread to make handbags with an eye to selling them — maybe even abroad, where people have real money.

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Rojas can use as many as 800 bills to make such a purse. And if you add up the face value of all that money, it’s enough to buy... half a kilo (one pound) of rice. Rojas and his wife have three kids to feed, and another is on the way.

“People throw them away because they are no good to buy anything. No one even accepts them anymore,” Rojas told AFP outside a subway station, where he also sells coffee and cigarettes in addition to his unusual bag-weaving work.

Meanwhile, inflation in this oil-rich, cash-poor economy churns on and on: Since August, the bolivar has lost 87 per cent of its value against the euro.

Inflation this year is forecast by the International Monetary Fund to come in at a staggering 13,000 per cent.

With two-, five- and 10-bolivar notes, “you can’t even buy a piece of candy,” Rojas says, explaining how he used 400 such bills to make a smaller handbag.  

Rojas then points to a queen’s crown he made out of bolivar notes.

“Here there are about 50,000 bolivars, which is maybe enough for a pack of cigarettes,” he explains.

Wilmer Rojas, 25, sits at a bus stop in Caracas as he sews Bolivar bills, to make crafts on January 30, 2018. — AFP picWilmer Rojas, 25, sits at a bus stop in Caracas as he sews Bolivar bills, to make crafts on January 30, 2018. — AFP picPlay money

Rojas says he learned his craft from another makeshift artist.

“You can use magazine paper or newspaper pulp, but currency notes are better because they are not worth anything, they are all the same size and you don’t have to waste time cutting them,” Rojas said.

He hopes to start selling his creations soon. But he fears Venezuela’s economic crisis may foil his plans.

“Here, people barely have enough to put food on the table and are not going to shell out money for something that required a lot of work,” he says.

In downtown Caracas, other hungry artisans are selling woven bags like these. They get as much as 300,000 bolivars for one of them. That will buy you a kilo of meat.

Economist Tamara Herrera said the fact that Venezuela’s currency is now used as play money is the maximum expression of how much value it has lost.

Wilmer Rojas, 25, sits at a bus stop in Caracas as he sews Bolivar bills, to make a paper crown on January 30, 2018. — AFP picWilmer Rojas, 25, sits at a bus stop in Caracas as he sews Bolivar bills, to make a paper crown on January 30, 2018. — AFP pic‘Venezuela devalued’

With 1,000 two-bolivar notes that nobody wants, Jose Leon, a 26-year-old designer, began a protest on Instagram in 2016 that featured doctored notes and the hashtag #venezueladevaluada, or devalued Venezuela.

Deadpool, the anti-hero in the Marvel comics, was the inspiration for his first work on currency notes, using his face to replace that of independence hero Simon Bolivar.

Leon has also drawn the faces of Star Wars characters over that of Bolivar and other famous Venezuelans pictured on the notes.

Leon’s customers live abroad and pay him up to US$20 (RM80) per piece of “money art.”

“With a bit of Wite-Out and some pens, I can raise the value of the currency by nearly 5,000 per cent,” Leon said at his workshop in San Cristobal, a city on Venezuela’s border with Colombia.

Leon is doing well with his art. But Rojas is still struggling to make money — in the meantime, he is using notes to make a carnival costume for his daughter.

“These things are no good for buying anything. At least I am putting them to good use rather than throwing them away,” said Rojas. — AFP

 

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Discussions
1 person likes this. Showing 47 of 47 comments

HIBISCUS SaiLang with TP RM4

Sochai calvintaneng bad luck...when u all in until fully ultilise your cash with borrowing to invest and market drop for another 1000 point to9. Total drop of 2300 point past 5 days...wakakaka...so, your stock went down cheaper, what now? Borrow ah long to average down?? Real sochai calvintaneng bad karma

2018-02-09 05:40

calvintaneng

Good morning

TODAY IS ANOTHER DAY FOR OPERASI TONG SAMPAH

I HAVE INVESTED ALL MY 5% SPARE CASH.

AND I BORROWED ANOTHER 1%

SO MY TOTAL INVESTMENT IN VALUE SHARES SOLD DOWN INTO BARGAIN BASEMENT LEVELS CURRENTLY STANDS AT 6%

I WILL GET ANOTHER 1% OD TO BOTTOM FISH TODAY

MAYBE AT THE VERY BOTTOM OF FEAR AND PANIC I MIGHT HAVE INVESTED 10%?

THIS IS THE TIME TO HAVE HEART OF LION AND NERVE OF STEEL

2018-02-09 07:21

EngineeringProfit

Wow........I admire your unshakeable spirit........very determined to ride through storm, huh

2018-02-09 07:25

calvintaneng

Thank you.

i am here for such a time like this

I CALL PEOPLE TO GO UNDER THE SHELTER OF SAFE. SOUND. VALUE STOCKS WHICH CAN SURVIVE A FINANCIAL STORM.

THIS HAS BEEN MY PURPOSE AND CALLING.

I HOPE TO KEEP SHOWING WHAT IS SAFE TO BUY IN A TIME WHEN MANY DO NOT KNOW DANGERS IN THE MARKET PLACE.

2018-02-09 07:31

joetay

tun clown @calvintaneng, u just reached a new level of 'greatness' of market toxic.

congrats, congrats.

lol............

2018-02-09 08:13

HIBISCUS SaiLang with TP RM4

This sochai calvin has the imagination dread disease

2018-02-09 08:15

hollandking

joetay, i really wonder, what are you trying to achieve bashing calvin like that? Do you really feel happy doing so? Ask yourself,why. You look really bad to the public, read back what you had written.

2018-02-09 08:16

joetay

exactly, as long as u go against this clown's position, u will win.

i know he is toxic to stocks, but now he is on a whole new level of toxic. can even influence dow jones now.

lol...........

2018-02-09 08:17

joetay

just the laughs of making fun of this clown @calvintaneng in a boring mkt, @hollandking.

i cant stand stupidity and this clown is forever talking nonsense.

2018-02-09 08:53

Sslee

Dear Calvintaneng,
In 1998, as one of the attempts to weather the 1997 Asian financial crisis, Dr. Mahathir fully suspended the trading of CLOB (Central Limit Order Book) counters, indefinitely freezing approximately US$4.47 billion worth of shares and affecting 172,000 investors, most of them Singaporeans and pegged the MYR to USD at 3.80. These actions cut off the rogue traders short selling and save the day for the Singaporeans and Malaysians alike who hold onto their share and make those bottom fishermen who had bought Public Bank below RM 1.00 pretty rich. Of cause the lessons learned is forgotten by current PM who three day ago plan to allow for day shorting, stock link with SGX and boasting never again pegged the Malaysia ringgit.
Wishing all go luck and happy bargain hunting
Thank you

2018-02-09 08:59

Junichiro

Do not know if Bursa can withstand shortselling. Well, if it fails, gomen will do a u turn and suspend the stock exchange and many ikan bilis will be trapped.

2018-02-09 09:46

hollandking

that is a good question. can withstand short selling or not

2018-02-09 09:48

calvintaneng

I think what Najib did is correct. Leave the market to be free and open.

Capitalism will still be the best course.

Market control will distort value.

REAL VALUE DETERMINES ACTUAL MARKET VALUE EVENTUALLY. SHORT TERM HUMAN MIGHT MANIPULATE OR DISTORT ITS TRUE NATURE.

2018-02-09 09:54

Junichiro

If KLSE can withstand short selling, there is no need to block CLOB years back.

2018-02-09 10:04

PotentialGhost

Calvin Nick name is 5%investor , every moment also invest 5% ,bull market 5% bear also 5% that why calvin can survive until today , lose little earn little

2018-02-09 10:21

pang72

Mr 5..

2018-02-09 12:49

Patron

be fearful when king of terbalik is greedy..

2018-02-09 13:04

pang72

Ya, stock market is terbalik

2018-02-09 13:11

Lukesharewalker

short selling is limited to borrowed shares only which has a cost attached

2018-02-09 13:19

joetay

clown @calvintaneng dont need to worry abt the interest costs.

he has an imaginary banker to give him unlimited ods.

2018-02-09 15:11

tecpower

The US semiconductor index was up 3.05% on Friday.
https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/index/sox

USDMYR is almost 3.94. It has been going up steadily recently.

US dollar posts best week in 15 months amid market turmoil
http://www.businesstimes.com.sg/banking-finance/us-dollar-posts-best-week-in-15-months-amid-market-turmoil

Good for Malaysian semiconductor stocks

2018-02-10 09:23

aiinvestor

UPDATE 1-Speculators reduce short U.S. dollar bets this week -CFTC, Reuters
http://www.kitco.com/news/2018-02-09/UPDATE-1-Speculators-reduce-short-U-S-dollar-bets-this-week-CFTC-Reuters.html

Feb 9 (Reuters) - Speculators' net short U.S. dollar bets declined for the first time in six weeks, according to calculations by Reuters and Commodity Futures Trading Commission data released on Friday.

2018-02-10 09:35

aiinvestor

An Emerging Haven, China Permitting
The global economy still looks good, and these assets have underperformed for years.

Worried about rising U.S. bond yields? Emerging markets and junk bonds are usually among the first to sell off when global risk aversion strikes. They may provide more protection this time around.
https://www.bloomberg.com/gadfly/articles/2018-02-09/emerging-markets-can-still-be-a-haven-if-china-behaves

2018-02-10 09:39

aiinvestor

Even Warren Buffett made rookie mistakes in 2008 — how to avoid them in 2018
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/even-warren-buffett-made-big-mistakes-in-2008-heres-how-to-avoid-them-now-2018-02-07

2018-02-10 10:46

tecpower

Why has ringgit been stable? Becuase USD has not been so strong. In fact most currencies in emerging markets have been quite stable during the global stock sell-off because USD has not been so strong. That's why stocks in emerging markets have been outperfperforming stocks in developped countries during the global stock sell-off. Malaysians don't need to worry about the global stock sell-off as long as ringgit has been stable.

2018-02-10 23:58

stncws

clvin always talk 97/98, he is history teacher not investor, he is talking only MUI BERJAYA MRCB...

2018-02-11 15:54

calvintaneng

MUI. BERJAYA. MRCB?

YOU HIT THE NAIL ON THE HEAD CHUN CHUN!!

MRCB!!

SEE

WWW.MRCB.COM.MY

2018-02-11 20:10

joetay

but question is this, tun clown @calvintaneng.

u entered on monday and the market continue dropping to sunday. since u r borrowing on od and with ur many ods over the mths maturing everyday, r u able to pay or extend them????

lol..............

2018-02-11 20:14

pang72

So, Monday Dow fall 1500points ..even worst?
I think ...it will...

2018-02-11 20:17

calvintaneng

Monday just watch Trump asking Congress for
USD1.5 TRILLIONS FOR INFRAR WORKS.

THIS IS KEYNESIAN DOCTRINE OF ECONOMIC STIMULATION

PAUL KRUGMAN AND HELICOPTER BEN BENANKE FAVORITE!!

PAPER CURRENCY HOARDERS ARE DOOMED BY HYPER INFLATION

THESE ARE REFUGES OF SAFETY

1. GOLD
2. GOVT BONDS
3. SHARES OF SOLID COMPANIES
4. REAL ESTATE. FARM LANDS

ANYTHING THAT MONEY CANNOT PRINT.

2018-02-11 20:25

Shahrizal Sukri

i might be wrong but market tell me it still bearish bias, Many people think we will see DJI on downside, correction phase. If you really think now cheap depends on your benchmark. Next week we will enter ranging period mostly due to low volume as well.

2018-02-11 20:27

calvintaneng

NEXT FEW DAYS WHEN MANY INCLUDING FUND MANAGERS GO FOR HOLIDAYS WILL BE THE BEST OF TIME TO BARGAIN HUNT SOME MORE.

JUST CONTINUE

"OPERASI TONG SAMPAH"

2018-02-11 20:29

calvintaneng

FOR TRADERS AND GAMBLERS THAT THRIVE ON MARKET FLUCTUATION NEXT WEEK MIGHT BE UNEVENTFUL

FOR VALUE HUNTERS

ANY TIME IS A GOOD TIME IF THE PRICE IS RIGHT

ANY THING DUMP FAR BELOW INTRINSIC VALUE IS A GOOD BUY.

JUST BUY. AND HOLD TIGHT.

THIS IS IT.

FEARFUL TIMES ARE GREAT OPPORTUNITY TIMES TO SCOOP UP BARGAINS

2018-02-11 20:35

joetay

and suddenly, tun clown @calvintaneng talks abt intrinsic value.

do u think ur picks of mui/bj/bonia has any intrinsic value????

there wont be any good bargains of good stocks like cimb/genting this week, this, i can say with confidence.

2018-02-11 20:42

miker

Msia 2018 crash because BN win GE14 again. Mark my word

2018-02-11 20:43

calvintaneng

Mkt crash due to BN win?

This might be true.

Since KLSE already so subdued due to so much fear & uncertainties of 1MDB, GE14 Election, Dr M jv with Pakatan. And ills of low Crude & CPO prices

THE OPPOSITE COULD BE TRUE

IT DOES NOT MATTER WHO IS THE WINNER

THE PENT UP SPRING BACK FROM DEPRESSED PRICES WILL CAUSE KLSE TO GO UP!

2018-02-11 20:51

joetay

tun clown @calvintaneng, u still havent tell me if mui/bj/bonia has good intrinsic values.

i m curious since u keep on promoting them.

lol..........

2018-02-11 21:02

pang72

Market crash before Malaysia election.
So, regardless who's win, it is crash.

2018-02-11 21:11

calvintaneng

From now till GE14 Election will be BN PUMP PRIMING

See

Najib: 2018 will be a good year for Malaysia


PUTRAJAYA: Datuk Seri Najib Tun Razak says 2018 will be a year of success and

impressive results for Malaysia.

"If 2017 is the year of delivery, the aim is for 2018 to be a year where we see success and

impressive results.

2018-02-11 21:19

apolloang

datuk calvin why u can listen to jibby announcement? he tipu many during budget for education,many bought sasbadi,down more than 50% and u mention ppg sleeping until now.

2018-02-11 21:26

calvintaneng

Sasbadi i don't know.

Najib promised JackMa jv with DRB/Pos came true. As well as Geely jv with Proton. So i made more than 100% in Drb already

NOW i think MRCB will be next in focus

2018-02-11 21:38

pang72

Calvin your subject title is market crash.
Every one read on the title is panicking.
The fear is spreading . The 1997 census was worst ever. The repeat of same level of disaster, a lot people will jump.

2018-02-11 21:42

calvintaneng

No Pang72

If you read carefully

the focus is not on Market Crash which lead to Depression

If depression Cash is King.

This round due to Rampant Money Printing the reverse is true

IT WILL BE HYPER INFLATION

2018-02-11 22:04

Alex™

I'm actually more bearish. I'm too young not to witness even the last 08 crash. The debt leverage globally is at an insane stage. The stock market now has all those margin players inside. When interest keep naik, how?

2018-02-11 22:38

Alex™

If hyperinflation, just go and buy stuff... Keep cash is the worst option. But if deflation, cash is king.

2018-02-11 22:41

Sorchaicalvin

stupid calvintaneng predict 2018 bull run!

2018-04-04 18:45

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