THE INVESTMENT APPROACH OF CALVIN TAN

BRENT OIL CROSSED USD80 FINALLY! BUMI ARMADA & AZRB ARE BOTH GOOD, Calvin Tan

calvintaneng
Publish date: Tue, 28 Sep 2021, 01:20 PM
calvintaneng
0 1,795
Hi Guys,

I have An Investment Approach I which I would like to all.

 

Dear Friends,

 

At long last Brent Oil Rebounded above USD80

 

Crude Oil & Natural Gas

INDEX UNITS PRICE CHANGE %CHANGE CONTRACT TIME (EDT)
USD/bbl. 76.11 +0.66 +0.87% Nov 2021 12:51 AM
USD/bbl. 80.17 +0.64 +0.80% Nov 2021 12:51 AM
JPY/kl 48,300.00 +1,090.00 +2.31% Nov 2022 12:11 AM
USD/MMBtu 6.06 +0.35 +6.17% Oct 2021 12:51 AM

 

And Both Bumi Armada & AZRB are still good & undervalue

 

See Bumi Armada

 

SUMMARY OF KEY FINANCIAL INFORMATION
30 Jun 2021

 
INDIVIDUAL PERIOD
CUMULATIVE PERIOD
CURRENT YEAR QUARTER
PRECEDING YEAR
CORRESPONDING
QUARTER
CURRENT YEAR TO DATE
PRECEDING YEAR
CORRESPONDING
PERIOD
30 Jun 2021
30 Jun 2020
30 Jun 2021
30 Jun 2020
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
1 Revenue
615,556
606,796
1,178,259
1,159,414
2 Profit/(loss) before tax
113,652
114,754
297,616
-99,461
3 Profit/(loss) for the period
123,896
109,364
283,495
-110,183
4 Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent
139,857
119,774
302,651
-104,193
5 Basic earnings/(loss) per share (Subunit)
2.38
2.04
5.14
-1.77
6 Proposed/Declared dividend per share (Subunit)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
   
AS AT END OF CURRENT QUARTER
AS AT PRECEDING FINANCIAL YEAR END
7 Net assets per share attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent ($$)
0.6000
0.5300
 

 

Bumi Armada latest Qtr result 2.38 sen

Annualised 9.52

Real time price 47 sen.

So Forward  P/E = 47/9.52

4.93 

 

P/E 4.93 means you will double your money in 4.93 years

 

at 9.52 sen profit a year with Price of 47 sen it means a yield of 20.2%

 

Compare to Bank FD rate the yield is now 1.75% per year

 

P/E is 100/ 1.75 = 57.14

If put money in Bank will only double your money in 57.14 years

 

Of course Banks are quite stable and stocks are violatile 

So must consider the advantages & disadvantages yourself

 

And NAV is 60 sen

 

So at 47 sen Armada is selling at 22% discount to Book Value

This shows Armada is undervalue, defensive and good potential

 

For AZRB see result later this week then SEE

 

Best regards

Calvin Tan

 

Please buy or sell after doing your own due diigence or consult your remisier/fund manager

 

Note: The Rise of Brent Oil is also good for Palm oil as it is used in Biodisel

In year 2014 when OIl was USD100 Jtiasa reached Rm2.60

Then shale oil appeared from USA and hammered Oil prices to below USD60 so biodisel fell in tandem & Jtiasa crashed from Rm2.60 to below Rm1.00

So with the Rebound of Crude OIl we will also see Biodisel oil price rebound and will ultimately cause Jtiasa to rebound again

This will be true for all oil palm stocks as now they have twin engines of growth

 

1) Palm oil as food (use in 50% of Super market items)

2) Energy - Biodisel

 

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