THE INVESTMENT APPROACH OF CALVIN TAN

SARAWAK OIL PALM (SOP) VERSUS UNITED PLANT & BLD PLANT: Compare their Share Prices & Planted Acreages, Calvin Tan (Reposted Article)

calvintaneng
Publish date: Wed, 06 Oct 2021, 03:26 AM
calvintaneng
0 1,841
Hi Guys,

I have An Investment Approach I which I would like to all.

Good morning

In our last post we mentioned that SOP P/E is lower than both Uplant & BLD PLant

SOP is also sellling below Net Book Value while both Uplant & BLD PLant were selling above price to book value

 

Now let's see their Total Plantation lands

 

1) SOP

 

Total Acreage is 87,964 Heactares

To convert to Acres Multiply by 2.471

87,964 x 2.471 = 217,359 Acres

Of these 92% are Now Mature and at Prime Production Age

 

2) UNITED PLANT

46,645 Hectares

Convert to Acres Multiply by 2.471

46,645 x 2.471 = 115,259 Acres

Mature is 91%

 

3) BLD PLANTATION

51,303 Hectares

Acres = 51,303 x 2.471 

= 126,769 Acres

 

From the Above we see

1) SOP - 217,359 Acres (Current Share Price: Rm3.56)

2) UPLANT - 115,259 Acres (Current Share Price: Rm13.66)

3) BLD PLANT - 126,769 Acres (Current Share Price: Rm9.06)

SOP has 47% more Oil Palm lands than UPLANT

SOP has 42% more Oil Palm lands than BLD PLANT

 

 

John Neff quote: I don't read, much less follow, the valuations or  predictions...

 

 

Now take a look again at the Numbers below

 

 

SOP (5126) at Rm3.50 Versus BLD Plant (5069) at Rm9.10 or Versus United Plant (2089) Rm13.60: Compare & Contrast their EPS, Dividend & NTA, Calvin Tan

Author:    |    Publish date: 

 

 


 

Dear friends (Please read to the end as we type

It is by searching, digging through research & deep study that we find value. Especially hidden Gen of Value. One such Gem is SOP (Sarawak Oil Palm) Why SOP?

The answers are startling

Just see their results below

 

SOP

SUMMARY OF KEY FINANCIAL INFORMATION
30 Jun 2021

 
INDIVIDUAL PERIOD
CUMULATIVE PERIOD
CURRENT YEAR QUARTER
PRECEDING YEAR
CORRESPONDING
QUARTER
CURRENT YEAR TO DATE
PRECEDING YEAR
CORRESPONDING
PERIOD
30 Jun 2021
30 Jun 2020
30 Jun 2021
30 Jun 2020
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
1 Revenue
949,046
626,060
1,737,368
1,144,144
2 Profit/(loss) before tax
146,620
51,513
259,653
147,823
3 Profit/(loss) for the period
107,918
41,028
194,528
115,337
4 Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent
98,320
38,342
177,377
109,545
5 Basic earnings/(loss) per share (Subunit)
17.20
6.72
31.04
19.19
6 Proposed/Declared dividend per share (Subunit)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
   
AS AT END OF CURRENT QUARTER
AS AT PRECEDING FINANCIAL YEAR END
7 Net assets per share attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent ($$)
4.4800
4.1600
 

 

SOP latest result is 17.20 sen

Annualised is 4 X 17.20

= 68.80

At Rm3.50 the Forward P/E is

 Rm3.50 divides by 68.80

= 5.08

That means you can double your investment in 5.08 years if earnings are sustained

68.80/Rm3.50 gives a yield of 19.65

More than 10 X (Times) Bank FD at Rm1.75% per year

 

Its NAV is Rm4.48

So SOP is selling at Discount of 22% to Book Value

It gave a dividend of 6 sen

 

2) BLD Plant

SUMMARY OF KEY FINANCIAL INFORMATION
30 Jun 2021

 
INDIVIDUAL PERIOD
CUMULATIVE PERIOD
CURRENT YEAR QUARTER
PRECEDING YEAR
CORRESPONDING
QUARTER
CURRENT YEAR TO DATE
PRECEDING YEAR
CORRESPONDING
PERIOD
30 Jun 2021
30 Jun 2020
30 Jun 2021
30 Jun 2020
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
1 Revenue
540,488
396,518
540,488
396,518
2 Profit/(loss) before tax
23,644
6,252
23,644
6,252
3 Profit/(loss) for the period
16,802
4,538
16,802
4,538
4 Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent
16,212
4,415
16,212
4,415
5 Basic earnings/(loss) per share (Subunit)
17.34
4.72
17.34
4.72
6 Proposed/Declared dividend per share (Subunit)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
   
AS AT END OF CURRENT QUARTER
AS AT PRECEDING FINANCIAL YEAR END
7 Net assets per share attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent ($$)
6.9500
6.7800
 

 

At Rm17.34 this Qtr

Annualised 4 X 17.34 = 69.36 sen

Current price is Rm9.10

P/E is Rm9.10 divides by 69.36

= 13.1

Yield is 69.36/Rm9.10

= 7.6%

NAV is Rm6.95

At Rm9.10 BLD is selling at 1.3 X (Times) Book Value

Dividend 

No dividend for years 2019, 2020 & 2021

Last dividend was 3 sen in year 2018

BLD Plant? BLD stands for Breakfast, Lunch & Dinner? Why no dividends for 3 years?

This shows that SOP beats BLD Plant hands down

SOP 19.65% yield versus BLD 13.1 sen

SOP sells at Discount to Book Value While BLD sells above Book Value

 

3) UNITED PLANT

SUMMARY OF KEY FINANCIAL INFORMATION
30 Jun 2021

 
INDIVIDUAL PERIOD
CUMULATIVE PERIOD
CURRENT YEAR QUARTER
PRECEDING YEAR
CORRESPONDING
QUARTER
CURRENT YEAR TO DATE
PRECEDING YEAR
CORRESPONDING
PERIOD
30 Jun 2021
30 Jun 2020
30 Jun 2021
30 Jun 2020
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
1 Revenue
481,869
294,317
881,523
613,226
2 Profit/(loss) before tax
186,673
149,661
278,585
267,305
3 Profit/(loss) for the period
136,707
124,060
212,417
205,588
4 Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent
135,785
123,586
210,610
204,776
5 Basic earnings/(loss) per share (Subunit)
32.74
29.80
50.78
49.37
6 Proposed/Declared dividend per share (Subunit)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
   
AS AT END OF CURRENT QUARTER
AS AT PRECEDING FINANCIAL YEAR END
7 Net assets per share attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent ($$)
6.1800
6.3200
 

 

UPlant this Qtr 32.74

Annualised 4 X 32.74

= Rm1.30

Price Rm13.60

P/E is Rm13.60 divides by Rm1.30

= 10.5

Yield is 9.5%

Of this Uplant gave out 15 sen dividend & 50 sen Special Dividend

Total given out is 4.7%

 

NAV is Rm6.18

At Rm13.60 Uplant is selling at 2.2 X (Times) Book Value

 

Now the only thing between SOP is SOP won in earnings & Net Assets Value

But UPlant won in Dividend Payout

SOP Could raise its Dividend Payout & Price should rise Above its NAV

From here we SEE Earnings of SOP are Superior and It is selling at Discount to Net Assets while BLD Plant & UPlant are selling above Book Value

 

AND WE CAN SEE VERY CLEARLY SOP IS AN OUTRIGHT BUY AS IT IS NOW SELLING BELOW INTRINSIC VALUE.

What is intrinsic value? Definition and examples - Market Business News

YESTERDAY SUBUR TIASA SUDDENLY WENT LIMIT UP TO RM1.30 (WAS 65 SEN NOT TOO LONG AGO)

NOT TOO LONG AGO IJMPLANT JUMPED FROM RM1.86 TO RM3.10 WHEN KLK OFFERED TO TAKE OVER ITS MAJOR SHARES

AS TIME MOVES ON UNDERVALUE SHARES WILL GO UP TO ITS TRUE VALUE (SOP CANNOT REMAIN FOREVER SO DISCOUNTED COMPARED TO BLD PLANT & UPLANT)

AND ONE OF THEM IS SARAWAK OIL PALM - A GROSSLY UNDERVALUE SHARE MISPRICED BY THE MARKET

 

SOP Now Rm3.59

One Year Target Price: RM8.00

 

 

 

Best regards

Calvin Tan

 

Please buy or sell after doing your own due diligence or consult your remisier/fund manager

 

Discussions
Be the first to like this. Showing 13 of 13 comments

calvintaneng

Sop

Strong
Overcoming
Powerful

2021-10-06 16:48

LossAversion

Cant compare SOP with United Plantation. It is TWO VAST different, if you know UP's operations, philosophy, etc.... It is like telling us that proton can become Mercedes one day!!!

2021-12-13 15:28

vcinvestor

Ya Calvin this half past six analysis neglects to mention the vast difference in the PRODUCTIVITY OF SOP AND UTDPLTS ESTATES. SOP yield per hectare was only 16.58 in its FY2020 whereas UTDPlT was a vastly superior 26.65 indicating much better estate management.

This indicator in itself will explain such a huge discount to SOPs price to book value. If a company is not leveraging its assets well, why pay any premium to it?

2021-12-13 16:18

calvintaneng

See

talk so much also wasted your time and opportunity

SOP is almost Rm5.09 now

On its way to Rm8.00

better grab some SOP before it reached Rm8.00
first target

and from there SOP can easily cross Rm10.00 to be a palm oil blue chip

2022-02-19 15:49

omegacankill

utdplt dividend is higher... there’s another 30 cents paid end of the year

2022-02-19 18:06

calvintaneng

Reposted from TAANN forum


calvintaneng TAANN IS FLUSHED WITH OVERFLOWING CASH

Don't simply take profit too early

Tell you guys a true life story

In year 2019 a Bank Manager bought Topglove cheap

Then Coronavirus started in March 2020 & Top glove share price shot up to over Rm6.00

Seeing profit she sold Topglove just above Rm6.00.

After taking profit she saw TopGlove share price rose and rose

And kept on rising till Rm26.00

Then TopGlove declared Two Free Bonus for each TopGlove share held

Seeing Topglove at the Lofty Peak of Rm26.00 plus giving 2 Free Bonus she could no longer tahan (and turned itchy; very itchy) and went to buy back her Topglove at Rm26.00


Then due to Glut & China fierce dumping Topglove crashed & she suffered losses even though she initially bought Topglove cheap

So don't make the silly mistake of selling TAANN too early as we are in Palm oil Super Bull

And no threat from China this round as Palm oil needs at least 4 years (time barrier) to grow & produce the 1st drop of Palm oil

So just hold tightly there is no telling that TAANN could morph into another Topglove later with "free bonus"
28/02/2022 10:44 PM

2022-02-28 23:01

calvintaneng

What is true of TAANN is also true of SOP & all other Palm oil shares as we Enter Super Bull Run

2022-02-28 23:02

ahbah

No need to compare plantation stks among themselves now.

All plantation stks are oredi in SUPER BULL RUN.

Just close eye n wallop any plantation stk U like, and U can also strike

the bull eye in this way !

2022-02-28 23:09

JBond007

Out of the 42 plantation counters, must check
a) EPS negative one - no buy
b) Low trading volume one - no buy
c) Cannot afford one ( > RM10) - no buy
After filtering, should be left with 19 counters only.

2022-02-28 23:17

ahbah

Plantation counters are in high tide now

So, during high tide even plantation rock, stone n pebble lying on ocean floor will float UP !!!

2022-02-28 23:21

calvintaneng

By today Sop crossed Rm6.00

beaten both Uplant and Bld

If only you guys listened

Failing and listen because so opinionated and stubborn will lose out

2022-03-03 12:16

calvintaneng

Wahaha
Sop well done!

Target price of SOP raised to

Rm10 to Rm12 now !

2022-05-02 21:23

calvintaneng

SOP still making 20.8% profit & price expected to go up again!!

2022-06-26 23:46

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