THE INVESTMENT APPROACH OF CALVIN TAN

Reposted Article by Calvin Tan:AN AMAZING EVIDENCE THAT OIL PALM BUSINESS NOW IS AT ITS VERY BEST FOR THE LAST 50 YEARS

calvintaneng
Publish date: Wed, 03 Nov 2021, 03:45 AM
calvintaneng
0 1,799
Hi Guys,

I have An Investment Approach I which I would like to all.

AN AMAZING EVIDENCE THAT OIL PALM BUSINESS NOW IS AT ITS VERY BEST FOR THE LAST 50 YEARS, Calvin Tan

Author:    |    Publish date: 

 



Dear Friends of i3 Forum

They say, "SEEING IS BELIEVING"

And a Picture is worth a Thousand Words

Calvin joined a very small Whatasapp Group of around 100 Invited Members

The Name is called "EAGLE VISION FIRST MOVER"

1) It has Eagle Vision

An eagle sees the furthest by virtue of its great eye-sight. The eagle is the 1st to see among birds

So we hope to SEE AHEAD of the Market

 

2) It is called "FIRST MOVER"

We also hope to move First in the Market. We are not followers but Seek to Move Independantly 

 

So far so good

Among our group is Mr. Lee from Perak. He owns a small 45 Acres Oil Palm Estates

And this is what he shared with us

Mr. Lee said the Hock Chew people of Manjung are the happiest people in Malaysia by virtue of them being owners of Palm oil Plantations: All are laughing their way to the Banks as FFB (Fresh Fruit Bunches) are now at World Record High

Mr. Lee called Calvin in Singapore and gave a breakdown of his Oil Palm business

1) Mr. Lee bought those Palm oil lands and started planting new crops about 5 years ago.

Now they are starting to bear Fruits (Not the most fruitful age yet as it is still young at about 5 years old)

 

2) At the time he first shared FFB was Rm940. Latest FFB has risen to the Unbelievable price of Rm1,040 per metric ton

See the [payment voucher]

 

 

 

The Above showed Mr Lee sold 3.67 Tonnes of FFB (Fresh Fruit Bunches) at the Amazing Price of Rm1,040 per ton or Rm3,816.80 in total from just one sample.

 

3) Then he gave a breakdown

Applying fertilizer, weed killer & cost of transportation came up to Rm250 per ton of FFB

 

4) The Net Profit

Rm1,040 less Rm250 = Rm790

That is Rm790 divides by Rm250

= 3.16 (X) Times

That is A Whopping 316% Profit! Simply mind blowing for him & all the happy Oil Palm Estate owners of Perak

At Rm790 x 45 acres = Rm35,550 monthly retirement income

That is also why Mr. Lee has bought into many Oil Palm shares.

 

Who is Mr. Lee?

I met Mr. Lee sometime in year 1990 in KL when he used to come down to KL to collect Used Cars for Sale.

Some years later his Used Car Business grew big & he bought a nice  piece of prime land with Visible Road Frontage in Manjung to rent out to Banks who stored repossessed cars on his land & also his own car show room as well

After 25 years this land became so prime & valuable Mr. Lee decided to build houses as a Developer for Sale. It was a huge success. Now nearing retiring age Mr. Lee has diversified into Oil Palm Plantation for regular source of income which he thinks is quite simple & easy

Now. We as a group also did our Research by calling up the Captains of Oil Palm industries by phone, whasapp & e-mail

To our glad & happy surprise most of listed Company CFO, COO, CEO, Company Accountants & Secretaries of Oil Palm Companies are sanguine about the Oil Palm Business

Mr. Shane, the Assistant Manager of IjmPlant said

"ESG concern and the cutting of forest does not apply to us Planters because it was the Loggers that cut down the forest so when we arrived at the scene the land has already been cleared. So we just did the planting. 

"And at this time all Oil Palm planters should be very happy"

As to hedging:

"Ijm Plant company policy allowed forward sales up to 50% but they usually only did up to 20% or 30% only

Jtiasa last quarter made a loss from forward sales and now no more so Jtiasa should see better results

As for TAANN & SOP they don't sell forward which is very excellent. Tsh resources only does 10% to 15% forward sale which is minimal

So it looks like Great Times are AHEAD For Most if not all Oil Palm players

Yes, Mr. Lee called up one oil Palm listed company & was very furious (We can't disclose name here)

He has been holding this Company share for umpteen years and yet he saw them reporting losses after losses

So he called them up & spoke to the company accountant

He said, "We know oil palm companies have gone through a very tough time & rough patch when FFB fell below Rm300 a ton & Cpo below Rm2,000 a ton. But at this time. Mr. Lee emphasized his words, "BUT AT THIS TIME" When FFB Prices have reached Rm1,000 World Record high how could you be making losses?

Don't tell me if all Car dealers are doing roaring business you have bought some stolen cars & suffered losses? By way of example

So how could you guys still made losses at this time?

Mr. Lee has to pay more for Fertilizer & Weed Killer being a small timer. Listed Company got savings by bulk purchase.

So don't tell me AT THIS TIME you can still report losses?

The accountant replied,

"Oh, we have a lack of fruit harvesters. Our palm oil trees are planted in the most inaccessible places & hard to reach. Also our fruit yield is among the lowest among all listed Companies"

THAT WAS  VERY LAME SILLY EXCUSES & MORE EXCUSES which made Mr. Lee angry

How come you being a listed company acted so foolishly by buying Inaccessible oil palm trees which are so hard to harvest? Why you perform worst than ordinary small timers who are making the most money while you being listed for decades are STILL MAKING LOSSES?

 

"Oh talk to my Boss" I am only a small accountant in the company

Mr. Lee concluded that there must be hanky panky and leakages.

Like this

When they collected FFB for sale

Say out of 10 lorry load of FFB (Fresh Fruit Bunches) only 7 to 8 lorries reached the Palm Oil Mill while 2 or 3 lorries are diverted "Elsewhere"

That is still endurable because they show up a profit

NOT WHEN YOU DIVERT 7 OR 8 LORRIES OF FFB AWAY AND ONLY REPORT 2 OR 3 LORRIES OF FFB!

THAT IS REALLY JUST TOO MUCH AS THE RESULT SHOW LOSSES???

So we learn as we go along

Among the Most Clean and Honest Company is TAANN (AN EXCEPTIONAL HONEST COMPANY WELL MANAGED)

SOP is also very transparent. 

Hopefully, we can discover & uncover more & more honest & good companies to invest in

 

Warm regards to all,

 

Calvin Tan

 

Please buy or sell after doing your own due diligence or consult honest remisier and honest fund manager

 

 

Palm oil: Less fertilizer and no herbicide but same yield?

 

Above lorry with Fresh Fruit Bunches should go to the correct palm oil mill

 

VERY HONEST ONES

100% ACCOUNTED FOR FROM OIL PALM PLANTATION TO MILLS OR REFINERIES

 

Not so honest

One or two lorries could be diverted "ELSEWHERE"

 

Corrupted Ones

Lots of leakages

 

SEEK OUT THE MOST HONEST, EFFICIENT & TRANSPARENT ONES TO PUT YOUR HARD EARNED MONEY IN

 

 

calvintaneng Warren Buffet said he looks for 3 things in a person

1. Intelligence
2. Integrity
3. Talent

The most important is integrity

Without integrity an intelligent or talented person also no use as he/she can outsmart you and play you out

So integrity and honesty stand out in any company he invests in
02/11/2021 5:50 AM
Thomas Chan Yeu Wai damn, i didnt know there was such a thing lorries "diverted elsewhere".
02/11/2021 8:58 AM
Sslee Haha some even syphon out the oil from palm oil mill.
02/11/2021 9:37 AM
Berlin A friend who owns 1000 acres mature oil palm plantation in Pahang has been grossing around RM1 million per month from FFB sales. Works out to RM1000 per acre per month or an astounding RM12,000 per annum. Best ever in its history. But then he has a very reliable manager and the plantation is very well run. High yields, no leakages. He is very happy.
02/11/2021 10:30 AM
Thomas Chan Yeu Wai I think for the leakages/ siphoning/ "diverted elsewhere", any idea where can get readily computed CPO % yield of all listed Cos?
02/11/2021 2:30 PM
ongth60 @Calvin, why not SWKPLNT as pure Palm oil play instead of TAANN, which is the controlling shareholder of SWKPLNT? Also with Dato Wong Kuo Hea as the executive director, they have manage to reduce the debt and improve the current ratio.
02/11/2021 4:34 PM
X
calvintaneng ongth60

Taann own Swkplant as top holder

both are good

only Taann got timber as well
02/11/2021 4:59 PM

 

calvintaneng Warren Buffet said he looks for 3 things in a person

1. Intelligence
2. Integrity
3. Talent

The most important is integrity

Without integrity an intelligent or talented person also no use as he/she can outsmart you and play you out

So integrity and honesty stand out in any company he invests in
02/11/2021 5:50 AM
Thomas Chan Yeu Wai damn, i didnt know there was such a thing lorries "diverted elsewhere".
02/11/2021 8:58 AM
Sslee Haha some even syphon out the oil from palm oil mill.
02/11/2021 9:37 AM
Berlin A friend who owns 1000 acres mature oil palm plantation in Pahang has been grossing around RM1 million per month from FFB sales. Works out to RM1000 per acre per month or an astounding RM12,000 per annum. Best ever in its history. But then he has a very reliable manager and the plantation is very well run. High yields, no leakages. He is very happy.
02/11/2021 10:30 AM
Thomas Chan Yeu Wai I think for the leakages/ siphoning/ "diverted elsewhere", any idea where can get readily computed CPO % yield of all listed Cos?
02/11/2021 2:30 PM
ongth60 @Calvin, why not SWKPLNT as pure Palm oil play instead of TAANN, which is the controlling shareholder of SWKPLNT? Also with Dato Wong Kuo Hea as the executive director, they have manage to reduce the debt and improve the current ratio.
02/11/2021 4:34 PM
X
calvintaneng ongth60

Taann own Swkplant as top holder

both are good

only Taann got timber as well
02/11/2021 4:59 PM

 

Discussions
Be the first to like this. Showing 8 of 8 comments

calvintaneng

Secret of Success in Psalm chapter one

He shall be like a tree planted by the rivers of water

Water in the time of Israel sojourn in Egypt was by living near the Nile River
Only the banks of Nile river were fertile enough to sustain crops and life

2021-11-04 02:06

calvintaneng

When the children of Israel entered Canaan they no longer depend just on river alone because Israel is a land that drinks water from the sky.
In other words they receive rainfall

2021-11-04 02:08

calvintaneng

Yet life and abundant growth revolves round river

He shall be like a tree planted by the side of the river

That brings forth it's fruit in its season

2021-11-04 02:09

calvintaneng

River signifies water

Water is a symbol of wealth

So a healthy company has river of income flowing in

2021-11-04 02:10

i3gambler

What you said is true and correct,
I checked with my former colleague who is from Sibu,
TAANN is relatively clean and honest,

Those who have friends from Sibu, please ask them.

I keep both SWKPLNT and TAANN,
Monitor their price ratio,
Now it is 2.55 / 3.15 = 0.81,

And adjust my SWKPLNT / TAANN portfolio ratio from time to time.

2021-11-04 14:31

Intrinsic99

Why this iddiot go every way to promote palm oil stocks?

If you so confidence what you bought, why need to go every way non-stop talking unless you start realise not the better choice so need all waterfish members here to support you and to catch your nonsense mistake

We know you had put your bet on palm oil stocks more than 6 months but end up unable to reach your desire target, so now start nervous that's why non-stop putting blog to promote

We know you had past record on what you did last time, don't con members here until loss their hard earn money

I don't know why 3iii administrator didn't take any action to suspend this iddiot account to avoid keep on spamming every way

I pegging administer need to take proper action against this spammer

2021-11-04 16:12

Intrinsic99

CPO prices expected to be lower in 2022, say market analysts (The Star - Saturday, 16 Oct 2021)

UOB Kay Hian Research maintains its “underweight” rating on the plantation sector

The research unit is keeping its CPO price forecast for 2021 and 2022 at RM3,300 and RM2,800 per tonne respectively

CPO prices may sustain at the current levels due to the continued disappointing palm oil production as yield recovery from the previous drought is taking longer than expected

It also notes that risks include rising fertiliser costs due to supply constraints. As fertiliser cost (30% of ex-mill cost) is one of the biggest components besides labour cost, the surge in fertiliser prices could lead to a cost increase of at least 15% to 20%


RHB Research also maintains its “underweight” rating on the plantation sector

It advises investors to ride the wave and look for opportunities to sell into strength, with CPO prices currently at a peak, and some strength being seen in share prices.

“The main risk to this thesis is weather abnormalitie. Share prices have, for the first time this year, started moving in tandem with CPO prices. We believe now is the time to ride the wave, and wait for a good opportunity to lock in some profits, adding that environmental, social, and governance (ESG) concerns will still impact sector valuations”


https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2021/10/16/cpo-prices-expected-to-be-lower-in-2022-say-market-analysts

2021-11-06 14:14

Intrinsic99

What we can observe market behaviour now is most of the fund managers start to revise outlook for CPO in the upcoming season, most of experts had expected the CPO prise shall be normalised in tandem.

Fund managers strongly believe that plantation companies shall be adjusted lower heading Trailing Twelve Months (TTM), that’s why most of the research houses given underweight outlook.

This is the reason why plantation sector not so fancy like year 2020 glove sector, fund managers strongly believe that once the CPO price normalise so ASP also simultaneously adjusted lower.

One of the good example to review is glove sector, what happen for the year 2020 compare with year 2021. Once most of the fund managers revise neutral or underweight outlook, we all can see the respective sector (or respective stocks) will start decelerating.

Despite glove sector still handsomely profitable for the next few years but most of the share traders more bias to ASP will be adjusted accordingly. This scenario is same with plantation sector as well.

If we want to enjoy fancy profit from the share price margin at this moment, we need to thoroughly consider is it the right time to challenge current circumstances since market had given cognitive lesson for the past of glove sector.

If we want to enjoy dividend yield (only selective planters), it’s fine to accumulate rather than putting your funds at the banks but now not aware current share price is it wisely to enter since plantation sector bias to neutral or underweight.

2021-11-06 14:15

Post a Comment