Dear Investors of i3 Forum
This afternoon we have compiled ideas from TSH Resources
As the saying goes
"Great minds talk ideas
Good minds talk things
Weak minds talk people
SO PLEASE AVOID READING "SMALL MINDS" THAT CONSTANTLY TALK ABOUT PEOPLE
And here are some ideas worth your consideration (From TSH Forum)
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 2:57 PM | Report Abuse X
We can estimate why Tsh is a good stock
no. 1 is earnings
Last qtr Tsh earned 6.99 sen profit
Annualised 6.99 x 4 is 27.96 sen
at Rm1.13
tsh earns 24.7%
Berkshire Hathaway of Warren Buffet in his best years earn 25% or p/e 4
that means Tsh will double your money in 4 years
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 2:59 PM | Report Abuse X
keeping cash also got a p/e or price earning ratio
if you keep in bank FD for one year at 1.75%
the p/e is 57.4
it will take 57.4 years to double your money from one ringgit to two ringgit
it's value will be destroyed by high inflation
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 3:02 PM | Report Abuse X
we can also measure Tsh by its assets value
sale of Bulugan lands made Rm465 millions (book value was Rm255.4 mil) or up 186%)
(Since its book value is Rm255.4 Mil sale of Bulugan land is Rm731.09 Mil
The Profit is Rm465 Mil
To get Profit by percentage divides Rm465 mil by Rm255.4 Mil = 186%
so if revalued all assets the Nta of by adding 186%
the Nta will be over Rm3.00
in that case Tsh is selling below asset value by huge discount
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 3:04 PM | Report Abuse
3. we measure Tsh by its associate value
Tsh started Innoplant for Sabah Govt
SEE INNO: SMALL BUT DYNAMIC
In early days no dividend from inno as plants were young
today Inno gives 6 sen dividend each qtr
alot of people chased inno but not Tsh directors
why?
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 3:06 PM | Report Abuse
Reason why Directors only buy Tsh and not inno is this
in USA there are farmers who don't own lands
so they work as share croppers
these will plant for wealthy land owners to get a share of the crop
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 3:07 PM | Report Abuse
and precisely same
inno does not own any palm oil lands as all belong to Sabah Govt (go see inno Annual report. scroll down to property owned by Inno
none!
nothing
no palm oil lands listed
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 3:08 PM | Report Abuse
Tsh on the other hand bought lots and lots and lots of lands since 42 years ago in year 1980
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 3:10 PM | Report Abuse X
with lands purchase came loans and bank borrowings
but lands bought have skyrocketed in prices today
just selling two pieces
Sabah and Bulugan have pared down debts
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 3:11 PM | Report Abuse X
Because Tsh was trying to pay bank loans it only give small dividend
inno no assets and no loan no debt can pay 80% dividend out of profit
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 3:13 PM | Report Abuse
think like this
a Bangla work for wages but does not own the shop he worked in
at the end he will leave Malaysia only the cash he earned and nothing else
A Malaysian can buy a shophouse and do business at the same time
at the end of decades his shop house has gone up very very high in value
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 3:14 PM | Report Abuse X
you want to be Bangla then buy innoplant
if you want to be a Malaysian then go buy Tsh resources
understand now?
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 3:23 PM | Report Abuse X
3 is Tsh association with inno
truth is stranger than fiction
some employees spent more and live better than their bosses
why?
because employees don't own expensive shops with monthly loans to pay
the boss in early years got to live frugally to make his company a success
so is inno dividend in contrast with Tsh
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 3:24 PM | Report Abuse X
people cannot understand that inno can only pay a dividend
it has no assets to sell to give a cash payout
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 3:26 PM | Report AbuseX
Tsh and Bplant because got lots of high value land asset can sell and unlock value to give high capital return
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 3:27 PM | Report Abuse X
Example like this
the next piece in Kutai east about 15,000 acres
Wizman phoned Calvin Spore and said they are worth Rm10 psf
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 3:28 PM | Report Abuse X
How come wizman so clever?
he is a Real Estate Negiotor by calling
so he called housing agent in Nusantara
the figure psf is Rm10
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 3:29 PM | Report Abuse X
Now 15000 acres x 43560 to convert to Sq ft
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 3:30 PM | Report Abuse
at Rm10 psf is a mind blowing figure of Rm6.5 Billions
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 3:31 PM | Report Abuse
that is more than Rm4 a share (still got 3 estates in Kutai West)
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 3:32 PM | Report Abuse
now if that day of days come when Tsh can sell just one piece to get Rm4 a share
even if Bod decides to give free reward of 50% is Rm2 in your pocket
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 3:33 PM | Report Abuse
what inno cannot do Tsh could do
give Cash pay out from assets sale
that is when Tsh share price will overtake inno
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 3:35 PM | Report Abuse
number four
we can value Tsh performance by its competitors in Indonesia in which it has 80% palm oil
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 3:36 PM | Report Abuse
goldenagri was 14 sen and now up 100% to 28 sen
Stock: [Golden Agri-Res]: GOLDEN AGRI-RESOURCES LTD
Last Price | Today's Change | Day's Range | Trading Volume |
0.28 | 0.00 (0.00%) | 0.28 - 0.285 |
4,117,600 |
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 3:37 PM | Report Abuse
how can Tsh we bought Rm1.09 up so little at Rm1.12?
that shows that I must sell my goldenagri to buy more Tsh
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 3:39 PM | Report Abuse X
bumitama spore also up from 46 sen to 64.5 sen (up 40%)
Last Price | Today's Change | Day's Range | Trading Volume |
0.655 | +0.015 (2.34%) | 0.64 - 0.655 |
662,300 |
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 3:39 PM | Report Abuse X
so by way of comparing with it's peers Tsh is very undervalue
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 3:40 PM | Report Abuse X
reason number 5
compare Tsh with it's past bull run record
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 3:41 PM | Report Abuse
in year 2014 Ijmplant and Tsh both raced side by side & hand in hand like abang adik to over Rm4.00
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 3:42 PM | Report Abuse
now we know Tsh was diluted by free one bonus for two while Ijmplant remain status quo
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 3:43 PM | Report Abuse X
adjusted for free bonus Tsh should be Rm2.70
now Klk took Ijmplant private at Rm3.10 (from Rm2.20)
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 3:44 PM | Report Abuse
let's see the value in tandem
at Rm3.10 from peak Rm4.00
there was a 25% discount
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 3:46 PM | Report Abuse
so Ijmplant was taken private at 25% discount to peak
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 3:46 PM | Report Abuse
For Tsh the adjusted price from Rm2.70 will be Rm2.02
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 3:47 PM | Report Abuse X
now Ijmplant only got palm oil estates and 7 mills
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 3:48 PM | Report Abuse X
Tsh got palm oil and 6 mills (one mill was sold )
plus it has 50/50 Joint venture Refinery with Wilmar in Sabah
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 3:50 PM | Report Abuse
it has others like cocoa factories
biomass for Bio electricity
it has 300,000 acres forest concession lands from Sabah Govt for 100 years
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 3:51 PM | Report Abuse
on the palm oil and forest now Tsh has planted with bilogical assets worth Rm400 millions
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 3:53 PM | Report Abuse
point number 6
when Ekowood was taken private by Tsh Ekowood was 40 sen and Tsh was Rm1.96
BELOW COMMENTS EXTRACTED FROM EKOWOOD FORUM
Posted by calvintaneng > 2021-10-14 21:07 | Report Abuse
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 3:55 PM | Report Abuse X
Ekowood is reaping those planted forest now mature for harvesting to do wood flooring
and Tsh now only Rm1.12 while in 2017 it was Rm1.96
that is cheap
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 3:57 PM | Report Abuse X
point number 7 |
|
calvintaneng 48170 posts |
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 3:58 PM | Report Abuse X
Director Lim Fook Hin started Inno for Sabah Govt in 2007 |
calvintaneng 48170 posts |
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 3:59 PM | Report Abuse X Director Tan Aik Yong already in top 30 of Tsh Walloped 16 millions Tsh at Rm1.643 |
calvintaneng 48170 posts |
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 4:00 PM | Report Abuse X
He dared to buy 16 mil at Rm1.643??? |
calvintaneng 48170 posts |
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 4:01 PM | Report Abuse X
Director Tan Aik Pen |
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 4:29 PM | Report Abuse X
Ok point number 8
Tsh started increasing dividend
Year 2020
1 sen
Year 2021
2 sen
2022
3 sen
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 4:30 PM | Report Abuse X
Good sign
Only healthy tree bears fruit
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 4:31 PM | Report Abuse
By tasting the durian we know the tree is good
Selling bulugan lands for 186% profit is like tasting mau sang wang durian
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 4:38 PM | Report Abuse
Now every co will do this
1. Increase dividend like Tsh
2. Reduce dividend like Dlady
3. Ask for money like Yinson
4. Go bankrupt like london biscuit
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 4:39 PM | Report Abuse X
Very soon Tsh will be debt free and handsome dividend can be expected
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 4:41 PM | Report Abuse
Point number 9
By macro assets appreciation value
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 4:42 PM | Report Abuse
The best palm oil lands are found in Sabah
The land below the wind
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 4:43 PM | Report Abuse
Tsh owns palm oil estates in Sabah along the palm oil belt of sandakan, lahad datu and tawau
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 4:44 PM | Report Abuse
Here also got mills plus a Refinery producing Golden dragon fish "arowana" cooking oil for export to China
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 19, 2022 4:46 PM | Report Abuse
And it owns 94700 acres chun chun land in kutai/nusantara
Indonesia is endowed with hard working indon at lower labour cost
See
LAND BOOM IN KUTAI/NUSANTARA
WHILE PEOPLE RUSHING TO BUY LANDS DIRECTORS OF TSH ARE RUSHING TO BUY TSH SHARES DAILY!
NEXT WEEK TSH WILL BE REPORTING ITS AUGUST 2022 RESULTS
Included are 3 highlights
1) About 3.99 sen profit from staggered Sabah land sold
2) FFB (Higher this Qtr by 20.9%)
3) CPO at Record Rm6,552 (April to June 2022 Average price)
Barring unforseen impairment result should excels
NOV 2022 WILL BE FANTASTIC
22 SEN STAGGERED PROFIT FROM BULUGAN LAND SALE RECEIVED
TSH Now Rm1.12
One year Target price Rm2.70
Best & Warmest regards
Calvin Tan
Please buy or sell after doing your own due diligence or consult your Remisier/Fund Manager
Created by calvintaneng | Jul 24, 2024
Created by calvintaneng | Jul 15, 2024
Created by calvintaneng | Jul 12, 2024
TSH RESOURCES (9059) KEEP THESE FIGURES IN MIND IF YOU OWN TSH SHARES (PRINT IT OUT PUT IT ON THE WALL TO REMIND YOURSELVES), Calvin Tan
https://sgx.i3investor.com/blogs/Jbhouseforsale/2022-07-24-story-h49564213-TSH_RESOURCES_9059_KEEP_THESE_FIGURES_IN_MIND_IF_YOU_OWN_TSH_SHARES_PRINT.jsp
2022-08-20 16:43
time to avoid plantation including TSH.
Technically, TSH is downtrend in bigger picture.
May form sideway for at least 1 year or 2.
If got extra money and not urgent, can park here to wait. Good suggestion from calvin.
2022-08-20 19:43
Got great results out next week
Fantastic profits
Good dividends
Special dividends
Possible free bonus
Possible free warrants
Takeover like Klk took ijmplant
2022-08-20 21:03
Soyoil now over us 60 sen a lb
Will lift up Cpo prices much higher
Real genuine profits of more than 100% for palm oil companies
2022-08-20 21:05
EKOWOOD INTERNATIONAL BHD
KLSE (MYR): EKOWOOD (5091)
https://klse.i3investor.com/web/forum/forum-thread/800000852
2022-08-20 22:42
end show for plantation.
dropped from peak. Now just sit back and watch either flat sideway or more drop. Future has been anticipated clearly. All commodities drop
2022-08-21 16:15
in year 2019 Cpo was Rm1955
now is Rm4093
up by 109%
the recent surge to over Rm7000 was unsustainable
but at Rm4000 All palm oil co making gross profit of 100%
these
pharmaniaga only make 2%
tech only make 4% to 5% or none
steel makes 10% buy got receivables or IOUs
Gloves making 3% or losses
Where else if not palm oil ?
2022-08-21 17:33
Good morning to all this happy Monday
We shall witness excellent results for all palm oil co this exciting week
Expect
VERY GOOD PROFITS
GOOD DIVIDENDS
SPECIAL DIVIDENDS
POSSIBLE FREE BONUS ISSUES
POSSIBLE FREE WARRANTS
SURPRISE TAKEOVER LIKE KLK TOOK OVER IJMPLANT
ALL OF ABOVE
2022-08-22 08:25
To all the fraternity of palm oil share holders
soyoil is over us 65 a lb
we turned bullish on palm oil when soyoil reached Us 30 sen a lb
now Cpo is over Rm4200
2022-08-22 11:25
Cpo cost of production for Inno and Tsh was Rm1500
with increase of wages and fertilizer now Rm1800
At Rm4200 for Cpo the gross profit is Rm2600 or more than 110%
palm oil has the highest profit overall now
2022-08-22 11:27
To be fair the CPO production cost is actually higher at Rm 1800 to Rm 2200 per ton mah!
But still CPO at attractive price above Rm 4,000 give it a very decent profit loh!
2022-08-22 13:30
yes for some not so efficient ones cost might be Rm2200
but Cpo at Rm4218 now the gross profit is Rm2000
no other industries can come close to even 30% gross profit now
2022-08-22 13:41
Commentary on the prospects
CPO price has fallen sharply since May 2022 following Indonesia’s decision to remove the ban
on palm oil export and market concern over rising palm oil stockpiles. However, it appears to
have stabilise in recent times and is currently hovering at around RM4,000+ per MT. It is
anticipated that the CPO price will remain supported at current levels on the back of supply
concerns arising from the prolonged Russia-Ukraine conflict and softer production outlook for
soybean due to the return of La Nina in late 2022 and early 2023. Barring any unforeseen
circumstances, the Group is optimistic of achieving satisfactory performance for year 2022.
The Board also remains optimistic on the long term prospect of the palm oil industry.
Restrained hectarage growth in oil palm planting over the last few years due to RSPO
regulations and Indonesian Government’s moratorium on deforestation will have an impact over
the global palm oil supply. Global population and per capita income growth as well as the many
health qualities of palm oil are expected to drive greater demand for palm products. This augurs
well for the Group as palm products segment will remain the core contributor to the Group
profit.
2022-08-22 19:06
Posted by Jon Choivo > 2016-12-01 10:22 | Report Abuse
This thing will go through, 100%. Ekowood office is within TSH office already. The directors every day say hello, no way it wont go through. Only question here is, what is the break even point.
At 0.33, TSH price must drop below the all time low to 1.59 before you even lose money. I think this is impossible. Its a plantation company, high debts, but 3 positive quarter in a row. Considering how high CPO prices is for sept to dec, im sure the 4th is a positive as well.
Im all in.