probability

Probability | Joined since 2014-03-18

Investing Experience Not Disclosed
Risk Profile Moderate

Probability is a measure of 'likeliness' that an event will occur - there are no 100% certainty.

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Stock

2020-07-10 10:57 | Report Abuse

wa...now many acquired 6th senseing power...my basic 5th sensing also slowly fading...cannot see trading numbers clearly...

Stock

2020-07-10 10:39 | Report Abuse

wah..result out today kah? If like that weekend wonderful liao...

Stock

2020-07-10 10:22 | Report Abuse

US fund (still not yet sleep there) must be buying aggressively...no where else to park their money

Stock

2020-07-09 18:38 | Report Abuse

the enlightened sifu...

Posted by freetospeak > Jul 9, 2020 6:36 PM | Report Abuse

2721...when my friends here alot of money is my greatest celebration and happines ah...i dun drink smoke eat durian eat lobster abalone...nothing to celebrate with also. Watching comedy with my wife is very happy celebration...lol

Stock

2020-07-08 11:55 | Report Abuse

https://news.yahoo.com/acknowledges-virus-may-airborne-200525333.html

The World Health Organization is now saying coronavirus may be spread through the air more easily than previously believed, lingering longer and moving for further distances between people in an aerosol form.

After hundreds of scientists pled with the agency to consider the evidence in an open letter over the weekend.

If true, it could change how governments have been fighting the virus, including the one and two-meter separation rule many countries adopted for social distancing.

This was the WHO's technical lead for controlling the pandemic, Benedetta Allegranzi, in news conference on Tuesday (July 7):

"We acknowledge that there is emerging evidence in this field, as in all other fields regarding the COVID-19 virus and pandemic and therefore we believe that we have to be open to this evidence and understand its implications regarding the modes of transmission and also regarding the precautions that need to be taken."

The WHO was quick to say that the evidence is not final and they're expected to put out their most recent findings in coming days.


............

this explains why earlier in malaysia the Tablik gathering had infected thousands.

Stock

2020-07-08 11:44 | Report Abuse

cant even stitch back...coz infected with covid on the floor

Stock

2020-07-08 10:12 | Report Abuse

@free ah...meetings are not important (talk cock only)...whats important is super meets kossan soon

Stock

2020-07-08 10:01 | Report Abuse

Kossan horse running far away!

super horse need some boost from charlest sifu..

Stock

2020-07-07 23:28 | Report Abuse

https://news.yahoo.com/coronavirus-brazils-president-bolsonaro-tests-152023348.html

Brazil's President Jair Bolsonaro has tested positive for coronavirus.


Jair Bolsonaro on coronavirus earlier:
.............................

"From what I have seen until now, there are other kinds of flu which have killed more people than that [coronavirus] one" (11 March)

"Today we have information, that because we have a more tropical climate [in Brazil] we've almost reached the end [of the pandemic], or it's already over (...) the virus doesn't spread as fast in warm climates like ours" (18 March)

"After being stabbed, I'm not going to be brought down by a little flu" (20 March)

Stock

2020-07-07 23:07 | Report Abuse

True, thats why South Africa is also very high in number of cases...

Stock

2020-07-07 22:58 | Report Abuse

since Malaysia cases are very low and some declared its already 'successfully contained'....we shall now ensure everybody attend the mass prayers at churches and mosque all over the country...

Stock

2020-07-07 22:54 | Report Abuse

Australia's second-biggest city under new virus lockdown

https://news.yahoo.com/australias-second-biggest-city-under-virus-lockdown-062814187.html

After the south-eastern city detected 191 new cases in 24 hours, Andrews said there were now too many incidents of the virus to trace and track.

"These are unsustainably high numbers," he said. "No-one wanted to be in this position. I know there will be enormous amounts of damage that will be done because of this. It will be very challenging."

Most school students will return to remote learning while restaurants and cafes will be limited to serving takeaway food.

"There is simply no alternative other than thousands and thousands of cases and potentially more," he told reporters.

Stock

2020-07-07 22:49 | Report Abuse

TeamCrooked may be?

Stock

2020-07-06 12:46 | Report Abuse

What happen to Kossan? Appear very angry today......Lim Kuang Sia must be reading charlest comments here

Stock

2020-07-05 18:50 | Report Abuse

reality appears bitter i guess...that you need to stay with it the next 2 years?

Stock

2020-07-05 18:49 | Report Abuse

guess you would like to close your eyes from the pessimistic reality

Stock

2020-07-05 18:48 | Report Abuse

whining & bitching...really?

Not sure why it seems to hurt you a lot.....

when we are advocating more caution

Stock

2020-07-05 18:45 | Report Abuse

Wait till our Health DG....experience the new mutated virus "D614G"...

fits his name well


Posted by GoldenHarvest1 > Jul 5, 2020 6:42 PM | Report Abuse

Malaysia managing this virus much much better than even US, UK & most European countries.

Stock

2020-07-05 18:42 | Report Abuse

I can see almost all of these declarations of 'successfully contain' is due to economic pressures imposed by the vested parties....

The DG's rationality can be easily influenced to make actions with disastrous implication...

Stock

2020-07-05 18:39 | Report Abuse

https://www.nst.com.my/news/nation/2020/06/601902/health-dg-travel-bubble-talks-still-very-early-stages

PUTRAJAYA: Malaysia is in the "very early" stages of discussion on the implementation of a 'travel bubble' with six countries which have successfully contained the Covid-19 outbreak.

................

'successfully contained' ? What logic or basis for coming up with such a statement?

Have they forgotten it only takes 3 months for cases to explode from 100 per day to 200,000?

Stock

2020-07-05 18:33 | Report Abuse

I hope Malaysia will take cue from whats happening at Australia...


https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/jul/05/explosive-potential-victoria-sends-500-police-to-contain-coronavirus-in-public-housing-high-rises

‘Explosive potential’: Victoria sends 500 police to contain coronavirus in public housing high rises

Australia was having counts below 10 for quite a period...and then BANG!

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/australia/

Our health minister start talking about Green Bubble with New Zealand...

Dont be a piece of joke later....

Stock

2020-07-04 20:44 | Report Abuse

Ok, glad to hear that sifu OTB. Thank you so much..

Stock

2020-07-04 20:16 | Report Abuse

If that is the case...why should market cap to earnings be treated differently between TG & Super?

Its not that OBM margin is not sustainable and only OEM is

Stock

2020-07-04 20:14 | Report Abuse

will super ever switch back from OBM to OEM? I could not find any possible reason for that to happen in the future...

Stock

2020-07-04 20:08 | Report Abuse

can the OBM margin be ever lesser than 2 x the OEM margin?

would retail margin be any lesser than factory margins?

Stock

2020-07-04 20:04 | Report Abuse

I am not sure about TG hitting TP of RM 30...

but i am pretty sure Super has potential to hit 3 x 6.8 cents on coming Q4

will the price of super hit RM 9.40 x 3 = RM30 then?


Posted by probability > Jul 4, 2020 7:49 PM | Report Abuse X

latest qtr TG EPS = 13.59

Price of Super / TG = 9.4/18.5 = 0.50

This means market is expecting coming EPS of Super :

= 0.50 * 13.59
= 6.8 cents

..........

Do you all think Super cannot beat 6.8 cents in Q4?

Where do you all want to put more weight....?

u decide

Stock

2020-07-04 19:54 | Report Abuse

if you see the cases now - especially southern U.S (arizona, florida, california, texas) + Mexico + Brazil....the cases are mind - boggling

.....

i like the below video very much:

Posted by Miyamoto Musashi > Jul 4, 2020 2:46 PM | Report Abuse

Enjoy....

https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=6&v=Qwoj3LA9pOI&feature=emb_logo

Stock

2020-07-04 19:49 | Report Abuse

latest qtr TG EPS = 13.59

Price of Super / TG = 9.4/18.5 = 0.50

This means market is expecting coming EPS of Super :

= 0.50 * 13.59
= 6.8 cents

..........

Do you all think Super cannot beat 6.8 cents in Q4?

Where do you all want to put more weight....?

u decide

Stock

2020-07-04 19:21 | Report Abuse

ha ha...very sharp sifu Target...

very accurate at hitting Target! Nailed it!

Posted by Targeted > Jul 4, 2020 7:17 PM | Report Abuse

The interesting question is wether Supermax Q4 is better than TG Q3, only 1 month difference!, rather than 2 months with Q4 and Q4.

Stock

2020-07-04 19:11 | Report Abuse

@OTB, if possible please share to us all if you receive info when supermax will release its results...

Stock

2020-07-04 19:07 | Report Abuse

yes... earnings for the same period...due to OBM, super may surprise us all i guess

Posted by Targeted > Jul 4, 2020 7:03 PM | Report Abuse

Cant hv fair competition cause TG will hv included in Q4 later months with higher ASP

Stock

2020-07-04 18:52 | Report Abuse

totally agree...thick skin liao

Posted by Targeted > Jul 4, 2020 6:48 PM | Report Abuse

.
Early birds should remember the sifu who started encouraging people to sell Supermax at rm3. 20 and buy Omesti!

Now big mouth again!!!!

Stock

2020-07-04 13:34 | Report Abuse

palm oil had the competitive edge given by the Malaysian soil, so it deserved higher taxation when making supernormal profits.....

they are 'benefiting from the country' and such deserve to reward back to the country

on the other hand...glove makers are 'benefiting from foreign countries'!

as such, there is big difference here
..........................

if you do that to gloves....since its nitrile gloves that is gaining advantage (non dependent on latex)... our glove makers will move elsewhere...what stops them from making it big in Thailand?

Stock

2020-07-04 13:25 | Report Abuse

since some institution/funds can only buy after the earnings are released..

surely they are not happy to see the price gaining much ahead of the announcement

Stock

2020-07-04 13:23 | Report Abuse

the nearer it gets to Supermax earnings announcement...you will see more and more such desperate news...

Stock

2020-07-04 13:20 | Report Abuse

and.....even before the earnings are announced?

isn't it more rational to tell that after 2 or 3 consecutive mind blowing earnings...?

Stock

2020-07-04 13:17 | Report Abuse

calm down, it means certain parties feel they have not accumulated enough...

TheStar now reporting speculative news....are they really running out of news with substance? LOL!

Stock

2020-07-03 18:32 | Report Abuse

yeah..i guessed so...good that you had headed to his advise...

wish you even better return for the second half of the year

Stock

2020-07-03 18:27 | Report Abuse

walao...pjseow, you also here? Fantastic...

thanks to OTB, recovered all the loss in JAKS

Stock

2020-07-03 18:05 | Report Abuse

IB waiting for results...before they can give new TP...

Stock

2020-07-03 18:02 | Report Abuse

@free...the only problem sharing in forum with a lots of commentators is...within a few hours you yourself cannot find what you shared...

it gets drowned easily and forgotten...LOL!

anyway....IB is there to share all their TP...

Stock

2020-07-03 17:50 |

Post removed.Why?

Stock

2020-07-03 17:49 | Report Abuse

looks like the world will never be how it used to be....it will never be the same again...

Stock

2020-07-03 17:44 | Report Abuse

god knows what other animals can be infected.... hope not chickens..

Stock

2020-07-03 17:43 | Report Abuse

aah....you are right!

how a self absorbed human i have been...only thinking from my angle...

If a mink can be infected...and we also heard transmission via frozen salmons in china....this means its really going to be tough eradicating this virus....



Posted by freetospeak > Jul 3, 2020 5:35 PM | Report Abuse

probability...poor mink kena covid from human i think...y blame the mink...

Stock

2020-07-03 17:23 | Report Abuse

all animal handling will be with gloves then.....

Stock

2020-07-03 17:22 | Report Abuse

Dutch report new coronavirus infection on mink farm

https://www.deccanherald.com/international/world-news-politics/dutch-report-new-coronavirus-infection-on-mink-farm-856505.html


The Netherlands first reported in April that two mink farms had been infected with the Covid-19 disease. At least two workers were also infected in what the World Health Organization said could be the first known animal-to-human transmissions.

........


Walao eh...this is scary news...can infect from life animal to human!!

Stock

2020-07-03 17:05 | Report Abuse

charlest...been very busy with office work....had been having a lot of private conversation with sifus like freetospeak, chief ...in i3

you one man enough to brighten supermax forum

TQ

Stock

2020-07-03 17:02 | Report Abuse

charlest 6 sense + freetospeak insider sense + OTB TA sense....all pointed on the same direction

seeing above, one only need common sense...not to miss it.

Stock

2020-07-02 16:59 | Report Abuse

hippopotamus also in i think