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2024-01-16 12:56 | Report Abuse
You must give credit to OTB in identifying value and summarising it for the uninitiated...whether or not the market recognises and gives it the due value is beyond his control
Duke highway 5B? If you include Duke 123 10B la
Squirtle
Otb buy call
Say Duke highway RM5b worth
Confirm ah
29 minutes ago
2024-01-16 12:53 | Report Abuse
Simple calculation for Knusford as follows
Knusford net assets is around 220M or 2.20/ share.
The share split will increase total issued and paid-up shares to circa 365M from 99M.
It will then issue 750M shares to Ekovest and bring shares outstanding to 1.115B with new net assets value of 669M or pegged to 60c/ share.
If we buy at 95c today, our average cost after share split is around 26c. From here you can run simple projections...of course if it trades at 60c we make more than double. If it trades at around 30c or 50% discount to NAV, it's still 15% above our average cost (at 95c today). It'll be quite a failure if the new 450M acquisiton trades at 50% discount upon completion.
The problem with this counter will always be the liquidity discount. Even with new shares outstanding 1.115B, shareholding structure has not changed, a lot of it will be in the hands of controlling shareholders. We shall see what Ekovest does with the shares.
There is immense upside for new Knusford in that it could trade above NAV given Tunku Ismail's ownership & the ongoing Iskandar theme. Any new contracts will be huge relative to Knusford's existing market cap.
Currently details lacking, above speculation only
2024-01-16 12:39 | Report Abuse
For 6 months MYEG showed an unbreakable low at around 78c. This strong bounce is very much welcomed, I believe we have bought enough.
Sailang's TP is realistic. MYEG has been moving like Yinson, but with but usually with 20x the volume lol. Both are immensely profitable but technically weak, wait for breakout π€
2024-01-13 21:05 | Report Abuse
Even at last closing of 92c the entire company is only valued at less than 92M. This means at 92c the outstanding 10% shares is worth less than 10M and among us we would have taken up a few million at least.
Profits aside I am now very curious what's going to happen next. Will sellers continue to sell ahead of share split? When will sellers be exhausted? There's really not much left
2024-01-13 21:03 | Report Abuse
This is a very small counter. As at 30/6/23, the Top 30 collectively holds 89.15%. I am not sure who will be selling given the impending exercise. To begin with...the people who owned Knusford back then, do not appear to me as active traders. Who could have seen value before the exercise?
2024-01-13 20:58 | Report Abuse
I certainly played my part in pushing it above 90cents, let's Ong together otherwise I die first π€£
2024-01-08 10:50 | Report Abuse
but no catalyst to sailang la π
2024-01-08 10:50 | Report Abuse
sailang I think if index keep going up and everything else keep going up, this one will succumb to upside pressure as well and break out abruptly
2024-01-08 10:47 | Report Abuse
This counter...I can't make money, s3upid i know lol. When it broke below 76.5c I ran without hesitation and swapped all to Ekovest. Had I held back, this one did better than Ekovest. Even then I knew it was wrong to sell, but couldn't overcome the fear on valuations for this counter
2024-01-08 10:44 | Report Abuse
Oh no. Sold everything at 60c π Looks like I will be forced to buy back at 66c? Goodluck guys this has been a very very very good ride, thank youuuuuuuu
2024-01-04 17:52 | Report Abuse
Permutation, it's bullish, they sold before it went up or, it went up despite their selling - Bullish π
2024-01-04 17:51 | Report Abuse
For a counter of this size Yinson's volume has always been low. Low when it rises, low when it falls.
Management please try to address this issue...look at YTL now, and as always MYEG.
If only Yinson has this kind of volume it should easily hit analyst TPs π
2024-01-04 17:45 | Report Abuse
Yinson staging 2nd attempt now. Breaking 2.59 will be very bullish?
Anyway, with property construction and YTL run, they should lend us patience to wait on this sleeping giant
OTB
The share price of Yinson must close higher than 2.50 which is the 200-day SMA.
20-week EMA is at 2.47.
Weekly MACD is a buy signal now.
TA is still weak.
Thank you.
1 week ago
2024-01-03 16:00 | Report Abuse
Turning point was when our beloved new Agong spoke. Daulat Tuanku π
2024-01-03 15:59 | Report Abuse
Melting up for distribution
Still, beautifulllll
2023-12-15 09:32 | Report Abuse
Yinson and KLSE have been sluggish for so long it's hard to believe, but the stars are aligned
Still very early, but for a long time now, it will be nice to see a confirmation of breakout and a sustained new uptrend
2023-12-14 13:33 | Report Abuse
This would sound ridiculous and disillusionary but why do I see a super large pennant starting from mid-Apr till now πππ
2023-12-14 13:30 | Report Abuse
To quote Mr Koon Yew Yin: I am obliged to inform you that I am heavily invested in Yinson which is a multi-B company and do not need you to buy to support the price π€£π€£π€£
2023-12-14 13:30 | Report Abuse
If Yinson tumbled because of endless rate hike fears, this is it
Increasing volume and BQ becoming fatter
I don't usually like breakout trades but chart wise, the stars are aligned. We just need a little nudge from anywhere and the tide could turn
2023-12-13 17:43 | Report Abuse
Choivo
Correct, as you said, 6x gearing for 10% premium at today's price. I'll take it lol
Results due tomorrow, mother share movement indicates no surprises...warrants...low liquidity causes this volatility
2023-12-12 13:13 | Report Abuse
Well, for other counters, news like this is big news. For Yinson apparently not much of an event. I think it's a meaningful plus - vouch of confidence by the banks and cashflow wise. Yinson's business is much bigger than its market cap. Reminds me of MMC...
https://theedgemalaysia.com/node/693546
2023-12-11 11:29 | Report Abuse
Yeah you're right jackson, forget what I said about small market cap, it's always misleading to amateurs like myself π
2023-12-10 15:13 | Report Abuse
HSR will benefit Iskandar landowner more than the contractor who will build HSR. Having that said HSR revived, landowner contractors developers heck even retail sector will rise
2023-12-10 15:12 | Report Abuse
I don't know about you but looking at the facts, this counter can allocate some funds and see how it goes. Never blame the sharks...thank them for giving us the opportunity to buy more at or below recent placement price
2023-12-10 15:12 | Report Abuse
Don't forget how Ekovest shares collapsed when HSR was terminated. Therefore with Johor Sultan's blessings, the reverse could be true
2023-12-10 15:11 | Report Abuse
That's incorrect RR...HSR is definitely a big+ to Ekovest
HSR does more good to land value, or sentiment and perception thereof, of Iskandar landbank
With the impending corporate exercise, other than UEMS who is the largest purest landowner in Iskandar region?
2023-12-08 16:24 | Report Abuse
Good counter, but these days trading range so narrow nothing to trade.
2023-12-08 16:23 | Report Abuse
Market often reacts before announcement. Recent clear examples, YTL, even UEMS, even Ekovest. AQRS however, really shows no insider movements i.e. it shows no indication AQRS will be getting anything soon at all.
However, market cap is so small, small volume can spike the share price. Really hard to tell, and really a small cap counter. Who was buying it so heavily from 37-40? I was able to constantly sell at 38-39 for days at that time. Later on I would easily buy back at 36 and resell at 38. What's the operator doing? No idea. After the crash, there was a day they keep taking up everything at 35, before pushing it down to 32.5. Becauuse it's small cap the margin is there, what's their game plan?
2023-12-08 16:19 | Report Abuse
Another is Temasek station reinstatement. This was AQRS's job which was slashed. It's odd not to give it back to AQRS. But if AQRS doesn't get it, it really shows that AQRS is quite weak already
2023-12-08 16:19 | Report Abuse
https://www.astroawani.com/berita-malaysia/kerajaan-pandang-serius-kelewatan-pelaksanaan-projek-pan-borneo-di-sabah-449203
Anwar is shouting at Sabah to expedite Pan Borneo works. To what extent they can implement remains to be seen. This is one of the most visible catalyst to rerate. AQRS-Suria Cap JV still on? Unknown. JV better, Suria is local, Sabah is very protective of locals. Anwar wants transparent tender - this is definitely good for AQRS. There are not that many contractors who has the big infra track record. AQRS's chances ok. AQRS's pre-cast fab plant JV w Sabah Econ Board. IF these 2 parts don't give AQRS...well it remains a fair chance they don't get it - last round they got nothing. Hopefully Anwar effect means Sabah can prioritise transparency and fair tender over cronyism
2023-12-08 16:15 | Report Abuse
Permutation
If Yinson is going to be flat in 2024 as well then the mother share would be a better choice?
44 minutes ago
1) I look at it this way...below 0.500 I will exercise it for around 2.80. I am ok with 2.80 for Yinson. Just have to make sure got enough money to exercise since as it goes down I may buy up millions and then the exercise cost will run into tens of millions lol
2) Yinson is low dividend yield this is good for warrants
3) Yinson warrants is fairly liquid
4) A counter like Yinson should not ordinarily have warrants. Blue chip counter with this type of warrants is rare.
So I think, warrants > mother share, especially now
We must remember warrants premium increase as mother share falls, and usually narrows as mother share rises. So we can't value warrants based on a fixed premium
2023-12-08 16:13 | Report Abuse
Quote !!
Our KLSE has not performed well over the last 30 years.
I still remember FBMKLCI was at a record high at 1,332 in January 1994, the FBMKLCI increased only 100 points until 2023.
JSX or Jakarta stock market (Indonesia) has increased 650% in the last 30 years.
Really very disappointed with KLSE, the worst stock market in the world.
Unquote !!
This thing has been bugging me too. Why KLSE performs so poorly. The weak ringgit makes it the more appealing to USD investors at this stage. For a moment, we saw some light. There was a property and construction run, there were privatisations, BPlant, UMW. Market was moving in the right direction for a while. Meanwhile Anwar is shouting sky high figures he secured going on world tour. So, where are the foreign investors. How does Anwar intend to implement execute the local projects?
If Anwar disappoints, sigh. There'll come a time even the last of us stop hoping and move everything to overseas investments, it's just a click away barring capital outflows rules...but if the last of us do leave, that will be the time the market comes roaring back lol
I can't remember the last time we can play breakout on KLSE...trends dont last. Maybe UEMS YTL, but that's about it. Sad.
2023-12-07 16:17 | Report Abuse
This is getting quite exciting. In trading you want counters like that, counters that move. Now the big 200MA 0.435 which coincides with last placement price, will it hold?
2023-12-06 16:30 | Report Abuse
Definitely clearly absolutely good for MYEG. Doing the right things. Just that too small to move the needle. TS Wong didn't even bother appearing
2023-12-06 16:25 | Report Abuse
MYEG has become an old man stock...so steady, so slow π
2023-12-06 16:24 | Report Abuse
Kudos Uncle Koon new article. I've already been out tho, value trap share price action doesn't feel right as it tumbles post results. If it runs, chase then
2023-12-06 16:22 | Report Abuse
Can't say good timing π we all know that catching the falling knife is for suckers, chasing it up always give much more satisfaction. Well...I have some proceeds from BPlant, just reallocating capital. Yinson such a gooooodddddddddddddd counter, testing everyone's patience
2023-12-06 16:21 | Report Abuse
AQRS is a bumi contractor, their game is really not in private development projects - it's not a bad move, they get good deals and they treat it like a turnkey project with higher margin. This is for them to tide over the difficult times only. Their key rerating catalyst must come from big infra
2023-12-06 16:19 | Report Abuse
eddy you're too optimistic, even though I am AQRS supporter π I dont believe they intentionally delay to collect shares...the reason they delay work is only cashflow. For the Peak they have decided that it's cheaper to pay LAD than to complete it. For E Puchong they have EOT and they are prioritising Govt jobs before going back to complete E Puchong
2023-12-06 16:16 | Report Abuse
Realrich you're funny. Even if we go by your logic which I don't know where to begin with anyway mathematically it should be 0.45+0.60 / 2 = 0.525 π€£
2023-12-05 14:57 | Report Abuse
I have started to nibble on Yinson warrants again after holding back for so long. Yinson has been underperforming for the whole year really. Warrants appear to me a better bet for small frys like me than the mother share π
2023-11-30 16:20 | Report Abuse
This counter I find it harder to understand. Given the steep rise I think mostttt retailers can't hold and would have sold. It was trading for an extended period at the higher range. When it falls, I also think mostttt retailers won't dare to hold. And without foreign funds it doesnt go up like that. So what's the game here
2023-11-30 16:18 | Report Abuse
That's the right move πππ it's always right to fear the market
theyoungman
Now become Q to buy πππ
When down, people scare to buy, sapu seller.
When up, become Q to buy.
0 seconds ago
2023-11-30 16:08 | Report Abuse
Agreeeeeeeeeee. Both UEMs and Ekovest moving in tandem
RISK8888
aiyo why so fast rebound, i belum beli cukup lagi ler
47 seconds ago
Stock: [UEMS]: UEM SUNRISE BERHAD
2024-01-16 12:57 | Report Abuse
@mf if you still have profit to take you have been very patient lor π€£