Yes ,fully agree with you sakurakid4 . real investor never ask people to buy the share they bought .only speculator will ask people to follow them .we really need to be very careful while making our investing decision .
Hi jt, Thanks for your good article,so do you think that magni will do the same with gtronic? Yes,there are lack infor for magni but i think it is worth to invest it since everthing look good right now. Unless the price is overvalue.
Hi harryt30 ,MAGNI在FY2015的外汇盈利是0.989 mil, 而在FY2016是6.941 mil，足足比去年多了5 mil左右。but in their quater report ... Net unrealised (gain)/loss on foreign exchange (2,984)(107) 827 712 Net realised (gain)/loss on foreign exchange 7,077 (2,745) (7,768) (5,891) so fy2015 should be (5891) -712 = 5179 . is it ??
good article ,thanks so much Alex Tan . can anybody tell me how could we visit the listed company and their factory ? i once heard the listed company will only entertain big bosses or financial institution people like fund manager.is this true?
Hi shinado ,how do you count the ROIC for year 2015? base on the latest report, the invested capital is 74916000 and net profit is 54731000 ,so 57731/74916 *100 should be 73 % only but not as you said 96.4 % .is't it ?
Hi JY ,this is the most detail and logic analysis i ever read ! i believe this must took you a lot of time to carry it out .thanks you so much. this company seem like undervalue and ignore by most investor , the only reason i think is maybe due to their balance sheet .do you see that they have unusual high receivable and payable ? their total liability is much more higher than their total equity.
and i am not so clear about this , can someone tell me this will make ECS earn more or the opposite ?thanks . (The Group is exposed to foreign currency risk on purchases that are denominated in a currency other than the respective functional currencies of Group entities. Approximately 33.8% (2013: 36.5%) of the Group’s purchases are priced in US Dollar (“USD”). The Group hedges a portion of these exposures by purchasing forward currency contracts. Most of the forward exchange contracts have maturities of less than one year after the end of the reporting period. Where necessary, the forward exchange contracts are rolled over at maturity).
This is what i get from the 2014 annual report Currency risk sensitivity analysis A 10% (2013: 10%) strengthening of Ringgit Malaysia (“RM”) against the following currency at the end of the reporting period would have increased (decreased) post-tax profit or loss by the amounts shown below. This analysis is based on foreign currency exchange rate variances that the Group considered to be reasonably possible at the end of the reporting period. The analysis assumes that all other variables, in particular interest rates, remained constant and ignores any impact of forecasted sales and purchases. Group Profit or loss Profit or loss 2014 2013 RM’000 RM’000 USD 2,493 3,230 A 10% (2013: 10%) weakening of Ringgit Malaysia (“RM”) against the above currency at the end of the reporting period would have had equal but opposite effect on the above currency to the amount shown above, on the basis that all other variables remained constant.
Hi Riche Ho ,you said the movement of MYR/RMB will not affect HHGROUP significantly ,but here is what i see in their quarter report .correct me if i am mistaken on this .anyway ,thanks a lot for your good analysis. ( For the current quarter ended 30 September 2015, the Group reported PBT of RM2.98 million,representing an increase of approximately RM0.70 million or 30.70% as compared to the PBTof RM2.28 million recorded in the preceding year corresponding quarter. This was primarily due to foreign exchange gain originating in the ordinary course of business arising from sales denominated in US Dollar and Renminbi, as a result of the weakening of Ringgit Malaysia.)
Hi livingston, thanks for the reply ,so as you mention above ,(They are expecting the mother price should goes down so that the CW holders will not be able to exercise their CW and expire worthless) .so that the outstanding share will not change and so the EPS will not be diluted too . am i right ?
hi humblepie188, thanks for the good sharing. seem like very complicated to understand how to calculate the warrant intrinsic value huh . so if we invest the mother ,do we need to re-calculate the ratio ,for example PE ratio,if the counter we invest has issue call warrant ?
Hi KC , thanks for the reply. let me give an example here . let say company A have total invested capital of rm1000 ,and the EBIT is rm200 ,so the ROIC is 20% . ( EBIT/total invested capital) and company A is zero debt . but company B have the same ROIC as company A but company B have rm500 debt in the balance sheet.so are they still have the same "goodness" ?
Hi KC , as you said "Quantitatively, the requirement of stable and consistent earnings and cash flow from operations and free cash flow, a healthy balance sheet stay. And the difference is, instead of using return on equity (ROE) as a measure of a good company, I prefer the return on invested capital (ROIC). For cheapness, I use EBIT multiple, instead of the price-to-earnings ratio. "
But how about if a company with high debt ? does the ROIC alone still apply to such high debt company ? or you still need to add in (EBIT multiple = Enterprise Value / EBIT) to make it work better ?
Hi JT yeo , good explanation for the cut loss theory . i suggest to buy more if a good fundamental stock is falling down like there is no tomorrow. but the concern is you have to prepare some extra cash for this situation . i believe most of us will use all the cash especially during the bull market .
Hi Richeho , yes ,high dividend always be the safe net for us ,especially in the unstable market just like now . and may i know what is the difference between private placement and right issue ? are they the same ? many thnks .