nikicheong

nikicheong | Joined since 2017-02-10

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Stock

2017-08-20 22:07 | Report Abuse

When does AA Q2 report come out?

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2017-08-20 15:30 | Report Abuse

"Buy in near to RM 1.20, Cut Lost at RM 1.17"

Haha what a joker. I wish people did this. Depress the price further!

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2017-08-19 23:03 | Report Abuse

Shortinvestor, any materials to share for their top picks? Usually they give out slides or something.

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2017-08-19 16:20 | Report Abuse

Quarter report seems to be later than the norm?

Anyways, and sharp drop due to reduced profitability should be seen as a buying opportunity.

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2017-08-19 08:17 | Report Abuse

I think it will continue falling to about RM0.85 levels, at which point things get attractive. At the moment still not cheap enough. Better bargains elsewhere.

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2017-08-18 22:07 | Report Abuse

"anyway coast is clear for Longists now"

Means? Just wondering what you're saying.

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2017-08-18 18:38 | Report Abuse

Misi minggu ini untuk pulang ke tahap RM1.70-an dicapai. Minggu depan pula report kewangan akan keluar. Ayuh, sama sama kita nantikan pendakian harga seterusnya.

Stock

2017-08-18 18:34 | Report Abuse

Come in lah. Who is this imbecile?

Either way Armada green the whole week. Not bad. It all hinges on the quarterly releasing in next Friday. I expect RM100mil core net profit at least (excluding any supplementary one off payments that is).

Stock

2017-08-18 16:32 | Report Abuse

Prepare for a run-up and then a sell-down next week, like what happened for Q1 results.

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2017-08-17 22:14 | Report Abuse

KS55, don't talk so much nonsense lah about the PRGL results.

1) Why keep quoting the bottomline? To spot turnarounds you always keep an eye on the operating profits and operating profit margins. That's where the first signs of turnaround/improvement will show.

2) That revenue has decreased QoQ (due to natural festive period effect) but operating profits are higher should be a very positive sign. Why are you spinning it to be a negative?

3) Regarding depreciation:

"Depreciation and amortization decreased by RMB23.6 million or 13.1% to RMB156.3 million. The
decrease was primarily attributable to savings from stores closed and renovation from old stores that
has been fully depreciated in 2016 and 1H2017. On a same store basis, depreciation expense
decreased by 10.8%, mainly due to the fully depreciated assets mentioned above."

I don't see any hanky panky with the depreciation. If you add back the RMB23.6 to the operating costs for H1 2017, you will still get a net operating profit of ~RMB50mil.

Stock

2017-08-17 21:43 | Report Abuse

Parkson Retail Group's current P/BV is at 0.55X, which is neither over-priced nor under-priced. The price may fall a bit, but the Malaysian listing of PHB already is far off the value of PRGL.

Hard to predict what will happen...

Of course this is discounting whatever PHB's core losses could be (i.e. Parkson Credit, Parkson Maju Junction etc which come directly under PHB rather than PRGL/PRA).

Stock

2017-08-17 21:36 | Report Abuse

Another thing to add. You need to look at the finer details. Like how there is lower revenue QoQ but higher operating profit. This means costs have been brought under control and there is continuous improvement in that regards. Operating profit margins up from 2.5% to 3.5% QoQ.

Maybe I am clutching at straws but I would like someone to show how Parkson is worse off today compared to the previous quarter of this year, or the similar quarter last year.

Stock

2017-08-17 21:32 | Report Abuse

For the bonds, I don't think there's much to worry about as bonds can be eventually refinanced. I believe Parkson is waiting to refinance at the last possible moment to show that the turnaround plan is working to some degree in a bid to pay lower coupons on the refinanced bonds. They will likely pay off a portion of the outstanding face value at the same time.

Stock

2017-08-17 21:26 | Report Abuse

Eh, contrary to the above, I think the result is positive. This are the signs of a turnaround plan that is working. We can't just jump into profitability right away. First, stem the losses. Based on Q1 and Q2 2017, losses do seem to have been stemmed. Costs have been brought down, revenues have been increasing.

To me, I'm satisfied with the result.

If you discount the bonds, CL has fallen from 3.83bil to 3.24bil. NCL has risen slightly from 1.19bil to 1.24bil.

Shareholders equity has increased, after decreasing for many quarters.

Operating profit from -51mil to +70mil.

Some numbers not shown in the financial statement but are positive development:

Q1 2017 revenue: 1.255bil
Q2 2017 revenue: 1.114bil
Q2 2016 revenue: 1.081bil

Q1 2017 operating profit: 31.216mil
Q2 2017 operating profit: 39.349mil

Q1 2017 income tax: 17.7mil
Q2 2017 income tax: 36.5mil

------------

To me all the above is proof that the turnaround is in progress, and is working. There is a net loss mainly due to the hugely increased taxation vs Q1.

Each to their own, but I hold my Parkson shares bought at RM0.64 for now. I will not top-up more, but I think returning to sustained profitability for Parkson in China is achievable now. Again, the most important thing is stemming losses, and Parkson has done this. Now we move on to phase 2.

Stock

2017-08-17 15:42 | Report Abuse

I am happy yes. Patience and research paid-off. Market makes lots of noise. Question is, can you separate the noise from the signal?

In my entire stock investing life, I have thus far only made 11 buy transactions. 3 of those were for Armada (0.605, 0.630, 0.685). No other company stock has been purchased more than once. And I averaged up (unlike most people who average down).

Anyway, can’t be too excited. Tomorrow we may suddenly go back to RM0.70...who knows. What I CAN be absolutely sure about is that I will hold the stock to RM0.92 at least. Once we hit that, I will start thinking about selling. And if the story hasn’t changed but the stock regresses to RM0.6xx levels once more, then you bet I’d be thinking about a 4th round of top up!

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2017-08-17 12:51 | Report Abuse

Godhand where do you get the figures from.

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2017-08-16 20:41 | Report Abuse

@gohkimhock, this is the type of counter that can double or triple up...OVER THE LONG TERM. 3-5 years....easily double or triple up if you know the expansion plans of the business.

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2017-08-16 20:33 | Report Abuse

Does anyone know when the report out exactly? Maybe ask the management via phone/email.

Stock

2017-08-16 20:32 | Report Abuse

Haha >100%. I think 30% is more reasonable, maybe even up to 50% given the low base effect. Anything more and I don't think it's possible.

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2017-08-16 19:15 | Report Abuse

No sellers this week....only buyers (low volume). Sounds ominous....

Stock

2017-08-16 19:13 | Report Abuse

I already bought my first tranche last month at RM0.775. Not in any hurry to buy in a second time. But hard to see the stock falling below RM0.65 or RM0.60 to be honest...so if it falls on weakness below RM0.66 I may buy the second tranche. Otherwise, I wait till end of October to top up again at ~RM0.70 levels.

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2017-08-16 19:07 | Report Abuse

I mean logic says that with net cash stabilized at RM0.43/share...that is the absolute floor. If somebody today comes in and takes the company private, more than half the market cap is made up of net cash.

MMHE will fly, yes, but only once a major contract is awarded. Pegaga due out Q1 2018, by Q4 2017 insiders will start buying.

In the absence of a clear catalyst, MMHE can't go up above RM0.75 I think.

Buy now, and just keep it aside for 3-5 years. Since your money doubling/tripling/quadrupling over the years...!!!

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2017-08-15 21:56 | Report Abuse

Guidance is issued usually to "soften" blows. So now the market knows what to expect. It's a massive impairment exercise. Likely hoping to start anew for FY18.

To me I don't care about PRA, I care about PRGL. That's the meat of PHB.

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2017-08-15 14:39 | Report Abuse

Must invest with Direct CDS. No charges. Nominee makes you pay!

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2017-08-15 13:36 | Report Abuse

Please lah understand, IPO is for owner to cash out

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2017-08-14 22:06 | Report Abuse

PRGL results out this Friday, i.e. 18 August 2017. Judgement day awaits!

I will decide to cut loss if I deem the company to be unsaveable. But if there is any glimmer of hope, I shall continue holding.

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2017-08-14 21:14 | Report Abuse

Boss, please explain about the share premium issue?

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2017-08-14 19:18 | Report Abuse

Most of us already buy at lower values, now enjoying the ride up! :)

Stock

2017-08-14 18:32 | Report Abuse

Looking at the thin buy queue makes me excited....but let's not get too carried away.

Stock

2017-08-14 17:26 | Report Abuse

Wow left one lonesome lot at RM1.70. Good thing we are back in RM1.7x territory. Let's maintain here for a while now.

Stock

2017-08-14 14:40 | Report Abuse

Interesting, however both P/E and P/BV are at high levels. Would rather stay away cause this is just banking on the CX-5 knocking things out of the park.

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2017-08-14 00:50 | Report Abuse

All the best for the week ahead. Here's to hoping fridays news provides much needed catalyst to drive share price upwards. Will be interesting to see how analysts rate the job win. Hope to see us return back to RM0.7xx

Stock

2017-08-13 22:12 | Report Abuse

By the way guys, I often monitor the Parkson China website to see if they have made changes. And today finally I see that the Parkson China website has changed!

Can somebody please translate whats going on? What do the things on the website say? Is there a new app launched? This could be positive development going forward.

http://parkson.com.cn/

Stock

2017-08-13 22:11 | Report Abuse

Royce, your calculations are correct. However, NO ONE will ascribe the full value of the sum of parts to the holding company. As such, there is often a penalty of 30-40% called "holding company discount".

Also don't forget, above and beyond that Parkson Holdings Bhd has got its own core properties and businesses such as Parkson Credit.

Stock

2017-08-13 21:42 | Report Abuse

Pmetal is a defensive counter? Holy hell, it's in one of the most cyclical industries.

Anyway, here's to a good week ahead for Hevea, let's get back into the mid RM1.70s!

Stock

2017-08-13 19:16 | Report Abuse

Ah well those are not going to be awarded anytime soon.

Also, I think Bumi should not take on anymore large FPSO project in the next 12 months, I.e. Till Q2 2018. They should focus on executing all at hand perfectly and start paring down their debt. It would be good to land one or two small/mid size contracts. Once debt is lower, then take on a large project, so that it doesn't require the raising of additional equity.

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2017-08-13 13:09 | Report Abuse

They can likely pass through cost, but not so fast. Immediate quarters will suffer a margin compression before the cost is fully passed through. Might present some buying opportunity in 2-3 months time (compounded with the warrants thing).

Stock

2017-08-12 23:30 | Report Abuse

The hell guys, can we please keep all this talk about the US stockmarket aside?

This is a Heveaboard sub-forum, let's stay on topic. Don't see why some randoms are hijacking the forum.

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2017-08-12 19:46 | Report Abuse

Pegaga? Upstream has no updates in it. Latest is a Wellhead for Sepat. Maybe you're confused between the two?

Stock

2017-08-12 19:45 | Report Abuse

Few more? Such as?

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2017-08-12 11:30 | Report Abuse

http://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2017/08/12/eye-on-stock-tambun-indah/

Please do not buy at RM1.16. Wait for it to be violated. I do not follow TA, but if you want to use TA, bet AGAINST it. The lower you buy, the higher your future returns.

I love Tambun. What a great balance sheet and ROE. But there is no need to rush.

PS: Actually you can start buying Tambun now, on the condition you save your bullets and buy every 10% it falls to average down, and NEVER sell.

Stock

2017-08-12 00:39 | Report Abuse

What's the status for the rights issue...? Still on or not?

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2017-08-11 19:56 | Report Abuse

To be completed in the 2nd half of 2018...means for roughly one year of contract duration there is a RM576mil revenue...pretty good! Not sure what kind of margins there are for subsea works...but assuming there is a 10% margin (conservative) it should add ~RM57 mil to the bottom line over the next 4-5 quarters.

Stock

2017-08-11 19:49 | Report Abuse

Nice, may provide positive support on Monday. Fortunate to have come in today. Everyone who bought at RM0.680-RM0.695 this week can be satisfied with their purchase.

Stock

2017-08-11 13:55 | Report Abuse

http://www.offshore-mag.com/articles/2017/08/more-orders-imminent-for-floating-production-systems-report-claims.html

Prospects are there but will almost certainly result in a rights issue if it requires above RM1bil capex.

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2017-08-11 13:53 | Report Abuse

I didn't see anyone mention this here (nor did local media report about it): http://www.epmag.com/gas-production-starts-indonesias-bd-field-1647116

This is for Karupan Sterling III. It doesn't specify if the production started with the FPSO, or without the FPSO.

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2017-08-11 12:34 | Report Abuse

Finally got in for the third time at RM0.685. Previous buys at RM0.605 and RM0.630. Total average cost price is at RM0.6621.

Let's hope for the best!

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2017-08-11 11:12 | Report Abuse

Andrew, doesn't sound right. From your story, you would have been best off if you just held your Hevea shares all the way through.