10 people like this.

126 comment(s). Last comment by Acon888 2016-12-07 10:39

moneySIFU

5,862 posts

Posted by moneySIFU > 2016-10-26 11:02 | Report Abuse

hehe, WealthWizard's article outplay sinchew today's newspaper

moneySIFU

5,862 posts

Posted by moneySIFU > 2016-10-26 11:06 | Report Abuse

Most people just read the title of the newspapers & quickly make up their own opinion.

If read carefully on the news, it is nothing to worry, it is just fact that China is dumping its steel products into Asean countries.

moneySIFU

5,862 posts

Posted by moneySIFU > 2016-10-26 11:08 | Report Abuse

With now many countries are imposing anti-dumping duties over China steel products, the Governments are putting efforts & taking steps to protect local steel industries.

IamGoogle

836 posts

Posted by IamGoogle > 2016-10-26 11:38 | Report Abuse

Thank you, WW, it is great eye opening article.

Posted by 静思# 是修养也是修行 > 2016-10-26 11:39 | Report Abuse

repost to wealthwizard grand sifu

Posted by 静思# 是修养也是修行 > Oct 25, 2016 06:43 PM | Report Abuse X

Mr Wealthwizard grand sifu. After ur main course Mycron. Could you please kindly write something side dish for AYS VENTURES? it is the cousin of mycron actually...

Help me pls.. Thank you sifu

IamGoogle

836 posts

Posted by IamGoogle > 2016-10-26 11:41 | Report Abuse

1 question, why CRC sales volume in Q4 didn't drop but Steel Tube sales volume drop so much?

IamGoogle

836 posts

Posted by IamGoogle > 2016-10-26 11:41 | Report Abuse

2 question, China CRC price has gone 29% in past 4 months, but your projected CRC price only goes up 2%-4%?

From 2,059 to 2,100 & 2,150? So low?

IamGoogle

836 posts

Posted by IamGoogle > 2016-10-26 11:43 | Report Abuse

3 question, why you projected lower sales volume in Q30/9/2016?

Shouldn't it be higher than Q30/6/2016?

moneySIFU

5,862 posts

Posted by moneySIFU > 2016-10-26 11:49 | Report Abuse

Good observation & good questions, IamGoogle

Posted by WealthWizard > 2016-10-26 12:10 | Report Abuse

Hi 静思# 是修养也是修行, thank you for recommendation, I will look into that company.

Posted by WealthWizard > 2016-10-26 12:10 | Report Abuse

Thank you, IamGoogle

Posted by WealthWizard > 2016-10-26 12:12 | Report Abuse

For Question 1, CRC division is having higher profit margin compared to Steel tube division, so it is normal to give more resources/raw materials to CRC division in order to generate higher profits for the company

Posted by WealthWizard > 2016-10-26 12:14 | Report Abuse

For Question 2, though the Management of Mycron has confirmed that my past 4 quarters are very close to the facts, but they didn't confirm or give hints on the current selling price.

So I can only guess with most conservative way, even though I know the facts that China CRC has gone up 29% since 30/6/2016.

Realistic projection is much achievable & acceptable to me.

Posted by WealthWizard > 2016-10-26 12:17 | Report Abuse

For Question 3, low sales/production volumes for quarter period 30/9/2016 are due to Ramadan Month and Hari Raya holidays. I projected the factory to close for 1 week.

Posted by WealthWizard > 2016-10-26 12:22 | Report Abuse

Hope the above are acceptable to you, IamGoogle

moneySIFU

5,862 posts

Posted by moneySIFU > 2016-10-26 12:32 | Report Abuse

Very good discussion over here, seldom see at other forums, well done, guys!

probability

14,499 posts

Posted by probability > 2016-10-26 16:00 | Report Abuse

What a meticulously thought & derived TP....WealthWizard had dissected this MYCRO-Organism in & out!

Cchuanlim

25 posts

Posted by Cchuanlim > 2016-10-26 16:05 | Report Abuse

交易量小,股价不上不下,甚麽理论都是纸上谈兵。

Posted by Benjamin_8888 > 2016-10-26 16:43 | Report Abuse

cchuanlim, 什么叫不上不下?

Cchuanlim

25 posts

Posted by Cchuanlim > 2016-10-26 16:52 | Report Abuse

一般而言。

moneySIFU

5,862 posts

Posted by moneySIFU > 2016-10-26 18:36 | Report Abuse

Cchuanlim, 你是不知你所言,还是知其然而不知其所以然?说一些与事实不相关的言论。

probability

14,499 posts

Posted by probability > 2016-10-26 23:12 | Report Abuse

http://www.seaisi.org/News/5836/Posco+Posts+Biggest+Profit+Since+%E2%80%9813+as+Steel+Prices+Rebound

power of cheap raw material + inventory vs a rising Steel price...

probability

14,499 posts

Posted by probability > 2016-10-26 23:16 | Report Abuse

Posco’s margins expanded as the increase in steel prices exceeded gains in raw-material costs.

moneySIFU

5,862 posts

Posted by moneySIFU > 2016-10-27 00:45 | Report Abuse

That's good news

moneySIFU

5,862 posts

Posted by moneySIFU > 2016-10-27 01:47 | Report Abuse

在买进时,一定要作长期持守的打算,由于有这个打算,所以买进之前才会做足功课,只买基本面强稳的股票,使自己立于不败之地。

在买进后,一定要贴身跟踪股市及上市公司的变化,采取相应的对策,这就叫“监管——不但要监督,而且还要管理,如果买进后,提早达到投资目标,就应套利,这叫“短期操作”。如果买进后熊市冒现,或是有关上市公司业绩大跌,跟当初的预测不相符,就要壮士断臂,减损离场;如果买进后有关公司的业绩符合预期,但是股价暂时不动,就应耐心的持守下去,以等待股价反映业绩。

孙子战市系列2:用兵如神 (冷眼)
http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/coldeyed_suntzu/107324.jsp

Cchuanlim

25 posts

Posted by Cchuanlim > 2016-10-27 11:18 | Report Abuse

我只知道股市旺的时候,处处大师,声势浩大。股市不景时,个个焦头烂额,销声匿迹。我不想泼冷水,也不想助威 ,更不是甚麽专才,有感而发,一般而言。

moneySIFU

5,862 posts

Posted by moneySIFU > 2016-10-27 11:40 | Report Abuse

Cchuanlim,所以你还是知其一而不知其二,在现在股市不景和钢铁正在低潮时,作者毅然在这间公司从0.58跌到最低0.44的时候,一口气连写了三篇文章,为我们解析有关冷轧铁和热轧铁的行业和公司分析。不晓得你是否知道这个事实呢?

你意有所指的理论,是不是有点不负责任?

Cchuanlim

25 posts

Posted by Cchuanlim > 2016-10-27 11:55 | Report Abuse

我会祝愿所有玩股票的人如愿以偿,少赚多赚都好,不必负任何道义责任,大家乐一番!

moneySIFU

5,862 posts

Posted by moneySIFU > 2016-10-27 11:58 | Report Abuse

那我也祝福你成功

Ooi Teik Bee

11,568 posts

Posted by Ooi Teik Bee > 2016-10-27 12:04 |

Post removed.Why?

Posted by WealthWizard > 2016-10-27 12:04 | Report Abuse

Hope all can see my reminders before buying any shares.

If you make money, congratulation, but no need to share with me as these are yours.

If you lose money, sorry to hear that as I only responsible for mine, not yours.
http://klse.i3investor.com/files/my/blog/img/bl2751_blog_desription.jpg
http://klse.i3investor.com/files/my/blog/img/bl2751_blog_footnote.jpg

Posted by WealthWizard > 2016-10-27 12:13 | Report Abuse

You are right, Mr Ooi, the next quarter result is really important. Estimation is still forecast figures only. And also below:

"It is a stock market, someone will sell and someone will buy"

KLCI King

3,220 posts

Posted by KLCI King > 2016-10-27 12:26 | Report Abuse

@Cchuanlim, you play shares one ah? Then you no need to come here, just listen news or what friends' said, sure win one.

All people here stupid one, read so much. See, you no need.

Cchuanlim

25 posts

Posted by Cchuanlim > 2016-10-27 12:40 | Report Abuse

I believe I am not too bad a player. I keep what I think is good stock. I don't simply speculate.Well,since I am welcome here I retreat. Good luck friend.

alvinchiam

1,555 posts

Posted by alvinchiam > 2016-10-27 13:18 | Report Abuse

buy

moneySIFU

5,862 posts

Posted by moneySIFU > 2016-10-27 15:18 | Report Abuse

WealthWizard is so far one of the best writers in i3, very detailed analysis in the industry & company. Thank you for such great sharing!

Posted by 张天师买股票 > 2016-10-27 15:43 | Report Abuse

我把财富巫师写的几篇文章拿给我做某家上市公司的财务总管(Financial controller),他说这几篇分析和编排都是大师级数的,作者肯定从事与财务有关的工作并有相当多年的经验,不然就不可能写出那么精准和专业的文章。 财富巫师的分析远比很多证券行的分析报告更让人信服。

谢谢你,财富巫师, 我也因为你有关Ekovest和Mycron赚了不少,也知道自己对投资的目标,感恩!

Posted by buddyinvest > 2016-10-27 15:44 | Report Abuse

Agree, we must give credit where credit is due. Tq WealthWizard

VenFx

14,784 posts

Posted by VenFx > 2016-10-27 15:47 | Report Abuse

Really Advance Article , Can Foresee other can't see .
SALUTE .

CharlesT

14,954 posts

Posted by CharlesT > 2016-10-27 15:54 | Report Abuse

Very Pro, somemore FOC..where to find....

moneySIFU

5,862 posts

Posted by moneySIFU > 2016-10-27 16:21 | Report Abuse

It is time to test ourselves. All the time we heard people said: Let's the profit run

But it is not easy though, let see how good we can do on this

moneySIFU

5,862 posts

Posted by moneySIFU > 2016-10-27 16:22 | Report Abuse

WealthWizard is looking at RM1.68, he also suggested RM1.44, it is up to you if you want to set at even lower target price, everyone is freely to lock in the profit as long as you feel comfortable.

Most important, everyone make money :)

http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/wealth123/107089.jsp
http://klse.i3investor.com/files/my/blog/img/bl2751_mycron_alternative_option.jpg

PlsGiveBonus

3,749 posts

Posted by PlsGiveBonus > 2016-10-27 16:38 | Report Abuse

Share price very volatile now
Be extremely careful

moneySIFU

5,862 posts

Posted by moneySIFU > 2016-10-27 16:56 | Report Abuse

PGB is here

Posted by 张天师买股票 > 2016-10-27 17:17 | Report Abuse

谢谢钱师父,谢谢大家,股市从来就是波涛汹涌,鲨鳄成群,看看冷眼,看看巴菲,看看财富巫师,只要心中有明灯,满溢的回馈将可期。

Posted by 张天师买股票 > 2016-10-27 17:20 | Report Abuse

只要抛弃投机的心态,就不那么容易受到股价波动的影响和引诱而做出充满激情但不理智的决定

moneySIFU

5,862 posts

Posted by moneySIFU > 2016-10-31 11:18 | Report Abuse

Wow, WealthWizard is the real sifu, his projection in Mycron's sales quantities & production capacity are really close, please refer the sales tonnes & production capacity to compare:

http://klse.i3investor.com/files/my/blog/img/bl2751_mycron_if_hrc_is_not_delay_v3.jpg

page 7 of Annual Report (released just 30 minutes ago)
http://disclosure.bursamalaysia.com/FileAccess/apbursaweb/download?id=177493&name=EA_DS_ATTACHMENTS

moneySIFU

5,862 posts

Posted by moneySIFU > 2016-10-31 11:34 | Report Abuse

Look like WealthWizard had still under-estimated the potential of steel tube production & profit projection.

moneySIFU

5,862 posts

Posted by moneySIFU > 2016-10-31 11:42 | Report Abuse

Something new & really interesting on page 13, the company disclosed the selling prices of HRC that sourced from locally & internationally. What a good effort to give transparency to investing community.

probability

14,499 posts

Posted by probability > 2016-10-31 16:24 | Report Abuse

$$-sifu...I haven't had the time to really go through check what you are saying here...please share in detail your findings later if possible..thanks!

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