Good artciel. Clear cut points and easy to understand. Most importantly, the figures pointed out are correct. Petron refinery is operating at 50% capacity. Unlike RH research, david has certainly dis his homework properly
Thanks David for the hardwork, by the way just want to add 2 additional points :
1) Forex Rate, USD exchange rate against MYR is 4.4265 on 31/3/2017, where as the rate at 30/6/2017 is 4.294 there is about 3% improvement for MYR. This will in a way benefit Petronm, however how big will be the impact is hard to estimate as due to their Forex hedging contracts details is not available.
2) FY2017 Free Cash Flow might be around $100 mils lower due to the budgeted $150 mils Capex for this FY. Previously Petronm spend about $50 mils Capex per FY, hence this FY Free Cash Flow is expected around $210 mils.
Thanks 逍遥子 for your 2 additional points for Petronm. We will be clearer in August for its free cash flow level. I expect they can reap good profit from refinery business in Q2.
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paperplane2016
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Posted by paperplane2016 > 2017-07-07 08:20 | Report Abuse
Good