the last few months....the world really got too many people who believed China will kow tow and easy for Trump....well....reality is slowly setting in.......
Well written. A real investor won't really care about market volatility in short term and mid term. He doesn't even interested in looking at the screen board. It's non of his business to analyze more. so....be mindful... to determine whether you a trader or investor deep in your mind.
by Bear Market > Oct 25, 2018 01:20 PM | Report Abuse
Hihihaha! Yeah, Donald thought China would just surrender! But i guess it's fair since US companies now are rushing to move out from China! =================
Dow Jones companies make a lot of money selling in China...these cannot move out......
manufacturing for exports , these can move out....but no loss to China as Chinese companies can easily fill the vacuum......
The main problem is not the trade war but what mainstream media are telling general public! Most if not all mainstream media portray Donald as protectionist which is gross untrue! The recent revised NAFTA 2.0 is anything but protectionism! Yet as usually, mainstream media keep giving the wrong message! Once EU, and Japan clinch the same deal, basically China will be isolated from the rest of develop economy unless China too agree to the same! You can't lie about free trade when you are the main culprit of such malpractice! ============
so if Trump wants to play law of the jungle....then law of jungle it will be.....no loss to China.
Should add.....Addiction to US$ is the new opium.......China need to quickly get out of the US$ addiction......I believe one day China will be able to say to Americans....sorry, you need yuan to buy stuffs from China.
Answer : So nobody loses then! You said in trade war, everybody lose but then you contridict by saying china not so dependent on US! So you are saying this trade war is meaningless! Well, this is a great divorce between US and China! US will get their cheap fix from elsewhere! China don't have to import 100 billion from US! It's final! But Aseans are winners! So no, there are winners as well! ===========
history of the world full of American mistakes....Trump is the latest but not the only one.
as for Asean ...if world trade shrinks, it cannot be good.....stock markets......stock markets are monkey see monkey do....stock markets are not Gods....stock markets goes by perceptions.
"First, macroeconomics always prevails: if the United States’ domestic investment continues to exceed its savings, it will have to import capital and have a large trade deficit. Worse, because of the tax cuts enacted at the end of last year, the US fiscal deficit is reaching new records – recently projected to exceed $1 trillion by 2020 – which means that the trade deficit almost surely will increase, whatever the outcome of the trade war. The only way that won’t happen is if Trump leads the US into a recession, with incomes declining so much that investment and imports plummet."
If the US is sucked into a recession, will Asean win ?
Good toughts everyone. Let me share my 1 sen view. USA have no good manufacturing base for more than 20 years already. Their manufactured goods is generally below par compared to most european , Japanese n koreas items. China have been exporting lot of goods to USA thats true BUT most of the goods have very low value added to it. If China reduced export to USA the impact will be felt across the world incl USA as probably 90% of the export value is imported. USA is essentially a war mongering nation and a death Merchant. Their arm industry is second to none and every President will creat a war to revitalist USA arm industry coffers. Look into the recorded history... any excuse to start a war is their motto. IP wars ok.Do you know how outdated is the IP laws? 17 years IP protections n renewed based on certain updates etc. Nowdays unlike 50 years ago thing change in a year or two why 17 years? Things like ABS why give patent? most driver last time modulate the brake to achieve ABS effect ..common sense mah and the list goes on. Don't forget history. USA with the European war mongers plundered China about 100 years ago. Is that fair?
USA is good at twisting and turning like a snake so I think they will survive but in about 25 years we will see a new world order. WE deals with chinese companies for more than 10 years and their knowhow change is incredible. For US companies they are more reliable compare with the chinese but inflexible and extremely expensive. The USA is prop up by the artificially high value of its currency
Should add.....Addiction to US$ is the new opium.......China need to quickly get out of the US$ addiction......I believe one day China will be able to say to Americans....sorry, you need yuan to buy stuffs from China.
my million $ question...so when will that day arrive? maybe soon after Make in China 2025 is achieved.....
Roughly 2 more years to go. Its like margin finance, but cheaper and more secure!
My parents are in their own account, where i manage for zero fees, all gain and loss they keep. The money is too big for me to guarantee. Im very careful with theirs, and its somewhat more diversified with low concentration caps.
I dont take money from extended family.
Guranteed is only friends.
===========
CharlesT Jon this year hv to break yr piggy bank to pay yr guaranteed profit of 4.5% to yr parent n uncle auntie ah? 25/10/2018 16:07
Those wth a good investing philosophy and strategy should do well in their investing .. in general.
Better to acquire these investing knowledge early.
Sometimes, these knowledge may not ensure you high returns in your investing but at the least, you can be assured of not losing too much in not knowing what you are doing.
After all, the risk of investing is yourself and Warren Buffett rightly pointed out - risk is not knowing what you are doing.
a lot of success failure is due to birth...where and when born, to whom born......the era of investing......
large success is luck....moderate success is hard work, skill and talent....I already got the skill and talent, now just a bit of hard work.......lol.....
come to think of it....if every analysts, every fund manager believes value investing according to the Bufalo is the way to go.....how can that lead to success?
Jon if i were yr friend i see the greatest risk as you n not the stock mkt
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Posted by moneySIFU > 2018-10-25 12:24 | Report Abuse
Good sharing, Bro Jon.
At the peak, I have 90% of total funds invested in stock market in the whole 2017 until the last theme play of steel stocks in last August~September.
Since then, I cash out all my funds & converted into FD after doing nothing for 6 months & sitting in the securities accounts earning little interest.
Currently, I have less than 10% funds made available for stock market.
My record for this year was loss of 25% & was able to reduce the loss back to 10%, very much thanks to Lay Hong.
For the whole 2018, I have been nervous & in fear about the prospect of the stock market, the stock pick 2018 results proved I am right.
But I trust there are always chances to spot good trading/investing opportunities individually.
Hope I can buy some good stock at very cheap price, slowly & progressively.