I think it could be a slow slow die scenario for perisai....the interest expenses in 2015 will be hefty,thus their loss could be Hugh by then....I wouldn't say they will close shop as they have some big boys behind.....probably a cash call in 2015/2016
Its MD said Perisai will return to the black as its venture into the highly lucrative drilling business is expected to make up for the near-term earnings slack. Following the launch of its first jack-up rig, it hopes to turn the company around as it starts contributing to the group’s revenue from August 2014.
The company’s first jack-up rig – the Perisai Pacific 101 – had cost RM650mil to build. It is now operational off the coast of Terengganu and is expected to contribute RM20mil in revenue during the current year ending Dec 31, 2014 (FY14). The rig is on a three-year contract worth RM503mil awarded by Petronas Carigali Sdn Bhd in May.
The company will focus on the jack-up drilling segment over the next three years from 2014.
It will take delivery of two additional, high-spec jack-up drilling rigs worth a combined RM1.2bil to bring its fleet size to three jack-up rigs by mid-2016. It has started negotiations with potential clients for jack-up Perisai Pacific 102 (PP102), which is scheduled for delivery in April and May 2015. PP103 is expected to join the fleet in June 2016.
With its second rig, Perisai will widen its reach to the Asean market while maintaining its focus in Malaysia.
At present (Aug 2014), there are 15 jack-up drilling rigs operating in Malaysian waters, of which only two are locally-owned.
Perisai is well-positioned to bag more drilling jobs, as there are more than 10 foreign jack-up drilling rig contracts due for expiry in the next one to two years from Aug 2014. A jack-up drilling rig has a life span of between 25 and 30 years.
On the regional front, it has been reported that over 40 jack-up rig contracts in South-East Asia will expire between mid-2013 and 2015.
Perisai is targeting for its drilling segment to contribute about 60% of revenue within three years from Aug 2014.
Perisai’s quick turnaround will be propelled by the commencement of Perisai Pacific 101 and positive contribution from its floating, production, storage and offloading (FPSO) vessel - Perisai Kamelia.
The new assets are the game changer for Perisai, as the company evolve from a charterer to asset operator.
While upbeat about Perisai’s drilling venture, which will ride on Petroliam Nasional Bhd’s (Petronas) asset localisation policy that favours domestically-flagged vessels, however that there are concerns charter rates for such assets could soften given the new rigs that will enter the market within the next 21 to 24 months from Aug 2014.
That means Perisai may need more time to recoup its investments.
Revenue during the quarter plunged 65% to RM10.87mil from RM31.69mil.
Rubicone and E3 are likely to remain unemployed for the rest of 2014.
Look beyond the anticipated soft FY14 performance caused by the downtime of Rubicone and E3, FY15 and FY16 are set to be substantially stronger years as all the assets to be fully deployed,
Moving forward, Perisai aims to narrow its focus on drilling and production, and expects to exercise a put option to sell its derrick pipe-lay barge in two to three years from Aug 2014.
Rapid expansion in the drilling business is putting some strain on the company’s finances. Perisai’s total borrowings currently (Nov 2014) stand at RM1.1bil, taking its gearing level to 0.91 time. Management guided that its medium-term notes incurred an interest cost of RM5mil year-to-date.
With the purchase of all three jack-up drilling rigs, Perisai’s net gearing will be ballooned.
Perisai did not pay out any dividends in 2013 due to its high capex needs.
It has put down a 20% deposit for the construction Perisai 102 and Perisai 103, with the remaining 80% to be satisfied via external borrowings.
It had issued a S$102mil (RM261.43mil) in principal amount of fixed rate notes due 2016.
The group owns and operates a fleet of eight offshore support vessel (OSV), of which eight are chartered out till August 2015.
Its OSV business provides a steady of income as it expand into the drilling segment.
The company expects to add another one OSV fleet by the end of the third quarter 2014
The OSVs are held under the Intan Group, a 51% owned subsidiary of Perisai
It has borrowed heavily (RM1B+) to build jack-up rigs...if the oil prices stay low for the next 1-2 years then the outcome could be very bad for Perisai
Avoid oil and gas counters which are highly leveraged, despite the recent sharp plunge, you will see new low in their prices...worse still, some of them may not survive thru...good luck.
10k also dont have ? no wonder wanna shout tp till 25sen, 10sen to buy, thanks for yr tp comment, last few days i made few k contra on perisai ! i believe will drop but below 40cent sounds abit hard !
What murali has said about the borrowings are true. However, we have to bear in mind that oil and gas counters are now in a bear market - most of the selling are caused by irrational panic. I think perisai can be considered severely oversold now. If and when the company starts to recover from the current downturn, do you all think the shares will still be traded at 50 sen?
To suggest that the price will fall to 20-30 sen is ridiculous. The IPO price back in 2004 was 33 sen, but back then it was just a simple vessel chartering company. It has since come a long way and restructured itself, with the expansion into FPSO projects and jack-up oil rig ventures. Despite all the borrowings and shortcomings, the perisai now is no longer the perisai in 2004.
The borrowings were already known long ago. It's not like we just knew about it. The current downtrend is more due to the idling of their two vessels - Enterprise 3 and Rubicon - which have been the mainstay of their earnings. However, this earnings vacuum is offset by the cash flow from their new FPSO (Kamelia) and jack-up oil rig (Pacific 101) ventures.
It will not collapse because the Kamelia and the Pacific 101 have already secured contracts and are already in operation. That's why the company can still cover their debts despite two of their vessels being left idle.
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Peter123
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Posted by Peter123 > 2014-12-05 10:46 | Report Abuse
today tp 0.545