EPS of 0.65 is best since Qtr 1 2020. Given Qtr 1 2022 no lockdown etc., I has hoping EPS to be 0.8 for the quarter. Hopefully will see improvement once Thailand factory starts operations.
Hopeless Oceancash. Company buyback lol and operators add volume among themselves to create volume. Otherwise, this counter is dead like Topglove, Supermax, Careplus, Hartelega etc. These counters inclusive if Oceancash in 2000 were darling counters. But now are neglecting counters by operators & IBs
Owner collecting at chiput scale.. 10000, 20000 units at a time. Any ikan bilis can do that too. If want to support the prices collect one shot, 100k to 500k unit. Immediate clean out those ikan bilis seller la.....
That day waited and collected at 0.295. Now no need wait and can straight away buy at 0.28. Wonder how low will this go. Hopefully going forward profit will improve based on the following: 1) Ocean Freight Rates have drop significantly. This will positive for sales and profit of hygiene division. 2) Starting 3rd Quarter, renegotiated new increased pricing to current customers in the insulation division. 3) Insulation division new plant in Thailand to begin operations and should contribute positively to sales and profit of the insulation division.
With strong car sales, insulation division will do very well. Next year, Proton and Perodua sales expected to increase even more and set new records. Thailand plant started operations with good sales. 2023 results expected to be the best ever.
Disappointing Q2 2023 results. Compared to Q1 2023: Insulation division recorded lower revenue (about 20%) and lower profit (about 21%). Hygiene reported a slight increase in sales (about 2%) but a much bigger loss (almost 300%).
As for prospects: Directors anticipate performance to maintain at current levels for the rest of 2023.
I think OCNCASH will turn around in 2024. Catalyst includes spunlace sales, Indonesia insulation plant start making new products and Thailand insulation plant ramp up production. Agree with you, can start collecting at current levels. Must have holding power. Not much downside, look for decent returns in 2024.
I anticipate Qtr 3 2023 results to be bad. Being drag down by the hygiene non-woven division and increase in overall cost due to depreciation of the Ringgit with higher labor and electricity cost. 2023 dividend might be lower than 2022.
Dividend only RM0.005, lowest since 2013 (lowest in the last 10 years). Foresee Quarter 4 2023 performance will be about the same. Guess, we have to wait till 2024 to see improvement. Will only add if stock price goes below RM0.30....probably below RM0.27.
Per quarterly Report: The reduction in sales in hygiene division was due to weakening of Japanese Yen against US Dollar had made our export sales price to Japan less competitive.
Ringgit is the second weakest asian currency after JPY… if Japan did not import from Malaysia to take advantage of the currency, meaning Japan is procuring the raw material from their home turf? Doesnt make sense
Using a PE ratio of 20 to project TP. For the stock to go to RM0.40 would need to generate an annual profit of about RM5.2 million or quarterly profit of RM1.3 million. For TP of RM0.60 annual profit would need to be at RM7.8 million or almost RM2 million per quarter.
I don't see this happening in the near future. For the first 9 months of 2023, total profit was RM2.1 million or average per quarter of RM711k. The quarterly profit would need to almost double for it to justify TP of RM0.40 or increase by 275% for TP of RM0.60.
This is only my opinion. Please do own analysis.
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
chesslim
892 posts
Posted by chesslim > 2022-03-30 21:55 | Report Abuse
Year 2000, I sold all Ocncash at Rm 0.91 . Now think to buy back again.