Alrdy q to sell at 9.5sen, to get another 5% profit.....in the meantime, prepare capital ready to subscribe at 59sen as alternate way to reap 5% profit after listing
@murali, I tend to think the same as you that upon listing there will be "downward selling pressure"; but more importantly if the OR does remain weak at 9 sens and below, then holding it will mean being "forced" to cough up another 59 sens per share to subscribe for the new shares which are likely to face "downward selling pressure upon listing" - on balance, it may be better to cash out now since it is now more than obvious that even the big boys are not "gobbling" it up (if it so good, I can't see why not)
If OR continue weakness....chance to entitle oversubscribe portion to entitle 'free' right cost will be much higher...so that can further lower down cost holding as oversubscribe portion only need to pay 59sen :D)
babu @firehawk, I kana punished before doing what you said "sell mother share, buy OR, enjoy no risk arbitrage gain " ..... tak jadi in the end !
few cents discount not good enough for arbitraging plays, as selling pressure will be there upon listing of new shares. However, mother may moves a bit during this period.
Long term wise, the current level is a good entry, though it may go down a little bit in Aug then
I look for 50% gain on my investment by End 2017. Kk123 u are welcomed to laugh at me if it doesnt happen then. I promised I will not delete this (not as what u did in Johotin thread).
Hopefully you are right Murali, I was expecting the mother share to go up today so as to force the OR price up and make those bought pay another 59sen as a force take up kinda thing, but looks like it is not going to happen or do we have to wait for the last min surge? we'll have to see. But hopefully the mother share will go up tomorrow to cushion the extra shares in the market later next month.
Yeap. 2 FDs to book a seat first, somemore can go to AGM to screw CEO n CFO after collecting door gifts, lunch and tapao fried meehun n curry chicken with uncles n aunties
Whether can match sell order at 9.5 for 5% profit or not, depend on market force......but portfolio alrdy prepare to full subscribe right share at 59sen + oversubscribe to entitle 'free' right cost....if can get it, then right only wil cost 59sen, further lowering down cost further.....if MBSB can still stand above 70sen by time listing, portfolio still able to enjoy arbitrary gain of 4sen/share or about 6% gain in less a month
on the first day of OR listing, when i saw the OR price, i sold 2/3 of my holding@.755 (usually OR will be traded lower on 2nd. and 3rd. day) and later i bot OR @0.09 .....
i still keep 1/3 holding to coup with any unexpected in the period before new shares listing ..... must hv a little skill doing this :-)
after OR cease trading mother price will drop, big holders can get back plenty of shares later at cost of only 0.59, so they will sell 1st at higher price now.
i even thinking sell OR at the first day ... if i did so, and i buy back later i could have earned more ... but i didn't go to that extreme, just in case, unexpected happens ....
0.83 shall be yr average cost of holding 1+1 mbsb (mother + rights).as mother is 0.72 now,yr actual cost of OR is infact 0.35 (1.07-0.72).simple maths lah
Assuming u bought mbsb at 1.07 b4 ex date,at current OR price of 0.10 u are suffering paper loss of 0.25.if u subscribe the rights at 0.59 u will only break even when Mbsb reach 0.83.
Even if you had bought the rights for 59c, there's the uncertainty that the price may not be what you are able to sell when mass selling comes in with those extra shares float in the market. Holding the mother shares in this case gives you the flexibility to sell as and when the price is moving up (or down, to cut lost). However we all know that MBSB at the current valuation is definitely a good stock to buy provided if you are able to stay long. my 2 cents...
That is main reason why bought OR at cost 9-9.5sen have upper hand and big cushion if compared to those hold cost at OR at 35 sen before ex- right.
Today is last day of trading, but will still q to sell at 9.5 sen - 10 sen to reap fast 5% profit, but at the same time, also free up capital alrdy to prepare for subcription at 59 sen and opt as much as possible for excess application for chance to entitle ' free right' cost.
Buying OR now at 0.09 (+0.59=RM0.68) enjoys a discount of 0.04 as compare to mother of RM0.72. Simple maths.
However, yr fund will be stucked till 26 July (the listing date of the rights issues) and u will miss the chance if they push mother up during this period.
Anyway, this only concerns chicken rice earner like Hng33 and myself.
As for long term investor who believe MBSB will not go Holland with our EPF money, 0.68 n 0.72 may not matter that much.
hahaha, i don mind at all if i can get 5% profit in less a month, as i have no concern to invest big capital to subscribe right share + oversubscribe.
portfolio more than willing to tight most of the capital here as downside limited due to eventual cost 68sen is all time low, if can get excess right at free cost, buffer even higher....
....Imaging if your almost whole capital can roll over by increase 5% in less a month...:D)
whether it is buying OR or mother shares of MBSB, I think both have his own reasoning, it is good to see debate and reasoning as this are information that helps each individuals to decide whether to buy and what to buy. Each and every investors have their investing principals and target and we therefore have different views, but one thing that we are united as one is making profit in trade. Make more money and cheers.
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
hng33
20,530 posts
Posted by hng33 > 2016-06-30 11:06 | Report Abuse
Bought more OR at 9sen