Based on the above, higher net interest income RM36.2 million against RM29.5million reflects 20% increase in earning. Higher net brokerage income RM47.3million against rm44.2million reflects 7% increase in earning. Bonus provision has been reduced 50% and personnel expenses has declined 3% reflects prudent cost control measures. Not to mention increased deferred taxation in 2011 as well.
Its EPS (earning per share) has improved from rm1.21 to rm1.23 in 2011. Its share price at 79cents to 80cents has converged at 2010 end of year highest, 2011 end of year (middle between 90cents and 66cents during crash), and now 2012 end of March after the release of financial report.
Highest EPS was 10cents pershare in 2007 reflected in its share price surge to rm1.20 against the net asset per share of rm1.04-rm1.13.In 2007 March its EPS was 2.72cents, NAV was rm1.04,rm21.2million net profit (2006 whole year). So bull market surged in 2007-2008. In Sept 2008 it showed net loss of rm4.1million with share price of rm0.90-rm1.00, with NAV of rm1.11. So it gives you an idea how ECM grows over the year, how it is traded against its NAV, how share price surge if its EPS increases to 8cents to 10 cents. ITs dividend payout has always been very high, this time round it is 60%.
So brothers, KLCI just breached 1600 today, first time ever in the history of FBMKLCI index, we are looking forward for a bull market run whole year through 2013 as Europe is engineering its debt problems and China is engineering its soft landing. My opinion about ECM is it should be traded as forward PE for 2012, 2013, and all depends on market condition from now on. And to those of us who want to play ECM based on KEnanga takeover, just keep ECM and you will be rewarded. No need to worry about day to day fluctuation of ECM share price. Now the first quarter of 2012 is over. Market trading volume was high, all indices went up substantially, so we should expect ECM earning per share will increase tremendously from last quarter (further more from sale of security), resulting in further increase in net asset per share (the takeover price determination) for current quarter.
Buy ECM and keep, if it falls below 79 cents due to panic selling, good buy too. Play also now for newest corporate development to expect in upcoming AGM, play for the dividend 2.4 cents payout, play also for Kenanga merging plan. As long as market remains good, ECM is a good long term investment. No doubt about that. For some of you who cannot wait, and are afraid to hold ECM for whatever reason, before you decide to trade, you can watch my analysis of ECM here as for your reference. Happy trading and good luck brothers!
Good news brothers.I just read Maybank Investment research on market outlook on 2Q2012,it says there should be more colours for RHB-OSK,RHB-Bank Mestika,and ECM-Kenanga mergers in 2Q2012.Haha.
Don't know what's keeping them brother jeffho ....how accurate is you friend's information as there are still the final & minor details to trash out....perhaps may take up to another few months or maybe shorter.
Let's keep our fingers crossed & hope for the best for all.
Hope the ECM deal will be done soon!! An astrologer said that 23 rd May 2012 will not be good day for KLCI during MBB seminar in Melaka.
Wondering whether to clear all my shares, or to sit it out. Malton, Coastal, Benalec, YTL Power, Sozo all doing badly, even BIMB-cc not moving!! lost quite a bit on call warrants in GenM.
How come I choose mostly mediocre stocks, even tho it is based on Tech and FA analysis?
Bro Chong, from your experience, which Blogs, or investment advisers gives accurate and reliable share recommendations ? I - capital, Martin, (traders truth revealed )? I dont mind paying for good advice. Thanks.
Brother investor77 , frankly speaking you can only look at many blogs & compare them altogether. Just take about 10 to 20% truth only as different blogs may may motives of their own.....always trust yourself & no others no matter how juicy are the reports. Do look into the finer details of the counters financial reports & that will give you roughly an idea as to what you are going to buy....always try to invest in solid fundamental counters which when it goes down can also climb too if the market gets better & you can have your dividend in the meantime while you wait......just like REITS you collect your dividend & wait albeit there is only a small rise in price with the passing days.
Do try to look at counters that are going for expansion as earnings will increase too & automatically the share price follows too. Sometimes political connections do pay a part in determining the price of certain counters.
Many factors have to look into & there's no one hard rigid factor that determines the price of the counters.
Brother investor77 , I look here , there & everywhere for any new developments & not just 1 or 2 blogs, hee, hee, hee
Brother jeffho, if you believed that ECM is on the takeover, you just buy & hold as sometimes it may take a longer time than you expected...there's always the finer details or points to hammered out even though most of the details of the agreement had been settled. You just have to wait & really no one can tell you. The parties involved in the takeover cannot reveal anything otherwise they will be haul up by the SC.
Talk about remisers [sorry remisers, my apologies], I don't really believe them as some of them wants business & may ask you to buy this & that....one thing they will always sms you to "buy on weakiness", hee, hee,hee...the best is always to do your own homework....find out here & there & you make your own final decision.
Mr Chong, Thanks for the lengthy reply. I deeply appreciate it. From what I gather maybe I- capital will give a detailed analysis based on Value Investing.
I guess you must spend lots of time reading lots of info. It is true that good shares when it comes down will recover. I am thinking of RCE, good but slow!!
you should start a blog of your own where people can view your thoughts.!! Thanks once again.
Brother investor77 , a small paper loss is nothing compare to the coming takeover by Kenanga. My knowledge is that Kenanga will pay cash 60 cents & Kenanga shares making a total value of about $1.10
You may ask me where is Kenanga going to get the money to pay 60 cents for each of ECM shares. It's very easy & in fact Kenanga is getting ECM without coming a single cents but by giving out it's new shares ij exchange for ECM.
Well the 60 cents come this way. As it is both ECM & Kenanga had brokers license & both had to pay a deposit of about $500 million. So when Kenanga take over ECM, it uses ONLY 1 license & surrender the ECM license to get back the $500 million deposit & this will be distributed among the ECM shareholders at roughly 60 cents per share.
Yes, brother jtpc2006 , I don't lie to you all...told you all to hold & wait & now your patience will be rewarded. Congrats to all who took my cue to buy.
However it will take a little more time to announced it officially...so be a little patient more please. Price today will definitely go up & I wonder what's the opening price.
My friends, buy now & please don't wait as the Star paper said it had been finalized & in a few days time it will be officially announced but before that both Kenanga & ECM will be suspended to official announced it & by that time it will shoot...so why wait?...use your logic please.
If the Star report is true, then at RM900mil purchase price, works out to approx RM1.08 per share. Excellent indeed.. Majority shareholders make millions, I'll be happy with 1% of that. :)
Yes, brother tsejuie , shouldn't be long now & we all just to have a little more patience to enjoy the fruits of our investment....good luck to all...thank you all.
First the suspension, then the announcement, then the detailed news in the Edge etc etc. Then analysts comments ! Then there will be plenty people who will say aiyah, such nice penny shares to get earlier but also miss it. Nevertheless not too late at this level. It will easily break RM1.00 soon and now at 83 sen, there is still 20 % margin to make within the short term.
If I talk like that means I have bought more than enough already.
Some expert can have a say on this just announced..
Type : Announcement Subject :
OTHERS
Description :
DISSOLUTION OF SUBSIDIARY OF ECM LIBRA FINANCIAL GROUP BERHAD
Announcement Details/Table Section :
Further to the announcement of ECM Libra Financial Group Berhad ("ECMLFG") dated 13 January 2012 in connection with the member's voluntary winding-up of its dormant wholly-owned subsidiary, ECM Libra Securities Nominees Sdn Bhd ("ECMLN"), ECMLFG wishes to inform that the Liquidator of ECMLN had convened the Final Meeting on 10 May 2012 to conclude the member's voluntary winding-up of ECMLN.
A Return by Liquidator Relating to Final Meeting of ECMLN has been lodged on 11 May 2012 with the Companies Commission of Malaysia and the Official Receiver, and on the expiration of 3 months from 11 May 2012, ECMLN will be dissolved.
Brother tansrihew , we all here who had invested in ECM around February when price was hovering around 78+ cents will definitely make more but the new investors will make equally good returns of their investment too when the takeover begins soon....maybe in a week or so or maybe even a month, we should expect an important announcement soon & then a suspension of the 2 related counters.
Expect a cash payment of 60 cents per ECM shares plus Kenanga shares too making a total of around $1.10 or even a little more. No one can reveal the full details yet as the SC will come hard on them, so we just have to wait & I do hope the waiting will be soon in a couple of days, he, hee, hee
Yes brother tansrihew , together we all will huat huat on this counter.
Cheers brother, take care too & enjoy your weekend too.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
spinninglotus
5,417 posts
Posted by spinninglotus > 2012-04-02 23:36 | Report Abuse
Based on the above, higher net interest income RM36.2 million against RM29.5million reflects 20% increase in earning. Higher net brokerage income RM47.3million against rm44.2million reflects 7% increase in earning. Bonus provision has been reduced 50% and personnel expenses has declined 3% reflects prudent cost control measures. Not to mention increased deferred taxation in 2011 as well.