Initially, Petron was lagging behind HY and now Petron leading HY, hopefully eventually both will rise on the same par and maybe that's the peak before it waterfall!
Just as oil producers and consumers have the ability to hedge their exposure to volatile petroleum prices, refiners have the ability to hedge their exposure as well. In fact, one could argue that refiners face an even greater need to hedge than producers and consumers as their profit margins are based on the price of not one commodity, but at least two and often several: the price of their input (crude oil) as well as their outputs (bunker fuel, heating oil, gasoline, diesel fuel, gasoil, jet fuel, etc.). In order to mitigate their exposure to crack spread price volatility, many refiners hedge the crack spread by purchasing crude oil futures or swaps and simultaneously selling refined products futures or swaps as the results allows the refiner to lock-in or fix the refining margin.
The refiner is buying November crude oil and selling December ULSD as refiners generally purchase crude oil for processing in a given month, and subsequently refine and sell the refined products during the following month.
Not all derivative employed by these companies are for hedging purpose loh!
Sometime use it for speculation mah!
For msia refinery.....u no need bcos govt already have a formula for your products price...u no need to really hedge mah!....Bcos govt formula is a natural hedge mah!
Remember during Shell & Esso time....none of them use derivative mah!
They do use derivative bcos....this may run the risk of gambling...if they over do it loh!
i thought will *at least* turn around Q1 cuz Russia-Ukraine started fighting each other end of february so march's crack spread should do well. but Q1 was terrible sh it. worse than petron
I reckon Petron’s strong show today demonstrated the power of retail investors . KYY who made millions in HY in 2017/18 must remember that was the many retail investors who made it possible for him. Without the trust , conviction and support from retail investors , he can forget about the past glory day . So, be humble and credible at all time.
Petron do not have any refinery margin derivatives, they only hedge against currency exchange and commodity, and the contract size is small, they should enjoy the full benefit of increase crack spread. While HY on the other hand, has done quote alot of hedging, it will capped their profit, its good when crack spread is low, but at the current environment, i see Petron profit will outperform HY.
KYY is here since yesterday and today to push up the price. You guys think it is any other retailers can have such fund to push up so much? He will write a great report on petronm next week. So enjoy ya..your father is back!
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Jerichomy
4,346 posts
Posted by Jerichomy > 2022-06-03 11:13 |
Post removed.Why?