The sharks’s action has successfully induced forced selling or margin call which further put downward pressure on stock price . This exactly meeting the sharks’ objective.
Johnzhang - i think and mainly HOPE that your point is valid - dump the shares to force margin players without deep pockets to sell, further aggravating the downward pressure so that the profiteers may pick the shares up for a song.
Above PETDAG Vs PETRONM. What is PETDAG and PETRONM Net profit for last year? and latest Quarter? Why Petronm market cap only RM 1,693 million compare to PETDAG of RM 20,962million?
Is the current sell down on Petronm an opportunity to buy/topup?
@sheldom, look at the price swing today . It tell us something.
Posted by sheldon > 4 hours ago | Report Abuse
Johnzhang - i think and mainly HOPE that your point is valid - dump the shares to force margin players without deep pockets to sell, further aggravating the downward pressure so that the profiteers may pick the shares up for a song.
The IB is quite generous here! Those who never participate and now will give 2nd chance to participate. This is the longest wick ever! I just feel like riding on a glove stock! Shark always scare everyone with at least 15% drop then up 30%. haha! Glove stock is a good rally and experience!
The retail price of RON97 petrol will be higher by 37 sen at RM4.70 per litre. 1 barrel equal to 159 liter. Hence RON 97 is RM (4.70 x 159)= 747.30/ barrel Usd to MYR 4.40 Hence 1 barrel of RON97 is USD(747.30/4.40) USD 169.8 / barrel.
Crude brent oil USD 112.5/ barrel. Different RON 97 and Crude Brent oil is USD 57.3/ barrel.
My friend who reminded me of the stock's attractiveness @ 4.50-4.60 in Mar(& caused me to quadruple my stake at the time) already bought 4,000 but was too hasty to exit @ 6.04 before the climatic explosion up. Although he earned $6k but I think he's privately fuming that the stock is still way above his exit point lol
PetronM increase crude storage capacity by ADDITIONAL 500,000 barrel in Q3 2021 is TIMELY, as its stockholding gain will be close and comparable to Hengyuan already
PetronM is third largest retail petrol station, just short close to Shell. It have being most aggressive expansion as recent Malaysia increase petrol station are mostly monopoly by PetronM.
Petrol station offer PetronM steady income as retail selling petrol profit margin is highly protected by gov subsidy
Even as the price of crude oil continues to rise—raising the input costs for refiners—refined products prices have risen more, increasing the spread and beefing up the bottom line for refiners.
The crack spread is the difference between the price of crude oil and the price of refined products, which include gasoline, distillates, diesel, and jet fuel
Mr Sslee have quota example how gross refinery profit margin can be calaculated by taking one of the refiner product, gasoline as example as show below. Remark: Jet fuel profit margin is higher than gasoline The retail price of RON97 petrol will be higher by 37 sen at RM4.70 per litre. 1 barrel equal to 159 liter. Hence RON 97 is RM (4.70 x 159)= 747.30/ barrel Usd to MYR 4.40 Hence 1 barrel of RON97 is USD(747.30/4.40) USD 169.8 / barrel.
Crude brent oil USD 112.5/ barrel. Different RON 97 and Crude Brent oil is USD 57.3/ barrel.
These USD 57.3/barrel is gross profit margin, if take into operation cost, the profit margin will be USD 30/barrel = current crack spread
Here is latest petrol price for Malaysia, it Clearly show even crude oil have stabilize around USD110, but, a significant hike in petrol price is happening now, wider the profit margin for refiner
Very hard to explain the recent unusual price drop and wild swing within a day. Total shorts for Petron on 25/5 was only 26,200 share only with RSS, IDSS,PSSand PDT included. Short selling can not explain it. It was a coordinated attacks to bring price down, caused panic to traders and weak holders , diminishing buying interest, caused margin calls and forced selling and that spiraling the price down . The sharks will have no more room to manipulate when margin trades are squared off and retailers are not giving in. I think that day is near the corner.
Just hold as much as I can & hope to collect as much of the 20c dividend that I can...not an easy thing to resist panicking & running with markets all around so sickly
Petron capacity is half of Heng Yuan. So if profit is 106 mil for Q1, maybe Heng Yuan profit will be double. Seems due to Inventory Gain, plus high Gross Refinery Margin, maybe HYuan profit can touch around 300 mil !! with high crack spread of US 30, profit wil be enormous for capacity of 150,000 barrels/ day.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Johnzhang
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Posted by Johnzhang > 2022-05-25 11:16 | Report Abuse
The sharks’s action has successfully induced forced selling or margin call which further put downward pressure on stock price . This exactly meeting the sharks’ objective.