Don’t worry. Covid is like Flu. Covid and Flu will be around forever. You see Flu never went away after how many thousands years??? The Genie is out of the bag. Cannot stop that Genie already. Too late.
Yes, Super High Inflation in US Mkt talk maybe 100 pts rate hike July. Asian banks may have more rate hikes Stk mkts may have more challenges. GB may retreat much more. If you want to buy GB, wait. Not even close to bottom yet. When US sneeze, we catch COLD. Who knows how far down mkt may go
stuck in middle now….I think GB share price will be 4.00-5.00 in coming 6 months….will not collect more nor sell in this range in view of normalization of int rate
US leads world economics & finance US facing economic & financial crisis Affects-influences economics-finance Central banks>banks>stk mkts affected Retailers affected if stk mkt falls.
Gaming - Visitors Are Back, and Yields Are Attractive; O/W Date: 2022-07-14 Firm: RHB-OSK Stock: GENTING Price Target: 6.37 Price Call: BUY Last Price: 4.50 Upside/Downside: +1.87 (41.56%) OVERWEIGHT.
At Resorts World Genting (RWG), tourists and gamblers are back, which should fuel a meaningful sector earnings recovery in the coming quarters. While we think that gaming and non-gaming revenues, and number forecast operators’ (NFO) ticket sales should continue recovering towards pre-pandemic levels, we highlight that inflation may dampen consumers’ discretionary spending. Nevertheless, the casinos’ undemanding valuations of 6-8x FY23F EV/EBITDA and NFOs’ attractive yields of c.7% provide a defensive proposition amidst market uncertainty.
The return of tourists and gamblers. From our recent ground checks at RWG on a Wednesday afternoon, we found that hotel rooms are fully booked for the weekends. We were also pleasantly surprised by the large casino crowd on a Wednesday afternoon. As Malaysia’s and Singapore’s borders have reopened, we think that RWG and Resorts World Sentosa (RWS) are likely ramping up efforts to attract tourists from the region.
The casinos are beneficiaries of a weakening MYR, in our view. YTD, the USD has strengthened by c.6% against the MYR. With Genting Malaysia (GENM) typically earning 8-16% of its adjusted EBITDA from the US division (1Q22: 19%), and Genting (GENT) typically earning 6-10% of its adjusted EBITDA from the US (trailing 12-month average: 31%, 1Q22: 21%), the strengthening USD/MYR should translate into higher MYR earnings. As GENT's management is still ramping up the business at Resorts World Las Vegas (RWLV), its EBITDA contribution from the US should rise accordingly. A weaker MYR may also make Malaysia a more affordable tourist destination for foreign tourists, but we note that, historically, more than 80% of RWG's visitors are domestic tourists.
Inflation casts a shadow. May's inflation in most of GENT and GENM's operating markets – Malaysia (2.8%), the US (8.6%), the UK (9.1%), Singapore (5.6%) – have been higher than expected. Given the discretionary nature of casino and leisure spending, we think that potentially persistent and high inflation rates and, as such, weakened consumer spending power, could adversely impact GENM's gaming and non-gaming revenues, as well as GENT's leisure and hospitality businesses.
NFOs – slow recovery, but attractive yields. We gathered that ticket sales in 2Q22 were still at 70-80% of pre-pandemic levels – a sign of punters’ continued weakened financial conditions and reliance on illegal operators. While we think that inflation may drag on ticket sales, we highlight that Magnum offers a dividend yield of 6.7%, and Sports Toto (SPTOTO) offers 7.2%, which we think are attractive amidst market uncertainty.
Top Pick: GENT. GENT’s leisure and hospitality businesses should continue to recover with the on-going resumption in tourism activity. Its plantations and oil & gas units stand to benefit from elevated ASPs stemming from high commodity prices. Its 6.3x FY23F EV/EBITDA is attractive vs the regional peer average of 12x, and any additional value accretion from GENT’s 20%-owned TauRx Pharmaceuticals is a plus point. Among the NFOs, we prefer SPTOTO. Apart from its continued ticket sales recovery, we also like the growth exposure from its other segments, such as its UK motor dealership and hotel & gaming businesses in Berjaya Philippines. Key risks to the sector include a fluctuation in luck factor, changes in government policies, and a prolonged pandemic.
if no speak thai, siapa dare do biz in thailand with current govt structure? Nanti lesen kena tarik balik, all investments down the drain. That’s why GB chose to do biz in SG, in US & UK…. outside Msia
it proved what i mentioned is right .... genting lose big in las vegas.
KUALA LUMPUR (Feb 24): Genting Bhd slipped into the red in the fourth quarter ended Dec 31, 2021 (4QFY21), posting a net loss of RM129.81 million — its fourth straight quarterly loss — compared to a net profit of RM24.98 million a year ago, on higher depreciation and net finance costs arising mainly from Resorts World Las Vegas’ commencement of operations.
The group's quarterly performance was also dragged down by the higher share of losses in joint ventures and associates, mainly due to a share of loss from the Meizhou Wan power plant in China as a result of higher coal costs despite better generation.
Bloomberg is reporting that MGM recently approached the Lim family to gauge interest in a deal and although no such agreement was reached, MGM “could resume its pursuit of the company.” The report suggests that other potential suitors are also studying Genting Singapore, which has traditionally been Genting Group’s most profitable entity since RWS – one of only two integrated resorts in Singapore alongside Marina Bay Sands – opened in 2010.
It was also one of the group’s few businesses to remain profitable through much of the COVID-19 pandemic, having most recently reported a 13% year-on-year increase in revenues to SG$315 million (US$225 million) and 17% increase in net profit to SG$40 million (US$29 million) in 1Q22.
Genting Singapore’s Malaysian-listed parent, Genting Berhad, owns 53% of the business.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
RWG
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Posted by RWG > 2022-07-13 10:30 | Report Abuse
looks bear army become weak day by day, time bull army to collect at cheap price