very obvious someone who got a very Big fist is in controlled. Unless you got a bigger fist and itchy to have a fight with Mike Tyson, it is better to watch the show with a good cup of coffee
This is Not TopGlove got 8 billion shares.----BAT got only 140mil freefloat after deducting Mother 50%. Even that i doubt, Volume will surge more than 5 mil if price hit RM2 gain.
Long term holders no worries. Actually slow and steady is better and not surge like crazy which may attract those gambler investors. We don't want BAT to be speculative counter. Leave BAT for serious long term investors.
Bat is absolutely melupulated ,its working very hard to fenced off any new comers from playing contra,collect it whenever they push down hard if you have enough funds,
KUALA LUMPUR: British American Tobacco (Malaysia) Bhd said its sales in the third quarter grew at a faster pace than the industry, boosted by demand for newly introduced cheaper brand KYO.
"Overall, BAT Malaysia recorded a growth in Q3FY2020 outperforming the legal domestic industry with a growth of 14% compared with Q2FY2020 mainly due to Dunhill and the introduction of KYO," it said in a filing with Bursa Malaysia today.
BAT Malaysia's market share stood at 52.5%, a 1 percentage point increase compared with the preceding quarter, driven by KYO and reinforced by Dunhill’s consistent leadership within the premium segment.
Sales jumped to RM627.5mil in the three-month ended Sept 30 from RM584mil a year ago.
Net profit was RM63.7mil, or 22.3 sen a shares, down from RM83.1mil (29.1 sen share) previously.
AFTER a long wait, Budget 2021 is one that the tobacco industry should be pleased with. It appears that the government is getting serious on cracking down on the smuggling of high-duty goods, in particular illegal cigarettes.
At the tabling of the budget, the finance minister announced that the Multi-Agency Task Force will be strengthened with the participation of the Malaysian Anti-Corruption Commission and the National Anti-Financial Crime Centre. He also outlined several measures that would help to reduce the number of illegal cigarettes in the country.
These include a freeze on the issuance of new import licences for cigarettes, tightening the renewal of import licences for cigarettes, limiting transshipment of cigarettes to dedicated ports, imposition of tax on the import of cigarettes with drawback facilities for re-export, disallowing transshipment of cigarettes and re-export of cigarettes by small boats, and making cigarettes and tobacco products taxable goods at all duty-free islands and any free trade zones that have been permitted retail sales of duty-free cigarettes.
British American Tobacco (M) Bhd (BAT) managing director Jonathan Reed says he is thankful to the government for acknowledging the severity of the tobacco black market and for taking bold steps towards addressing this issue. “High taxes on legitimate cigarettes have created a huge demand for cheap, illegal cigarettes. The tobacco black market not only causes the loss of billions of ringgit in uncollected tax, it also funds crime, fuels corruption and drives up the youth smoking rate.”
Notably, Malaysia ranks No 1 in the world for illegal cigarettes, which make up 65% of the total market. While illegal cigarettes have increased over the years, excise duty collection for tobacco products has declined from RM3.42 billion in 2014 to RM2.91 billion in 2018.
Japan Tobacco International Bhd managing director Cormac O’ Rourke comments that the company is pleased with the announcement that cigarette transshipment activities will be limited to certain ports only. “We have called for a ban on transshipment of tobacco products time and again as this loophole has been exploited for years. At a time when the country is grappling with high levels of illegal trading, strong and consistent implementation and effective enforcement is key. These are necessary measures to address a key smuggling channel for contraband cigarettes, which has resulted in massive losses for the country over the years,” he says.
However, the biggest win for the industry, some say, is the legalisation of electronic and non-electronic cigarettes, including vape. Beginning Jan 1, 2021, the government will impose an excise duty of 10% on all types of electronic and non-electronic cigarettes, including vape, while excise duty of 40 sen per milliliter will be imposed on the liquid used in electronic cigarettes.
“The legalisation of electronic and non-electronic cigarettes, including vape, is a win for BAT. It will now be able to enter the vape market,” says CGS-CIMB Research analyst Kamarul Anwar, who covers BAT.
Interestingly, neither company commented on the legalisation of the e-cigarette and vape market. Nevertheless, O’ Rourke points out that what is critical now is for the government to speed up proper enforcement laws and the implementation of various key anti-illicit tobacco measures to better address the situation.
Meanwhile, Reed believes that measures to enhance enforcement must be accompanied by excise reforms to really make an impact on the tobacco black market. “The price gap between legal and illegal products is currently far too wide, creating a situation that enforcement alone cannot address. Ultimately, we believe Malaysian consumers want to do the right thing. If given a viable opportunity to choose a legal alternative at a reasonable price, most would prefer not to put money in the hands of criminals,” he says.
BAT's Value For Money (VFM) Cigarette Brand KYO existing selling price per Pack for 20 sticks is RM12.00. Based on YB Datuk Ahmad Maslan proposal in Parliament yesterday, Government is planning to roll out RM8. 00 per 20's Pack by reduce tax 20 cents tax per stick (20 sticks X 20 cts = RM4.00 tax reduction) for KYO Brand Cigarette or other similar price category cigarettes brand.
Eventually, BAT's KYO will be used by Government to combat illicit Black Market cigarettes and fixed the selling price at RM8.00 per pack for Two Years trial period. For year 2020, illicit Black Market cigarettes controlled two-third or 65% of Total Available Market Share in Malaysia. Malaysia is ranked world number 1 in illicit Black Market cigarettes with 12.5 Billion sticks cigarettes without paying tax( Government impose 40 cents per sticks or RM5Billion tax revenue loss).
Just imagine the current scenario Government is facing now: 1) Loss in Cigarettes Tax Revenue of RM5 Billion or 2) 65% Market Share or Equivalent to 12.5 Billion Cigarette Sticks Per Year 3) Equivalent of 625 million Packs of 20 Sticks in Cigarettes. 4) 625 million Packs at RM8 per pack is equivalent to RM5 Billion new market opportunities for Registered n Legal Cigarettes Companies in Malaysia.
British American Tobacco (BAT 4162) controls more than 50% cigarettes market shares in Malaysia is likely to be Main Beneficiary if Government is implementing RM8 Per Pack Policy as suggested by YB Datuk Ahmad Maslan in Parliament yesterday.
Based on low case scenario at 50% market share, the RM8 policy will boost additional revenue of RM2.5Billion (312.5 million Packs for KYO) for BAT or 100% revenue increase based on current quarterly revenue of RM650mil. Based on 11% net profit margin, BAT has potential to double the PAT to RM500mil or approximately RM1.80 per share.
With current share price of RM14.26 which is consider very low (or P/E 8 times if RM8 policy being kick off by 2021) and highest Dividend Yield (minimum 20 cents per quarter or 80 cents per year) stock in Bursa Malaysia, BAT has great potential to be one of the Best Performing Stock in 2021. BAT's historical high was RM70 per share and because of erosion of market shares and shut down manufacturing plant in Malaysia. With increase market share of conventional cigarettes and launching of Vuse E-Cigaretted soon, we may see returning of BAT to restart their manufacturing operations here in Malaysia soon.
Don't miss the golden opportunity, it might limit up due to limited free float of shares in market.
for over 1 week, before Open, price at 14.40 and below there No sellers (8:30Am) After opening Operator begins to push below 14.40 to max 14.20 to collect----I sense below 14.20 might attract too many vultures
(Reuters) -A COVID-19 vaccine being developed by British American Tobacco from tobacco leaves has been approved for human trials by the U.S. health regulator, the maker of Dunhill and Lucky Strike cigarettes said on Wednesday.
The enrolment for the study is expected to start shortly, with results likely by mid-2021, the company said.
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Simon_khoo
705 posts
Posted by Simon_khoo > 2020-12-16 10:23 | Report Abuse
Good signs