Coming quarters should be profitable, I believe Election lah.... Costs shot up for some reasons, perhaps.
The company has 70,000 hectare oil palm plantation with most of it at the prime mature years, now average 8-9 years... Yields would be picking up for the next 10 prime years ahead.. (the formula 7+10+7...for oil palm..)
Comparing Jtiasa with IJM PLANTATION which is a pure oil palm business with about 60, 000+ hectares (about 25,000 hectare in Sabah and another 35,000 hectare in Kalimantan) ...it has 6 palm oil mills with total processing capacity of 350mt of FFB per hour...
IJM plantation total number of shares about 880,000, 000 and share price 2.30, market cap of RM2. 02billion. It has net borrowings of RM523 million.
Jtiasa, 977, 000, 000 shares now @0.765, Total oil palm plantation 70,000 hectare and 4 palm oil Mills total annual processing capacity of 1.7+ million metric tons of FFB
Market Cap now for Jtiasa is about rm750M and net debt (borrowings minus cash) of rm953 millions..
Market Cap + net debt =RM 1.703B
Assume all other assets are free to the shareholders, the cost per hectare of the oil palm plantation is rm1703 million/70,000 i. e. RM24, 330 per hectare or RM 9, 846 per acre..
It is cheap... isn't it?
The current price has fallen to that in August 2009, and Jtiasa has no oil palm plantation then as it just started planting... hehe
CONDENSED STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL POSITION Note UNAUDITED AUDITED AS AT AS AT 31/03/2018 30/06/2017 RM'000 RM'000 ASSETS Non-current Assets Property, plant and equipment 1,111,919 1,171,915 Biological assets 1,668,014 1,639,812 Land use rights 36 40 Other intangible assets 783 610 Investment securities 49,100 68,700 Deferred tax assets 30,259 22,492 2,860,111 2,903,569 Current Assets Inventories 1 107,131 139,649 Trade and other receivables 2 41,364 59,584 Other current assets 10,004 14,663 Income tax receivable 22,864 - Derivative assets - 252 Cash and bank balances 122,355 65,234 303,718 279,382 TOTAL ASSETS 3,163,829 3,182,951 EQUITY AND LIABILITIES Current Liabilities Interest bearing loans and borrowings 4 435,412 487,479 Trade and other payables 3 119,124 136,195 Income tax payable 11,649 4,968 Derivative liabilities - 304 566,185 628,946 EQUITY AND LIABILITIES Non-current Liabilities Interest bearing loans and borrowings 5 640,196 589,358 Deferred tax liabilities 156,618 146,534 796,814 735,892 Total Liabilities 1,362,999 1,364,838 Net assets 1,800,830 1,818,113 Equity Attributable to owners of the parent Share capital 977,402 977,402 Treasury shares (13,687) (13,687) Reserves 824,553 843,088 1,788,268 1,806,803 Non-controlling interests 12,562 11,310 Total Equity 1,800,830 1,818,113 TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES 3,163,829 3,182,951 Net assets per share attributable to equity holders (RM) 1.85 1.87 Number of ordinary shares net of treasury shares 967,991 967,991
Going to cut loss even loss 50% if tomorrow open price at 0.6, lucky thing is didn't hold too much of this company share but still bleeding.. this stock game over !! very very little dividend.. will dump crazy tomorrow by shareholders... didn't see any good news so far.. only bad news.. so it is very hard to rebound back to RM 1 ..
i really didn't see any hope for this counter so far... didn't expect this quarter is making huge loss even palm oil price is increased.. price should be downtrend again until find it support maybe RM 0.3 - RM0.4 ?.. unless big shark goreng it.. like other making loss company.. also can goreng up to sky.. but i didn't see shark is interested with this company..
When it comes to investing, confirmation bias can cause us to act without considering all available information. For example, if you own a mutual fund that is concentrated in technology stocks, you are likely to give an unfair weighting to good news you read about the outlook for technology while ignoring any negative things you read.
As i said since last year, investors should put attention on Jtiasa's loss making timber segment and not just excited with growing palm oil segment. Since the cpo price dropped below RM2500, Jtiasa is no more an attractive investment choice and the result says it all. Again, do research before investing. Good luck.
...........…......... as of 31st March 2018 .......................... oil palm.... Timber.... other.......... total Segment assets 2,591,933 501,129 70,767 - 3,163,829 Segment liabilities 1,000,394 361,059 1,546 - 1,362,999
Oil Palm has become the MAIN BUSINESS of JAYA TIASA..
YIELD will be better and better Palm oil price is recovering as ringgit weakens.. The cost per acre is cheap..
The share price now @ Aug 2009 is really absurd and if dropd further it will match that during the 2008-2009 Financial Crisis despite the company already built a 70,000 hectare Oil Palm Plantation most of which in the prime of average 8-9 years...
Jtiasa is in in the list of intraday short selling.. traders might take this bad results to short sell this company.. and buy back at the end of day.. down limit is 15%
on 14 May the price up to 0.87 after PH won, thought will rebound back to 1.00.. so i wait and see.. it drop back to 0.78 and finally today broke lowest price to 0.765.. this time let the chart make story.. high probability downtrend chart again.. till find it bottom to support..
The cash flow for the 9 months is healthy and positive.. Accumulative 9 months, the company still made 7 million after tax. Accumulated depreciation is much more than capital expenditure by about 40+ millions and some rm10+million proceed from sales of plant and equipment... reduction of working capital and some 20+ millions from financing... resulted in net increase in cash
The company may not require big capex going forward as it has already built 4 palm oil mills with combined capacity of 1.7mil MT FFB per annum... The future cash flow is expected to be good.
JAYA TIASA HOLDINGS BHD ( 3751-V ) THIRD QUARTERLY REPORT FOR THE FINANCIAL PERIOD ENDED 31 MARCH 2018 Explanatory notes pursuant to MFRS 134 and Appendix 9B of the Listing Requirements 12 19 Group’s Prospects We are cautiously optimistic on the recovery of CPO prices in view of the expected increase in demand of CPO during the festive season despite concern of growing CPO stockpile with the reinstatement of the 5% export tax. We foresee higher FFB and CPO production from more maturing palm age profile during the high crop season in the coming quarter.
Medium term 6 to 12 months. I believe next quarter results should make profits already and then the price should reverse. It will probably make a bottom today, unless there is crash in the world market later. But then plantation stocks offer good earning visibility and solid assets.
The production figures in the last quarter, Jan - March, were bad as it was low season and heavy rain affected harvest of the crops and logging activities.
From AR 2016, Jayatiasa holds 1.7 million acres of forest concessions. Total land area under reforestation is 235, 858 hectare of which estimated plantable area is 140,377 hectare. At that time of reporting, 32,678 hectare planted for the reforestation. Maturity takes 12-15 years. Not sure how many years to go to majurity from now.
From AR 2017, Jayatiasa Concession log extraction quota for 2017/2018 Coupe year is 630,400 cubic meter. It is still quite significant. Last month April, log production was 28,400 cubic meter and FFB 82,038 as compare to 78,973Metric ton as compare to April 2017. Last quarter log prouduction was only 50,353 cubic meter and FFB 201,657 metric ton.
yes cash is building up because the palm oil mills are relatively new and depreciation of the plant and equipment is quite significant. For the ytd 9 months the depreciation charge is already rm 88 millions. Going forward if there is no much capex requirement, cash flow would be good and better even if profit is not so good.
Capex for reforestation is about rm 20+ million per annum, quite minimal and reasonable.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
ITreeinvestor
354 posts
Posted by ITreeinvestor > 2018-04-20 13:13 | Report Abuse
Low Production in FFB,CPO & Palm Kernel.
BAD QR expected in coming Quarter