MONTHLY PRODUCTION FIGURES (MINING / PLANTATION / TIMBER) JAYA TIASA HOLDINGS BHD
Type Announcement Subject MONTHLY PRODUCTION FIGURES (MINING / PLANTATION / TIMBER) Description MONTHLY CROP AND LOGS PRODUCTION The Company is pleased to announce that crop and logs production of the Group for the month of February 2018 are as follows:
MONTHLY PRODUCTION FIGURES (MINING / PLANTATION / TIMBER) JAYA TIASA HOLDINGS BHD
Type Announcement Subject MONTHLY PRODUCTION FIGURES (MINING / PLANTATION / TIMBER) Description MONTHLY CROP AND LOGS PRODUCTION The Company is pleased to announce that crop and logs production of the Group for the month of January 2018 are as follows:
MONTHLY PRODUCTION FIGURES (MINING / PLANTATION / TIMBER) JAYA TIASA HOLDINGS BHD
Type Announcement Subject MONTHLY PRODUCTION FIGURES (MINING / PLANTATION / TIMBER) Description MONTHLY LOGS AND CROP PRODUCTION The Company is pleased to announce that logs and crop production of the Group for the month of January 2017 are as follows :-
1) Logs - 10,516 cubic metres
2) Fresh Fruit Bunches - 72,991 metric tonnes
3) Crude Palm Oil - 11,073 metric tonnes
4) Palm Kernel - 2,124 metric tonnes
Announcement Info Company Name JAYA TIASA HOLDINGS BHD Stock Name JTIASA Date Announced 16 Feb 2017 Category General Announcement for PLC Reference Number GA1-16022017-00001
MONTHLY PRODUCTION FIGURES (MINING / PLANTATION / TIMBER) JAYA TIASA HOLDINGS BHD
Type Announcement Subject MONTHLY PRODUCTION FIGURES (MINING / PLANTATION / TIMBER) Description MONTHLY LOGS AND CROP PRODUCTION The Company is pleased to announce that logs and crop production of the Group for the month of February 2017 are as follows:
19 February 2018 Agriculture | Timber Jaya Tiasa Holdings Buy (Maintained) Target Price: MYR1.40 Price: MYR1.04 Do Not Chop The Tree Just Yet Market Cap: USD257m Bloomberg Ticker: JT MK We recently met up with management and remain positive on Jaya Tiasa’s earnings outlook. We believe the market’s concerns over its timber division are unwarranted, as we expect the higher selling prices to offset the impact of a strengthening MYR. Our investment theses remain unchanged, as we believe that street continues to price the group’s plantations division at book value despite the segment’s growing profitability. Jaya Tiasa is currently trading at 0.5x P/BV and a steep 54% discount to RNAV. Maintain BUY and MYR1.40 TP (35% upside). Favourable oil palm age to lift earnings. Post our recent meeting with management, we remain positive that Jaya Tiasa Holdings’ (Jaya Tiasa) earnings would be led by its plantations division, while its timber segment is likely to remain profitable – supported by higher selling prices. The group’s FFB production is on track to meet our +14% YoY growth to 1.1m tonnes for FY18 (Jun). We understand that Jaya Tiasa is currently facing labour shortages and, if this can be resolved, could potentially raise production by another 10%. CPO spot prices are also broadly in line with our forecast, with an average of MYR2,626.00/tonne from Jun 2017 to end- Jan 2018 (FY18F: MYR2,595.00/tonne). Timber prices are rising on a supply glut. Log prices have remained resilient with Meranti logs being sold at USD269.00/cu m currently (+31% YoY) due to a global supply glut. Our ASP assumption for FY18 is maintained at USD260.00/cu m (+19% YoY) as the blended prices would be lower. This is given that a larger proportion of total production is now being sold to local players after the cut in export quotas. Log production is being maintained at c.328,000 cu m (-21% YoY) for FY18F-20F, as we do not see a reversal in the tightening of state regulations. Plywood prices ticked up +3.7% QoQ in 1QFY18 to USD481.00/cu m. We maintain our plywood ASP assumptions of USD470.00 for FY18F-20F (+5% YoY), as we expect prices to remain resilient. According to Japan Lumber, Malaysian plywood supply to Japan rose +10.7% to 1.2m cu m in 2017. Local supply of plywood peaked in 2013 at 1.6m cu m, but has dropped considerably ever since. The increase in plywood supply we have seen over the last two years can be attributed to the continued tightening in log exports – resulting in more logs being directed towards plywood production. However, plywood companies have also subsequently trimmed overall log production at the same time. According to the journal, Malaysia made up 41% of Japan’s total plywood imports in 2017. MYR strengthening poses a key risk. A key risk to our earnings forecast is a stronger-than-expected MYR. Our sensitivity analysis suggests that earnings would decline by 3.5-5% for every MYR0.10/USD strengthening. We expect the impact from a stronger MYR to be largely offset from higher timber prices. We maintain our USD/MYR assumption of 4.00 for 2018 and 2019. Corporate exercises in the longer term. We previously highlighted that a spin-off of Jaya Tiasa’s timber division as a possibility. While management guided that this is not on the cards currently, our analysis suggests that any value-unlocking exercise could remove the holding company discount and lift its share price to MYR2.03/share (pre-divestment/cum special dividends). This implies a whopping 93% upside to the group’s current valuations. Given the structural decline in the industry, management has also shared that it is assessing various opportunities, although there is nothing concrete thus far. Jaya Tiasa is also not discounting the possibility of venturing into different business segments, should it ensure sustainable earnings for the group in the long run. Trading at deep discount – maintain BUY. In our 11 Jan note Deep Value Play, we highlighted that Jaya Tiasa is trading at a deep discount of 54% to RNAV. In estimating the group’s historical RNAV, we have valued the timber division at book value, with its plantation wing using a combination of both book value and ascribing a 15x P/E multiple. Our findings suggests that Jaya Tiasa’s divergence in implied holding company discount can be attributed to the market continuing to value the group’s plantation division using book value and ignoring the business’ growing profitability. Jaya Tiasa is currently trading at 10.5x FY19F P/E against our forecasted 3-years earnings CAGR of 9.3% for FY18F-20F. We maintain our BUY recommendation with an unchanged TP of MYR1.40 (35% upside). This is based on our SOP calculation of 1x P/BV for its timber division and 15x P/E for the plantation segment. Our TP implies 13x FY19F P/E, which is in line with the group’s historical 3-year average (post-tightening of state regulations). Source: RHB
Debt is in-line with expension. Is normal a company will fall into that category. In term how well the management is, totally I have no idea but just based on AffinHwang saying is positive. Somehow the share price still red. Aigh
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MONTHLY PRODUCTION FIGURES (MINING / PLANTATION / TIMBER)
JAYA TIASA HOLDINGS BHD
Type Announcement
Subject MONTHLY PRODUCTION FIGURES (MINING / PLANTATION / TIMBER)
Description MONTHLY CROP AND LOGS PRODUCTION
The Company is pleased to announce that crop and logs production of the Group for the month of February 2018 are as follows:
1) Fresh Fruit Bunches - 57,737 metric tonnes
2) Crude Palm Oil - 8,295 metric tonnes
3) Palm Kernel - 1,374 metric tonnes
4) Logs - 12,577 cubic metres
This announcement is dated 12 March 2018.