Latest Singapore petroleum prices { after Russia & Ukraine attacks} S$2. 42 per litre {Diesel} S$2.85 per litre{ Ron 95}, S$3.34 { Ron 98} and S$3.51 { premium}. 1SDollar =3.10 MYR
Dnex should be quite stable at this level 1.05-1.15, consolidating before next move. Bear in mind the QR result is done and over, looing for next QR indication? they already said improved order, and higher ASP pricing, so that is good indication. Two more long term purchase to be signed soon in next 2-4 week, and then next big deal, which is bigger than Silterra should be 2-4 months time. Huat Ahh...
Quarterly earnings should increase a lot in the coming months as Dnex gets more lucrative LTAs especially the ones for the EV industry. Core net profit for this quarter alone is RM62.5 million according to HLG.
With DNeX’s core PATAMI expected to grow to RM155.2m, RM197.8m and RM271.5m in the next few quarters, Dnex should be able to reach RM4 to 6 hopefully by the end of this year.
CGS-CIMB projects DNeX to post a 3-year core EPS CAGR of 453% (FY21-24F) driven by 1) higher wafers ASP, 2) higher wafers production volume on the back of new capacity expansion, 3) higher average crude oil prices for Ping Petroleum Limited (Ping), and 4) higher production volume at Ping on the back of its new capex programme.
“DNeX also enjoys a lower effective tax rate given that SilTerra has over RM12 billion as of Jul-21 in unrecognised deferred tax assets that could be offset against its future profits.
KYY in his latest post : Dnex plunged, pointed out that dnex last qr eps was 8 sen whereas only 1.4 sen in latest qr. Obviously that is the reason for dnex "plunge like a coconut, according to him.
He at, at 87 , must has turned senile and seems never follow the development of dnex and yet posted comments exposing his utter ignorance of the subject.
If u r a dnexian for sometime, u must be aware that during july 21 to roughly Sept ie. last qr, dnex issued shares increased by about 800 millions bringing the nosh from > 2 billion to nearly 3 billion , thus diluting the eps in the latest qr.
If dnex's plight was so poor as KYY mentioned, the analyst of HLB should be sacked immediately by Quek the boss for the silly act of raising the TP from 1.35 to 1.65 !
atilanohun KYY in his latest post : Dnex plunged, pointed out that dnex last qr eps was 8 sen whereas only 1.4 sen in latest qr. Obviously that is the reason for dnex "plunge like a coconut, according to him.
He at, at 87 , must has turned senile and seems never follow the development of dnex and yet posted comments exposing his utter ignorance of the subject.
If u r a dnexian for sometime, u must be aware that during july 21 to roughly Sept ie. last qr, dnex issued shares increased by about 800 millions bringing the nosh from > 2 billion to nearly 3 billion , thus diluting the eps in the latest qr.
If dnex's plight was so poor as KYY mentioned, the analyst of HLB should be sacked immediately by Quek the boss for the silly act of raising the TP from 1.35 to 1.65 ! 25/02/2022 9:11 PM
That's what he said to TG and Dayang...
He missed an excellent opportunity in TG when TG rocketed to its peak..
Two things in life that are difficult to achieve:- 1. To plant your idea in someone's head. 2. To plant someone's money in your own pocket.
~ Those who succeed in planting their idea in someone's head - we call Lao Shi(老师)(teacher) ~ Those who succeed planting someone's money in their own pocket - we call Lao Ban (老板)(boss) ~ The one who succeeds in both - we call Lao Meow (Investor and trader)
Those who don’t understand this message - we call Lao Lang (老人)(Old Person)
- Core businesses: DagangNet, SealNet (Cloud based single platform similar to DNT but on the private sector B2B), DNex solutions, GenaXis, DNex Telco (subsea Telco), OGPC (Equipment, serving upstream and downstream) and Ping (E&P), Silterra (completed 60% stake acquisition) - Enlarged group expected to have combined revenue >RM1b
Silterra
- Operational improvement: 97,146 wafer fab out in 2QFY22 – 2nd highest. 37,461 wafers fab out in Dec21 – highest monthly wafer out. Fab yield performance at 98.95% - highest ever - Capex investment – approved USD153m (RM640m) which will expand annual capacity to 10m mask layers. More capacity to be allocated for Silicon Photonics, MEMS. Emerging technology per mask layer ASP would be USD80-100 vs current’s at USD20-25. - Emerging technology BRCM & Gorilla products started risk run, anticipate to complete qualification by 2H22. Core tech improvements on target, highest yield of 99% for C18F process for ChipOne. Increase of BCD shipment from 15% in 1QFY22 to 25% in 2QFy22. - Secured two LT wafer supply agreements with Chipone USD 400m and Illitek USD173m. Anticipate to complete 2 more in 2HFY22 to fulfil LTA UR to 80%. - Growth revenue from ChipOne, 1Q 15%, 2Q 22% and Illitek 1Q 7%, 2Q 11%. Average net ASP from 1Q USD20.8 to USD23.6 in 2Q. - New management – Dr Albert Pang as Officer In Charge. - In 2021, the market attrition was at 13%, Silterra overall cumulative attrition was at 10.6% - announced multiple benefits improvements to employees. - Quality: 996 wafers scraped; first time achieved total wafer scrap <1000 wafers per quarter. - Net wafers USD527 in 2Q, 1Q-488, 4Q-434. Masks layer – 23.6 vs 18 in 4Q - Current capacity 8.5m mask layers per year, after approved capex of USD68m till Nov21 – 8.8m mast layer and with approved capex of USD85 in Jan22, it will be 10m mask layers – to start production in 2023. - Benefits enhancement to attract talents. - 2 more LTA customer is in progress of negotiation. - Plant expansion and product mix optimisation with completion of LTA. - Focused expansion on new technologies – SiPh + MEMS - Gearing of Silterra in 12M21 at 0.3x vs 1.04x in 7M21 - In summary: Excellent operational improvements achieved – higher production, yield and lower cost. Future plant expansion – higher capacity and SiPh and MEMS which command higher ASP. Product mix optimisation, 2 additional LTA to bring UR to 80%. Financial performance to strengthen both BS and IS. Continue to explore and improve benefits to employees to be comparable to market.
Anasuria
- Brent has reached >USD100/bbl – strategy is to accelerate production to take advantage of current high prices. Taken some hedging position. - Net volume hope to secure Kbopd to about 10k (to be driven by Avalon, to deliver first oil in Jul24), now is at 2k. Partnering with Hibiscus with Anasuria. - Anasuria: Profit enhancement strategies via increase in production rate/additional reserves, optimise OPEX, better tax management and extend Cessation of production to add reserves. Capacity enhancement work programs – infill drilling and facility debottlenecking - Avalon – to deliver first oil in Jul24. FDI and FDP approval expected at FY22. - Others – acquisition of brownfield assets, embarking in developing a Net Zero framework to achieve ESG, low cost operator.
IT - National single window (deployment of new services NPCO, cross border trade exchange eCert, Air Manifest for aviation, and potentially Air Cargo System). International front: Increasing pipeline – new initiative with PAA and ASEC, ADB World bank and USAID. - Trade Facilitation – B2B: Optimising overhead and BPO – Seal Net products – Petronas, Dell & Intel. - System integration & consultancy – securing funnels with a TCV of RM15-20m
2Q results - Revenue of RM353m all time high, EBITDA RM130m – Tech – stronger performance on higher ASP, wafer shipment. 25/02/2022 1:08 PM
Excellent sharing as always from Goldberg and many of you ...
and you will get different TP...What does this tell you?
If you look at all the Stock market research house, all of them uses TA to justify their entry price and selling price. All have them have the same historical share price which is the foundation for their charts. My question is, if all of them are having the same data, how come all of them come out with different price for buy and sell call? Why is there a difference?
The reason for the difference in buy/sell call price from different research house, they are different is because everyone using TA are just doing guessing work, aka gamble. Today this research house is right, tomorrow another research house is right... so who's TA formula is more accurate? Inconsistency in accuracy means they are nothing more than guessing work.
That is why some the long-term Investors say TA is rubbish.
Hence, don’t waste your time on TA, spend your time to learn about the company business, go and dig out real data from inside the company like what Goldberg and some of you did. Then you will see clearly what you are buying, when to enter and when not to enter. You will get exactly what you know about the company...
Summing up..
Investors and traders have different time horizons and expectations. They also follow different metrics. Investor take a long-term approach to the markets. That's why they can sleep like a baby
Traders involves short-term strategies to maximize returns daily, monthly, or quarterly. That's why they are very uptight, very aggressive and always cry like a baby.
Investors are more likely to ride out short-term losses, while traders will attempt to make transactions that can help them profit quickly from fluctuating markets.
There's no right or wrong approach. It all depends on how deep is your pocket. However, the best players are the one who can master both by riding the wave...
Previous QR high EPS due to one time gain from recognised asset Silterra value, it is not operating profit, I think KYY try to manipulate those people who don’t understand financial statement to sell so he can collect. LOL
JUST IN - America’s biggest microchip company #Nvidia investigates a cyberattack that "completely compromised parts of the company’s internal systems."
hoping arcadia will find others partners taking 30% stake in dnex,......the management control total 60% of dnex,......then share price may go up to rm3,.....
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
joyvest
10,577 posts
Posted by joyvest > 2022-02-25 18:25 | Report Abuse
Kyy says enough is enough ... stop fantasising it would escalate if not stagnant