With a dividend policy of 40% and 9month net profit of RM202 million, assuming a annualized profit of RM269 million, a 40% dividend payout will result in RM107.6 mil or 10.7 sen per shares.
As i am expecting a slower property sales in Q4, and hence a lower 12month net profit as compared to the annualized profit of RM269million.
As such, I am expecting a dividend pay out of atleast 6sen in the upcoming announcement. (Note: KSl has already distributed 2 sen during October for FY2015.)
At the current price of RM1.31, 6 sen is equivalent to 4.58%.
Agreed that the upcoming Q4 is full of uncertainties or may even perform badly. However, i see KSL as a safer property choice due to its cash cow, KSL city mall + resort (located 10min away from MY-SING immigration) which parked under property investment, which many would see this as recurring income!
With more than 700k square feet lettable area, it generates around RM70mil a year, and it is currently only valued at RM300mil in the book! WIth a conservative capitalization rate of 8%, it should worth atleast RM875 million!
Not to mention, they have around 2100acres of landbank in Malaysia, with a relatively low gearing!
Frankly, I am afraid of Ksl any surprise in q4 result, either eps or dividend payout. Therefore, better wait for its result release before re enter back.
Hng33, good pick on UOA! I like them too! Net cash and gives good dividend! but i am quite worry about the sustainability of the revenue in the next few q!
Anyway, good luck to all KSL shareholders! Dont think it will be fantastic, dont get panic! keep for long term :D
Both UOA development and Ksl share some similarity, both have highest profit margin among property developer and both adopt practice centralize sourcing for building material to reduce cost and have very low carry land cost.
hng33. I agree with you. I wish I have your sharpness and caution. But not too late for me to learn from people like you. KSL in 2014 and 2015 quarterly results led many to holland. They lied brazenly about their unbilled sales for financial ending 31/12/2014 leading many to expect good results and drive up the price. Frankly speaking I am inclined to report them to the SC!
After deducting the fair value adjustment of RM56 million, the operating profit is RM212 million. At 40% the payout for the year should be RM84.8 million. RM47.8 million already paid out. Therefore RM37 million or about 3.667 sen per share should be paid out for FY ended 31/12/2015. Wonder why management did not declare divvy as promised?
The management did promise few years back on the dividend payout of about 30%-40% (somewhere in 2010 if not mistaken), but then failed to deliver the promise subsequently, the management explained that they needed to reserve cash for future development.
Now they promised again in 2014 or 2015 to give out 40% profit as dividend, will they fail to deliver what they promised again? Very likely.
It was announced by the Board in a filing with Bursa, BUT it is legally NON-BINDING and "subject to modification (including reduction or non-declaration thereof) at the Board’s absolute discretion".
On the plus side, the fair value revaluation shows that KSL's investment properties is increasing in value even as some REITs (e.g. AMFIRST) have to adjust downwards as their property decrease in value due to the Market down-turn. KSL's revaluation totaled RM144 million for 2014 and 2015 (88 + 56) and reflects the superior location of those properties as well as good management. So KSL is at least a medium term hold since the property market up-turn again.
KSL's price is near rock bottom and with buy-back support, should not go down drastically as before. If sell now, wealth will be transferred to others..!
Some more, KSL directors stated that: The ability, quantum, and frequency of KSL to pay future dividends to the shareholders are subject to various factors including but not limited to the financial performance, cash flow requirements, availability of distributable reserves and tax credits, future operating conditions, as well as future expansion, capital expenditure and investment plans of KSL Group.
I will give you one million cash, provided that IF:
1. I hit the jackpot 2. subject to my cash flow requirement 3. depend on the availability of my money in bank, 4. my future commitment 5. my future investment plan 6. my other financial status
frankly with softening of properties demand , oversupplies , cheap oil and soon basic materials and cheaper prices for new launches, just run away and no holding when still got value .. waiting for real bargain at 45 sen.. kikiki
if you scrutinise the the chart from 2013 till 2015 , just examine the volume , the push up b4 splitting , and examine the co cash during 2014 and 2015 , you may get the rough picture,plus the sort of properties launches ksl has in southern Klang near Banting and in Johor , the possiblity for the co to churn more profit in the near future is very thin.. let it go let it go..
@kenneth. Yes this is what I mean. KSL price is stable. Dumping already factored in before quarterly results. I think overall, KSL management is doing a reasonable job given the market conditions. The fair value gains were among the highests for property investment.
Property developer KSL Holdings Bhd has set a dividend policy of paying at least 40% of annual net profit from operations. The company said the dividend policy, excluding fair value gains, would take effect from financial year ending Dec 31, 2015 (FY15).
“Shareholders should note that this dividend policy, which shall take effect from financial year 2015, indicates the board’s intention of rewarding shareholders and is not legally binding, and therefore, subject to modification (including reduction or non-declaration thereof) at the board’s absolute discretion,” KSL said in a filing with the stock exchange.
KSL chairman Ku Hwa Seng, in a separate statement, said the dividend policy was not only intended to reward existing shareholders, but also to attract and establish a larger institutional investor base in the company for the long term.
Ku added that the quantum and frequency of KSL dividends would be subject to various factors, including the group’s financial performance, cash-flow requirements, capital expenditure and investment plans.
KSL policy and chairman Ku Hwa Seng statement ,. is steering investors away.....he and his team should learn Public speaking......too bad...doesn't know how to impress investors.....
KSL should now concentrate on making KSL more profitable predicating on it's land holdings in strategic locations and its well developed investment properties like Malls and hotels. After the debacle in 2014, investors are looking at action and results and not words which they would now regard with a lot of salt.
Base on latest financial report, KSL has RM53,703k cash, equal to 5.3 cents per share. Wonder where it gets more money to pay dividend to fulfill 40% payout rate? sell assets? drawdown of borrowing? issue more share from warrants, or...?
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
kenneth89
2,695 posts
Posted by kenneth89 > 2016-02-24 09:34 | Report Abuse
1.31