what does KSL profit? if kenanga does a warrant like this, we all know even if they push up the price it will eventually not be more than 1.30. Unless someone challenge kenanga and push up mother shares and get some money from them. Just don't understand why is KSL allowing itself to be short change by kenanga.
1. Shares is highly tight-held. Free float less than 15%.
2. Based on AR, Kenanga owned 9.6million shares. Believe that they are the buyer for 7 million shares 2 days ago. Usually if LTH buy, they would have announced by today.'
3. Kenanga bet that the share price would stay the same for next six month, unless there is major development. If the BOD decides to reward shareholders with dividends, the share price would go upward. Currently, 3 directors which are KSL major shareholders earns about RM9 million each, which is why they can survive without dividends.
4. LTH can 'bully' Kenanga by pushing the share price while mopping up the share. If they cross 10%, they can demand a board seat and pressure the BOD to declare dividends. Too bad, LTH could not buy the Kenanga-issued warrant since it is not syariah compliant. Otherwise they can bet big. Haha
5. Kenanga give a TP of RM1.30, just like their warrant exercise price. They know that their TP is not reflecting true value of KSL. KSL mainstay is close to JB where the demand is there due to weak ringgit. A lot of Johorean are working in Singapore and their purchasing power is increasing due to strong SGD. KSL does not have presence in Medini which have seen oversupply and poor take up rate.
6. In latest QR, they managed to convert RM190million of receivables to cash (they have cash of RM230million from RM40million previously). A few other companies (export based) have also shown same trend. I suspect this is due to the regulations by BNM which insist the exporters to convert 75% of their cash to local currency. KSL does not have any project in Singapore but they have buyers from Singapore. This may explain why sudden jump in their cash holdings.
7. KSL is fundamentally good, and during the weak property market, they are still able to churn great profit thanks to investment property. Once property markt recover they would earn even more. In 2019, analyst would be talking about KSL REIT after completion of KSL Mall 2. Believe me.
8. KSL has low land cost, and they would benefit from extraordinary profit margin.
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)5.0% Growth 2.74 Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)15.0% Growth 4.58 Relative Valuation 4.81 Graham Formula 2.52 Graham Number 4.26 Net Tangible Asset MA 2.21
Might be director rewards themselves so saying no money for dividend? Why invest such company? Plenty more to choose. If property Tropicana, HuaYang still not moving yet can pay dividend.
it seems like so many people have lost their money in this counter. You are not alone. I lost half of my saving here. The directors live luxuriously at the expense of tiny investors. They will pay for the consequences through other means.
I have received dividend once in the last few years. I invested in this company because I saw the promise they made with the dividend but they cheated. If I meet them one day, I want to spit on their faces.
agreed with ste4dy15. use own money for development to reduce the group's gearing. in 2012-2014, there was no dividend declare during the development of ksl mall in jb. during that time, the share price stood at 1.40. after completion of the mall, the share price fly to as high as 5.00 (before bonus issue on dec 2014). since then the management started to declare dividend 12sen in 2015. so be patient, there will be another wave of uptrend after the completion of ksl mall in klang.
KSL mall 2 is piling and buiding basement now, so as KSL share.....1.2x When KSL mall 2 is built until lvl 1, lvl 2...lvl 5 , so as KSL share....2.xx, 3.xx, 4.xx
Let's grow together with it..slowly but surely...who know suddenly..
last time I was kinda slow wait wait wait but still wait wait wait when it started to surge was wating for it to correct but the correction never came because it literally rocket up in three months..
nope, look at the trend of the call warrant, practically no trading at all I guess kenanga still owns all the issued shares it will need to push the mother up to >1.30 (the exercise price) to entice buyers now is the time to load up
ksl-ch. exercise price 1.30 exercise ratio 2.5:1, with ksl current price 1.25, kenanga need to push up the price >1.30 otherwise nobody will going to buy ksl-ch.
According to last quarter report (4th quarter 2016), section 15. Performance Review, fair value gain is RM112.7 million compared to 4th quarter 2015 RM56.1 million. It's not a huge variance which has lowered the PE. So the increase in profit before tax is mainly due to the change in sales and % of completion on the existing on-going projects of the Group as well. Please read qr before making statements that might mislead others.
excellent. take out ppl 1 quarter then only calc pe. i think those guys math sure get excellent result. now i know y our university level ranking keep drop. really excellent.
i think best way calc is take out all profit, then no pe anymore. it is better ;')haha
according to i3 here, ksl last 3 quarter yoy inprove form 9% to 155%.
besides, u can c above, i3 list pe is 3.85, those not good in math, u also can use yr eyes c c. if u think got problem, better complaint those ppl duno how to calc or say i3, klse sceener mislead ppl.
dun simply say wat pe 7 what take out profit or those stupid formula or analysis, if u duno. u can refer the reference.
Yeah it is damn cheap and with potential... given the price is 50% below its book value and it consistently maintains its profit since 2014 given the headwind in the industry. I just entered ..... wish us luck
I mean if assume don't have the 1 off gain during Q4FY16 then EPS is 5.10+5.43+5.25+5.20 (exclude 1 off gain)= 20.98 cents is the normalise EPS for most recent 04 quarters
Based on current share price RM1.21
PE is about 6
Not 3.69 as now we see
The 01 off gain will not be repeated in next coming qtr
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
guess1978
260 posts
Posted by guess1978 > 2017-06-08 09:09 | Report Abuse
once broken, this is 1.4X stock